Baghdad Awaits Historic Visit by Erdogan

A scene from the city of Al-Amara shows the extent of the decline in the waters of the Euphrates River (Reuters)
A scene from the city of Al-Amara shows the extent of the decline in the waters of the Euphrates River (Reuters)
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Baghdad Awaits Historic Visit by Erdogan

A scene from the city of Al-Amara shows the extent of the decline in the waters of the Euphrates River (Reuters)
A scene from the city of Al-Amara shows the extent of the decline in the waters of the Euphrates River (Reuters)

Iraqi official sources have reported an upcoming visit by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to Iraq with the aim of discussing unresolved issues between the two nations.

If Erdogan undertakes this visit, it will mark the first time a Turkish president has visited Iraq since Turgut Ozal’s visit in the late 1980s.

However, Erdogan has previously visited Iraq twice as Prime Minister during the tenure of former Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki in 2008 and 2011.

While the water issue between Baghdad and Ankara remains long-standing, dating back over seven decades, Iraqi-Turkish relations have taken a new dimension since the change in Iraq in 2003.

Türkiye refused to allow the US and its allies to use the Incirlik Turkish base during the 2008 occupation of Iraq.

However, Türkiye approached the Iraqi issue from various angles, similar to how Iran handled it at a time when Iranian-US relations were negative, and both sides used Iraqi territory to settle their scores.

Although Türkiye benefited from its positive relationship with the US, it distanced itself from it regarding its agenda in Iraq.

While Tehran appeared to have friends among the Shia political elite in Iraq, Ankara had friends among the Sunni political class in the country.

Türkiye was also accused of controlling the Turkmen card in Iraq and influencing Kurdish affairs by pursuing the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), an opposition group, within Iraqi territory.

Türkiye, on the other hand, accused Iraq of harboring PKK elements within its borders and established military bases in several areas in northern Iraq.

This move complicated Türkiye’s relationship with the Kurds in the Kurdistan Region, as well as its relations with certain Shia factions that viewed Türkiye’s actions as an occupation of Iraqi territory.

While Erdogan can discuss numerous issues with Iraqi leaders in Baghdad, the most prominent ones will remain the water file, followed by the PKK issue.



With UNRWA Fate Unclear, UN and Israel Argue over Who’s Responsible for Palestinians

Palestinians, including children, hold metal pots and pans as they gather to receive food cooked by a charity kitchen, in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, 10 January 2025. (EPA)
Palestinians, including children, hold metal pots and pans as they gather to receive food cooked by a charity kitchen, in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, 10 January 2025. (EPA)
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With UNRWA Fate Unclear, UN and Israel Argue over Who’s Responsible for Palestinians

Palestinians, including children, hold metal pots and pans as they gather to receive food cooked by a charity kitchen, in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, 10 January 2025. (EPA)
Palestinians, including children, hold metal pots and pans as they gather to receive food cooked by a charity kitchen, in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, 10 January 2025. (EPA)

The United Nations and Israel are arguing over who must fill the gap if the UN Palestinian relief agency UNRWA stops working in the Gaza Strip and West Bank later this month when an Israeli law comes into force.

UNRWA still operates in the Palestinian territories, but it is unclear what awaits the nearly 75-year-old agency when the law banning its operation on Israeli land and contact with Israeli authorities takes effect.

The UN and Israel have been engaged in tit-for-tat letter writing since the law on UNRWA was passed in late October. Shortly after, the UN told Israel it was not the world body's responsibility to replace UNRWA in the Palestinian territory - Gaza and the West Bank, including East Jerusalem.

In a letter to the UN General Assembly and Security Council late on Thursday, Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said if UNRWA was forced to stop operating then Israel "would be left to ensure that the range of services and assistance which UNRWA has been providing are provided" in accordance with its obligations under international law.

Guterres wrote that while other UN agencies were prepared to continue providing services and assistance to the Palestinians - to the extent they can - that "must not be viewed as releasing Israel from its obligations."

The United Nations views Gaza and the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, as Israeli-occupied territory. International law requires an occupying power to agree to and facilitate relief programs and ensure food, medical care, hygiene and public-health standards.

In a Dec. 18 letter to the world body, Israel's UN Ambassador Danny Danon said the new legislation "does not in any way undermine Israel's steadfast commitment to international law." He also rejected UN claims that Israel would be responsible for filling any gap left by UNRWA.

He wrote that Israel does not exercise effective control over Gaza and therefore is not an occupying power, adding that the law of military occupation also does not apply. He said that in the West Bank the responsibility of the Palestinian Authority for civilian affairs "must not be overlooked."

"In Jerusalem, all residents are entitled to government and municipal services under Israeli law," said Danon, adding that included health and education services. Israel annexed East Jerusalem in a move not recognized abroad.

HEALTH, EDUCATION AT RISK

Israel has long been critical of UNRWA. It says UNRWA staff took part in the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel. The UN has said nine UNRWA staff may have been involved and were fired. A Hamas commander in Lebanon - killed in September by Israel - was also found to have had an UNRWA job.

The United States has said its ally Israel must ensure the new law does not further impede aid deliveries and critical services, including by UNRWA, in Gaza, which has been engulfed in a humanitarian crisis during the war between Israel and Palestinian Hamas group.

But it has also questioned UN contingency planning.

State Department officials met this week with the transition team of incoming US President Donald Trump - who takes office on Jan. 20 - and raised concerns about how the crisis in Gaza could deepen once the UNRWA law is implemented, said a US official.

UNRWA, established by the UN General Assembly, provides aid, health and education services to millions of Palestinians in Gaza, the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and neighboring Arab countries - Syria, Lebanon and Jordan.

Guterres said UNRWA's unique role could not be replaced. UN officials say it is the health, education and social services UNRWA provides in the Palestinian territory that would suffer most as other agencies cannot match its ability to deliver such help.

Danon argued that "replacing UNRWA with relief schemes that will adequately provide essential assistance to Palestinian civilians is not at all impossible," citing the aid operation in Gaza where he said other UN agencies were equipped to provide the necessary response "as they do elsewhere in the world."

Other agencies working in Gaza and the West Bank include the children's organization UNICEF, the World Food Program, the World Health Organization, and the UN Development Program. But top UN officials and the Security Council describe UNRWA as the backbone of the current humanitarian operation in Gaza.

Israel launched an assault on Hamas in Gaza after the fighters killed 1,200 people in southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, and took some 250 hostages, according to Israeli tallies.

More than 46,000 people have been killed in Gaza since then, according to Palestinian health officials. Much of the enclave has been laid waste and most of the 2.3 million people have been displaced multiple times. Food experts warn of a looming famine.