4 Factors behind the Stability of Real Estate Prices in Saudi Arabia

The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.
The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.
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4 Factors behind the Stability of Real Estate Prices in Saudi Arabia

The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.
The decline in demand reflected negatively on real estate developers.

Real estate is one of the vital sectors that have a strategic impact on the Saudi economy. With its major transformation and its new incentives aimed at attracting nationals and foreigners, the sector’s contribution to the GDP increased significantly to reach 12.8 percent in the first quarter of 2023, according to figures published by the Real Estate Authority.

Despite the successive rise in US interest rates, which reached record levels in 22 years, the real estate price index in Saudi Arabia slightly increased in the second quarter, not exceeding 0.8 percent on an annual basis.

In comments to Asharq Al-Awsat, real estate expert Eng. Ahmed Al-Fageeh attributed the stability of the real estate market to four factors: the record and continuous rise in interest rates, the decrease in the number of real estate deals, the drop of housing finance contracts, and the amendment of housing support for citizens, which is one of the most important solutions provided by the Ministry of Housing in order to provide assistance to beneficiaries.

As of the second quarter of 2023, the sales of villas and apartments started to rise again, Al-Fageeh noted, saying that the value of villa sales in the last three months of May, June and July increased by 22 percent, reaching SAR 6.6 billion compared to SAR 5.4 billion in 2022.

He explained that these figures indicated that the real estate market overcame the impact of high interests and other factors, and highlighted the existence of independent purchasing power in the real estate market.

Regarding appropriate solutions to reduce the cost of residential real estate for citizens, Al-Fageeh underlined the need to provide real estate developers with residential plots and lands, as well as financing, in partnership with the Ministry of Housing and based on a specific national program, thus helping bring in a large number of housing units into the real estate market and raising the supply.

Consultant and real estate expert Al-Aboudi bin Abdullah told Asharq Al-Awsat that the record increase in interest rates over the last period caused a general stagnation in real estate prices.

He added that the latest report by the General Authority for Statistics on the consumer price index during June 2023 showed an increase in the monthly inflation index for real estate prices by 0.8 percent, which is relatively low, unlike the results of previous quarters, which reached 20 percent.



Dollar Hits 2-week Low as Traders Ponder Trump Tariff Plans

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
TT

Dollar Hits 2-week Low as Traders Ponder Trump Tariff Plans

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar touched a fresh two-week low on Wednesday, as a lack of clarity on President Donald Trump's plans for tariffs kept financial markets guessing and left the greenback struggling to regain ground against major currencies. Trump said late on Tuesday that his administration was discussing imposing a 10% tariff on goods imported from China on Feb. 1, the same day that he previously said Mexico and Canada could face levies of around 25%.

He also vowed duties on European imports, without providing further details.

Despite those threats, a lack of specific plans from Trump's first day in office saw the dollar start the week with a 1.2% slide against a basket of major peers. It stabilized on Tuesday, ending flat after an attempted rebound fizzled, with US officials saying any new taxes would be imposed in a measured way. The dollar index, which tracks the currency against six top rivals, touched its lowest since Jan. 6 at 107.75 on Wednesday, paring an earlier rise in the index. It was last down 0.15% at 107.97.

"Tariffs have again grabbed the headlines overnight as Trump commented in the evening that his threat of a new 10% tariff on China was still on the table...," said Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid.

"Trump's comments leave plenty of near-term uncertainty even though the trade investigations from his day 1 executive orders will take some time to play out."

Trump on Monday signed a broad trade memorandum, ordering federal agencies to complete comprehensive reviews of a range of trade issues by April 1. The greenback rose 0.3% to 156 yen, edging up from the one-month low it touched the day before.

INFLATION RISKS The euro fell 0.3% in early trading, before it changed course and rose to $1.0457, its highest since Dec. 30. It was last up 0.07% at $1.0434. Sterling hit a two-week high against the greenback, but was last trading down at $1.2351.

Analysts have said that Trump's policies on immigration, tax and tariffs will likely boost growth but also be inflationary, but the more cautious tariff approach has fuelled some hopes that inflation risks could be more limited, Reuters reported.

Traders expect a quarter-point Fed interest rate cut by July, while another reduction by year-end is considered a coin toss. The Canadian dollar was slightly weaker at 1.4346 per US dollar, following a volatile week that saw it tumble as low as 1.4520 overnight for the first time since March 2020, feeling additional pressure from cooling inflation last month. The Mexican peso gained about 0.3% to 20.547 per dollar. China's yuan held steady at 7.272 per dollar in offshore trading, after pushing to the strongest level since Dec. 11 on Tuesday at 7.2530.

"A 10% tariff on China imports would be far below the 60% rate he mentioned in his campaign," said Alvin Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

"On top of this is the general sense that Trump is not pursuing maximalist trade protectionism in his early actions, but appears to be positioning for trade negotiations," Tan said.

"Altogether these suggest that the US dollar could drop further."