Gulf Economic Capabilities Are Growing, Impacting the Global Arena

The Gulf economies are among the ten largest in the world. (AFP)
The Gulf economies are among the ten largest in the world. (AFP)
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Gulf Economic Capabilities Are Growing, Impacting the Global Arena

The Gulf economies are among the ten largest in the world. (AFP)
The Gulf economies are among the ten largest in the world. (AFP)

The visits by Indian, Japanese, and Turkish leaders to the Gulf within a week reflected the region's outstanding role on the global economic scene.

They reflect the importance of economic relations between the Gulf countries and the three countries that signed financial agreements and memorandums of understanding in various sectors and fields.

Top 10 global economies

The combined GDP of the growing Gulf economies are projected to reach $ $6 trillion by 2050, according to World Bank estimates, which places them among the top ten economies in the world.

The world is led by the US with a GDP of $25 trillion, followed by China, Japan, and Germany, then India, the UK, France, Canada, and Russia, while Italy stands in the tenth place with a GDP of $1.9 trillion.

According to the World Bank, if the GCC countries implemented a green growth strategy that would help and accelerate their economic diversification, GDP could grow to over $13 trillion by 2050.

Sustainability

President of the Federation of GCC Chambers Hassan al-Huwaizi said the Gulf countries have benefited from several factors creating sustainability for the Gulf economy.

They followed the latest modern technologies in the oil and gas industry, harnessing the financial revenues of the sector to support other economic and industrial sectors to achieve added value to the Gulf economy.

They aim to establish a sustainable Gulf economy, said Huwaizi.

He indicated that the GCC countries have worked to qualify their human forces, especially their national cadres, to contribute to economic development, which helped in creating a sustainable economy.

In the past few years, the Gulf countries have implemented structural economic reforms by modernizing and developing legislation and regulations to provide more facilities and incentives supporting their economies and attracting foreign capital to non-oil sectors to reduce oil dependency.

Huwaizi stressed that the GCC countries tended to diversify the sources of domestic products by relying on other sectors such as petrochemicals, industry, travel, tourism, the entertainment sector, artificial intelligence, and the digital revolution.

He explained that the development and sustainability of the oil industry and the qualification of national cadres, attracting foreign investment, and diversifying sources of GDP had a role in creating sustainability for the Gulf economy.

Impacting the global scene

The expert addressed the impact of the Gulf economy on the global economy, saying it stands among the top economies because of its domestic solid product.

Petrochemicals, aviation, ports, industry, and the financial sectors ensured the stability of the global economy, said Huwaizi, noting that Gulf leaders are keen to achieve regional political and security stability, which boosts international peace.

He also referred to the efforts of the GCC states to build strategic partnerships with global economic blocs, including the US-Gulf Summit in Jeddah in July 2022 and the Riyadh Arab-China Summit for Cooperation and Development, affirming the Gulf states' endeavor to boost strategic partnerships.

Strengths

Huwaizi identified the strengths of the Gulf economy by benefiting from the technical and information revolution, supporting the growth and development of all sectors.

The GCC countries supported the oil and gas industry sector and harnessed advanced modern technologies, starting with exploration and production, refining, and distribution operations, which provided the budgets of the Gulf states with huge financial revenues.

The Gulf states possess an advanced financial and banking sector with substantial financial assets, capital, and investments, said Huwaizi.

He added that the GCC countries had made great strides towards achieving economic unity by adopting the customs union system, Gulf rail and electrical linkages, and implementing the Gulf common market.

The developments increased intra-regional trade between the Gulf states to approximately $102.8 billion in 2021.

The cumulative number of licenses granted to GCC citizens who carry out economic activities in other member states has also increased to more than 60,000 until the end of 2021.

Non-oil sectors

Huwaizi noted that the GCC countries were keen to diversify their economy by supporting and developing other sectors besides oil and gas.

The Gulf states believe the petrochemical sector is among the most important for construction and development, he said, adding that the Gulf industry sector's contribution to the GDP exceeded more than 11.5 percent.

The Gulf private sector, represented by the Federation of GCC Chambers, will play an essential role in defining the investment opportunities available in the region, said Huwaizi.



IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.


Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
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Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.


Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.