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UK’s Next Raises Profit Outlook Again

A shopper enters a Next store on Oxford Street in London, Britain, July 31, 2023. REUTERS/Hollie Adams/File Photo
A shopper enters a Next store on Oxford Street in London, Britain, July 31, 2023. REUTERS/Hollie Adams/File Photo
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TT

UK’s Next Raises Profit Outlook Again

A shopper enters a Next store on Oxford Street in London, Britain, July 31, 2023. REUTERS/Hollie Adams/File Photo
A shopper enters a Next store on Oxford Street in London, Britain, July 31, 2023. REUTERS/Hollie Adams/File Photo

British clothing retailer Next on Wednesday raised its full-year profit outlook for the fourth time in six months as it reported better-than-expected sales in a third quarter heavily impacted by variable weather.
The group, which trades from about 460 stores in the UK and Ireland and has an online presence in over 70 countries, is often considered a useful gauge of how British consumers are faring. Its shares were up 2.6% in early trading, extending 2023 gains to 21.4%, Reuters reported.
Next said full price sales rose 4.0% in the quarter to Oct. 28, ahead of guidance for a 2% rise. Online sales increased 6.5%, while store sales fell 0.6%.
The group said sales benefited from a cooler-than-average August and typical autumnal weather in late October, but were depressed by a warmer-than-average September.
"We believe the volatility in sales performance is a result of changing weather conditions rather than any underlying changes in the consumer economy," it said.
Despite cost of living pressures, UK consumer demand has generally held up this year.
However, official data published last month showed British retail sales volumes fell more than expected in September, partly because unseasonably warm weather reduced sales of autumn-wear clothing.
Britain experienced its joint-hottest September on record, part of a heat wave which rival fashion retailer H&M said had depressed sales across much of Europe.
Next said it now expected pretax profit before exceptional items for the year to January 2024 of 885 million pounds ($1.08 billion), ahead of previous guidance of 875 million pounds and the 870.4 million pounds made in 2022/23.
It is assuming that full price sales for the rest of the year will be up 2.0%.
Analysts at Liberum said they were optimistic on Next's prospects, noting its "strong cash generation, management foresight, tech capabilities and new more efficient distribution center capacity allows it to explore multiple new avenues for growth".
Next expects inflationary headwinds to continue to ease in its 2024/25 year, but has cautioned that a softening of the labor market may dampen growth in consumer demand.

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Fashion

Bangladesh Garment Industry Short on Cotton as Floods Worsen Protest Backlog

FILE PHOTO: Women work in a garment factory in Dhaka, Bangladesh, May 3, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Women work in a garment factory in Dhaka, Bangladesh, May 3, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo
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Bangladesh Garment Industry Short on Cotton as Floods Worsen Protest Backlog

FILE PHOTO: Women work in a garment factory in Dhaka, Bangladesh, May 3, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Women work in a garment factory in Dhaka, Bangladesh, May 3, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo

Garment factories in Bangladesh, one of the world's biggest clothing production hubs, are struggling to complete orders on time as flooding disrupts their cotton supplies - exacerbating a backlog caused by recent political turmoil.
Bangladesh is a leading global cotton importer due to the size of its textile and garment industry, but the devastating floods mean few trucks and trains have been able to bring supplies to factories from Chittagong port over the last week, industry officials and analysts said.
The disruption, on top of the unrest and protests that led to factory closures earlier this month, have caused garment production to fall by 50%, said Mohammad Hatem, president of the Bangladesh Knitwear Manufacturers and Exporters Association.
"The industry is now under immense pressure to meet deadlines, and without a swift resolution, the supply chain could deteriorate even further," Reuters quoted Hatem as saying.
Bangladesh was ranked as the third-largest exporter of clothing in the world last year, after China and the European Union, according to the World Trade Organization, exporting $38.4 billion worth of clothes in 2023.
At the clothing factory she runs in the capital, Dhaka, Rubana Huq is counting the cost of lost production.
"Even for a moderate-sized company like ours, which makes 50,000 shirts a day and if the price of one single shirt is $5, there was $250,000 of production loss," said Huq, a former president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA).
She said some garment plants were slowing resuming production, but estimated that complete recovery "would be at least six months away", warning that Bangladeshi manufacturers could lose 10%-15% of business to other countries.
Bangladesh's readymade garments industry, which supplies many of the world's best-known fashion brands, accounts for more than 80% of the country's total export earnings.
Buyers are adopting a cautious approach and could potentially delay new orders, said Shahidullah Azim, a director of the BGMEA industry group.
"The longer this uncertainty persists, the more challenging it becomes for us to maintain the momentum we have built," he told Reuters.
The Bangladesh Meteorological Department said flood conditions could persist if the monsoon rains continued, as water levels were receding very slowly.
Some cotton shipments could get diverted to India, Pakistan and Vietnam, commodity analysts said.
"We are already hearing and seeing some cotton for prompt delivery wanted by Pakistan and Vietnam," said Louis Barbera, partner and analyst at VLM Commodities based in New Jersey.
New orders shifted from Bangladesh could also be accommodated in southern India, said Atul Ganatra, president of the Cotton Association of India.
Even before the floods and political unrest, the Bangladeshi garment industry was grappling with power shortages that remain a problem, said Fazlee Shamim Ehsan, vice president at the country's knitwear manufacturers and exporters association.
"Energy shortages continue to hamper our operations," he said.