UK Chief Negotiator: We Completed Very Productive Round of Free Trade Negotiations with Gulf Countries

UK Chief Negotiator for the UK-GCC Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Tom Wintle meets with GCC Chief Negotiator, Dr. Raja bin Manahi Al Marzouqi. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
UK Chief Negotiator for the UK-GCC Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Tom Wintle meets with GCC Chief Negotiator, Dr. Raja bin Manahi Al Marzouqi. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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UK Chief Negotiator: We Completed Very Productive Round of Free Trade Negotiations with Gulf Countries

UK Chief Negotiator for the UK-GCC Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Tom Wintle meets with GCC Chief Negotiator, Dr. Raja bin Manahi Al Marzouqi. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
UK Chief Negotiator for the UK-GCC Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Tom Wintle meets with GCC Chief Negotiator, Dr. Raja bin Manahi Al Marzouqi. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

UK Chief Negotiator for the UK-Gulf Cooperation Council Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Tom Wintle revealed that they have completed a “very productive two-week round of negotiations.”

In an interview to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of his visit to the Gulf, he added: “Our next milestone is Round 5, which will be held in Riyadh later this year.”

Asked about the expected timeline to sign the FTA between the UK and the Gulf, he replied: “This is the question I get asked most often! Businesses and investors naturally want to access the benefits of the FTA as soon as possible.”

“However, it’s important that we get the deal right to get maximum benefits for everyone. So, whilst negotiations are progressing well, and we want to progress at pace, we have to be clear that there is no set deadline, and we cannot rush the process.”

Historic ties

“The UK and the GCC share strong historic ties and we are among each other's top trading partners. Trade between the UK and GCC has bounced back strongly since Covid and is now at record levels, worth £61.3 billion last year,” continued Wintle.

“We also have a strong investment partnership. The UK is a top six investor in the GCC with £31 billion invested in new projects over the last 20 years.”

Joint objectives

“As the UK’s Chief Negotiator, I am seeking to negotiate a UK-GCC free trade agreement that strengthens our trade and investment partnership. This would be a significant moment in the UK-GCC relationship,” he stressed.

“A free trade agreement will be mutually beneficial for the UK and GCC. UK Government analysis shows that a deal could boost UK-GCC trade by 16%, growing all of our economies and supporting jobs,” he remarked.

“The more ambitious the trade deal, the greater the gains for both the UK and GCC. It really is a win-win scenario.”

Business leaders and investors

Assessing his visit to the Gulf and where the FTA talks have reached, Wintle said: “Throughout the course of negotiations, I have had the pleasure of working with your excellent trade negotiators and have had some fantastic experiences visiting Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.”

“I have also had the pleasure of meeting many business leaders and investors to talk about how a trade deal could benefit them.”

“Our Business and Trade Secretary Kemi Badenoch, and Minister for Investment Lord Dominic Johnson – have also visited the region this year to support progressing the deal and meeting with their counterparts across the GCC,” he went on to say.

“I have been encouraged by the huge energy and optimism across the region. I see big opportunities for UK and GCC governments and businesses to work together to achieve our shared ambition,” he stressed.

Moreover, he noted that the fourth round of UK-GCC trade negotiations had just finished in London. “It was a pleasure to host more than 100 GCC negotiators. Talks are progressing very well,” he stated.

Added value

On the added value both sides can gain from the FTA, Wintle said: “The UK and GCC have genuinely complementary economies and a trade deal will strengthen supply chains between our businesses, helping to grow the industries that we are each specialized in.”

“A deal will help to form new commercial partnerships, supporting the GCC countries’ vision plans to drive private sector growth and achieve economic diversification. We see opportunities across a wide range of sectors including education, manufacturing, tech, financial services, life sciences and the creative industries.”

“By removing barriers and making it easier to do business with one another, the deal could add at least £2.8 billion to the combined UK and GCC economies in the long run,” revealed Wintle.

Helpful factors

On the factors that could help the agreement achieve the UK and Gulf's goals, he explained: “We have to be collaborative, open-minded, and ambitious in negotiations. The negotiation teams know each other well now and I know the GCC Chief Negotiator, Dr. Raja bin Manahi Al Marzouqi, shares this approach.”

“The UK and GCC teams have worked very closely together, and we share the same ambition. We want a win-win FTA that delivers for all our economies.”

‘A lot in common’

“The UK and GCC have a lot in common and we both want to strike an ambitious trade deal that increases trade and supports our businesses,” he noted.

“On some areas, it will always be difficult for six countries to agree a single approach. Our negotiation teams need to remain open-minded and work together to find solutions. There are many different ways to achieve our desired outcome and we’re working together to do that.”

Scope of the FTA

Asked about the scope of the FTA and if it includes all types of trade and services, Wintle replied: “We’re committed to negotiating a modern, comprehensive, and ambitious agreement that is fit for the 21st century. This would cover goods and services trade, as well as investment.”

“A deal would cut import tariffs, minimize the administrative burden on businesses, simplify regulations, provide greater access for services firms, and make it easier to invest in each other’s economies,” he said.

“Some of the world’s newest and most ambitious FTAs also help to foster innovation, promote digital trade, help SMEs, and support the clean energy transition. We’re also looking at areas such as these as part of a UK-GCC FTA.”

“The UK is committed to negotiating an FTA with the whole of the GCC and our priority is securing an ambitious agreement with all six GCC countries,” stressed Wintle.

Gulf role

Asked to assess the role played by Gulf countries in the world economy, he replied: “Within the global economy, the pace of the GCC countries’ economic transformation stands out. All the GCC member states have ambitious vision plans and the pace of change is remarkable.”

“The GCC is already one of the UK’s top trade and investment partners, and we see huge opportunities to strengthen this partnership even further through a UK-GCC FTA. I’m excited to see how these opportunities can become reality.”



IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
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IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)

Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in AI-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

"Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue," she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

A steep rout in technology stocks on Thursday rippled through markets on fears that ⁠the Democrats' victory ⁠in the US midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data center build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge ⁠funds alike.

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

The IMF last month flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war. At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP ⁠by 1.1% ⁠by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Friday, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

"Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation," she said.

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Friday, citing congressional aides and advocates.

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.


World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)

World food prices edged lower in October as weaker import demand contributed to monthly declines in cereal, dairy and meat prices, but were still nearly 6% higher than a year earlier, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, ‌averaged 133.9 points ‌in October, down from a revised ‌135.6 ⁠in September.

The index ⁠was 5.9% higher than a year earlier, but remained 16.4% below its March 2022 peak.

FAO's cereal price index fell 4.5% from September and was 12.6% lower than a year ago, as wheat and maize quotations declined. Wheat prices eased on weak import demand ⁠and improved production prospects, especially in Argentina.

"Expectations of ‌easing constraints on Black ‌Sea export flows added to the downward pressure on prices, ‌although continued disruptions to Black Sea logistics limited the decline," ‌FAO said in a statement.

Maize prices also eased after reaching a three-year high in September, pressured by the US harvest, expectations of ample supplies in South America and renewed ‌prospects of easing tensions in the Black Sea region.

Vegetable oil prices edged up 0.3%, ⁠as ⁠higher soybean and sunflower oil prices more than offset a fall in rapeseed oil prices.

Sugar prices rose 6.6%, their fourth straight monthly increase, to the highest level since December 2024, after rainfall disrupted harvesting in Brazil. They were now 28.8% above a year ago.

The dairy index fell 1.1%, as lower butter and cheese prices linked to ample supplies and subdued demand outweighed gains in milk powder.

The meat index declined 1.2%, while still slightly above its year-earlier level, as ovine and bovine meat prices fell.


Copper Falls, Set for Worst Week Since March on AI Rout

Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)
Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)
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Copper Falls, Set for Worst Week Since March on AI Rout

Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)
Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)

Copper dropped on Friday and was set for its biggest weekly drop in London since March, as a rout in technology stocks battered markets.

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 1.3% at $13,663 a metric ton by 0700 GMT. That placed it on track to fall 3.44% in the week, Reuters said.

The most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 1.08% to 106,830 yuan ($16,018.17) a ton.

The weakness reflects worries over AI investment, ‌with copper increasingly ‌influenced by "sentiment towards data center expansion," said ‌Craig ⁠Lang, principal analyst ⁠at CRU.

Technology shares were battered after Democratic wins in the US midterms fueled concerns that new regulatory oversight could cap the AI buildout.

On the other hand, supply constraints cushioned copper's decline.

"I would be cautious about calling this a sustained correction, given ongoing mine supply challenges and exceptionally tight ⁠metal availability outside the US," Lang said.

Copper stocks ‌in SHFE-monitored warehouses <CU-STX-SGH> fell by ‌over 24% this week to just 33,848 tons — the lowest ‌in almost three years. The closely watched Yangshan copper ‌premium <SMM-CUYP-CN>, a gauge of appetite for imports into key consumer China, increased to $210 a ton on Thursday, matching its record high.

Smelters in the country are facing a double squeeze of negative treatment ‌charges and lower sulfuric acid prices.

Meanwhile, warehouse inventories outside the US have been drawn ⁠down as ⁠material was pulled into the country ahead of a potential tariff on imports of refined copper.

"These physical constraints should provide some support against weaker investor sentiment," Lang said.

Among LME metals, aluminium lost 0.54%, zinc lost 1.42%, lead lost 0.45%, nickel dipped 0.23% and tin gained 0.83%.

On the SHFE, aluminium nudged down only 0.04%, zinc lost 1.35%, lead was little changed, down only 0.03%, nickel rose 2.14% and tin dropped 3.45%.

SHFE inventories were down across the board this week, led by sharp drops in aluminium <AL-STX-SGH> and lead <PB-STX-SGH>.