Iraqi Armed Factions Take Precautions in Anticipation of US Retaliation

An American officer is seen at a military base in Jordan. (CENTCOM)
An American officer is seen at a military base in Jordan. (CENTCOM)
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Iraqi Armed Factions Take Precautions in Anticipation of US Retaliation

An American officer is seen at a military base in Jordan. (CENTCOM)
An American officer is seen at a military base in Jordan. (CENTCOM)

Armed Iraqi factions have taken “swift” precautions on the ground in anticipation of a potential strike by the United States in retaliation to attacks on American forces deployed in the region.

Some pro-Iran factions evacuated their positions and even replaced the vehicles they use to try to throw off any surveillance.

Iraqi sources on the ground told Asharq Al-Awsat that an air of tense anticipation has prevailed among the factions, including the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF).

Orders have been made to field commanders to exercise “great caution,” they revealed.

Politico reported on Tuesday that US President Joe Biden had asked his aides to present options for a retaliation to the attack on American forces on a base on the Syrian-Jordanian border that left three servicemen dead, said American officials on condition of anonymity.

The options include attacks on Iranian targets in Syria or Iraq and Iranian vessels in the Arab Gulf, reported the Arab World Press.

The sources said the factions have dispersed their fighters from their usual positions, barred them from using mobile phones from inside their bases and told them to use civilian vehicles for their movement.

They predicted that the US strikes may target buildings used by the al-Nujaba movement, Kataib Hezbollah, and, to a lesser degree, the Badr organization.

Kataib Hezbollah announced later on Tuesday that it was suspending attacks on American forces in Iraq.

Three informed Iraqi sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that political forces have for a week now been trying to come up with a way to approach the American warning.

A powerful Shiite party within the pro-Iran Coordination Framework had tried to persuade the armed factions to ease their escalation against the US forces, they went on to say.

They said the attacks must cease and if they are necessary, then the target must be Israel and that the attacks must be carried out from outside Iraq.

The factions have so far dismissed the demand, they stated.

Some members of the Framework believe that taking a step back from the attacks would be seen as a political gain for Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, said the sources.



Washington Keeps Sights on Dismantling Militias Despite Iraq Withdrawal

Training at Ain al-Asad air base in western Iraq. (File photo/US Army)
Training at Ain al-Asad air base in western Iraq. (File photo/US Army)
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Washington Keeps Sights on Dismantling Militias Despite Iraq Withdrawal

Training at Ain al-Asad air base in western Iraq. (File photo/US Army)
Training at Ain al-Asad air base in western Iraq. (File photo/US Army)

Iraq reached a watershed on Wednesday as US forces withdrew from their bases nearly a quarter-century after an invasion that killed hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilians and thousands of American troops, opened the door to Iranian interference in Iraq and beyond, and upended the regional balance of power.

The withdrawal fulfills a 2024 agreement signed by the administration of former President Joe Biden to end the US military presence in Iraq this year.

President Donald Trump’s administration has made little fanfare about the redeployment. It has yet to announce a comprehensive review of the invasion, which began in March 2003 and inflicted staggering human and financial losses.

As many as 210,000 Iraqi civilians were killed between the invasion and 2023, along with 4,599 US troops, according to Brown University’s Costs of War project. The cost reached about $2.8 trillion.

The departure of US troops and equipment marks a transition from a wartime coalition mission to an Iraqi-led security effort, according to Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell.

“The primary responsibility for addressing Iraq's remaining security challenges, including ISIS remnants and Iran-aligned militias that undermine Iraqi sovereignty and regional stability, now rests with the Government of Iraq,” he added.

About 1,500 US and international coalition troops fighting ISIS had recently been stationed in Iraq as forces reorganized and withdrew ahead of Wednesday’s Sept. 30, 2026, deadline, a US official said.

The mission will continue in Jordan, where the Pentagon says it can strike militants threatening US personnel and interests.

US forces there will focus on ISIS fighters, the official said.

“If the situation deteriorates beyond Iraq’s and Syria’s ability to control it, and they ask for our help, we will intervene and help them.”

Protecting the embassy and consulate

The military airlifted personnel and equipment out of Erbil, the last US military base in Iraq, in time to meet Wednesday’s deadline, a defense official said.

Some US Marines will stay to guard American diplomatic missions, alongside contractors maintaining Iraq’s fleet of F-16 fighter jets and US-made tanks, current and former US officials said.

“The military has already removed a Patriot air defense battery stationed around Erbil,” other officials said.

The United States will probably concentrate its remaining air defenses on protecting its embassy in Baghdad and consulate in Erbil, they added, despite continuing attacks by Iran and militias.

About 170,000 US troops were in Iraq at the height of its internal conflict in 2007. Former President Barack Obama pledged to end the war after his election in 2008. In 2011, he announced an end to combat operations and a phased withdrawal.

But ISIS and al Qaeda seized large swaths of Iraq and Syria in 2014, prompting the United States to lead a coalition of international and Arab partners in launching Operation Inherent Resolve. The campaign continued into Trump’s first term.

Iraq reclaimed its territory from terrorist groups and began to recover. Yet it remains burdened by the influence Iran gained through allied armed groups, whose involvement in the current US-Iran war poses serious risks.

Iranian militias

US estimates put the number of Tehran-aligned fighters at more than 200,000. They use attack drones and ballistic missiles to strike US forces and neighboring countries.

The US withdrawal was supposed to coincide with the disarmament of militias, according to The Washington Post. But the groups ignored calls to disband, and Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi extended their disarmament deadline to June 2027.

Iran could benefit from the US withdrawal, Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, told the newspaper. But Tehran’s recent actions in the region have also forged unexpected alliances against it.

The invasion plunged Iraq into chaos by toppling President Saddam Hussein, Iran’s adversary on its western border, Cancian said.

Iranian attacks on countries hosting US troops during the latest war have pushed some of those countries closer to Israel, he added.

“We acted against them only in response to attempts to target our troops,” a US official said of Iran-backed militants.

Confronting the groups from now on would be “an Iraqi responsibility.”

As Iraq holds a “sovereignty celebration” this week to mark the withdrawal, the Trump administration is piling pressure on Baghdad to disarm Iran-backed militias. Many defy the state’s efforts to bring them under control.

“They want to vacation in France”

Al-Zaidi’s government faces a daunting task: reining in militias that Iran insists on preserving.

Speaking to The New York Times, the Iraqi prime minister noted that every Iraqi today wants full sovereignty for their country.

He added that Iraqis also want authority to rest exclusively with the state, and pledged to end “the law of the jungle” in Iraq.

During al-Zaidi’s recent White House visit, Trump said: “We don’t think we need the military there anymore.”

“We have a great champion, a new champion. He’s young and handsome,” he added.

But Victoria Taylor, a former US State Department official who worked on Iraq, explained that believing al-Zaidi can disarm the militias within a few months is asking the impossible.

According to Taylor, these armed groups exist because Iran wants them to remain, and Iran continues to find them useful as a tool and a source of leverage against the Iraqi government and the United States in the region.

This situation will continue even after US forces withdraw, she added.

Former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs David Schenker remains hopeful, citing positive signals from some Iraqi faction officials who seem to want to operate legally.

They want to vacation in France with their families, he said, referring to their desire to give up their weapons.


Signs of a Full-Scale Yemeni Offensive Against the Houthis

Yemeni leadership's move toward general mobilization signals a decisive battle against the Houthis (Military Media)
Yemeni leadership's move toward general mobilization signals a decisive battle against the Houthis (Military Media)
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Signs of a Full-Scale Yemeni Offensive Against the Houthis

Yemeni leadership's move toward general mobilization signals a decisive battle against the Houthis (Military Media)
Yemeni leadership's move toward general mobilization signals a decisive battle against the Houthis (Military Media)

Clashes between Yemen's government forces and the Iran-backed Houthi group have intensified on the fronts in Taiz and Lahj, alongside an increase in airstrikes, ground operations, and missile attacks. Meanwhile, the general mobilization measures and military readiness announced by Yemen's leadership are pointing toward a new phase that could signal the launch of a full-scale confrontation with the group.

The fronts west of Taiz and in areas bordering Lahj are witnessing ongoing battles, amid Houthi attacks, infiltration attempts, and flanking maneuvers, met by intensive Yemeni military operations involving formations from the Giants Brigades and Nation's Shield Forces, as well as tribal fighters.

The confrontation has also moved to a broader government level following the adoption of executive measures related to general mobilization and a discussion by Yemen's National Defense Council of the readiness of the armed forces, security forces, and military formations across the various fronts. The Yemeni leadership has reiterated that the objective is to restore state institutions and extend their sovereignty over the country's entire territory.

The al-Aghbari front, on the outskirts of al-Mudharaba District and Ras al-Ara in Lahj Governorate, witnessed fierce nighttime battles in the areas of Dhi Ahdah, al-Khazm, and al-Mansoura following a Houthi attack on positions held by government forces and backed by tribal fighters.

Yemeni military sources said government forces and tribal fighters repelled the attack, with clashes continuing through Wednesday and leaving casualties on both sides.

The fighting coincided with airstrikes targeting Houthi positions in the areas of al-Bazalah and al-Dhuhourah, located between al-Wazi'iyah and al-Mudharaba. The Taiz Military Axis Media Center also reported airstrikes on Houthi positions in al-Wazi'iyah District, west of the governorate.

Taiz Under Fire

In Taiz, the Houthi group has stepped up its missile and artillery attacks on residential areas and villages in the south and west of the governorate.

Local sources said the group targeted areas in al-Shamayatayn District with four ballistic missiles, while villages in Jurdad Bani Omar were also shelled with rockets and artillery, injuring two civilians and causing fear among residents.

In al-Turbah, south of the governorate, local sources said the group shelled residential neighborhoods with four ballistic missiles, causing material damage to a number of homes and properties.

Other field reports said three ballistic missiles were fired, one of which struck the building of the Mother and Child Hospital, which is still under construction in the city, causing material damage.

The Houthi shelling also reached the villages of Bani Bakari in Jabal Habashi District, while government forces continued their operations along several axes of the governorate.

At the military level, Yemeni Armed Forces spokesman Colonel Staff Officer Majed Abdullah al-Nazili said the forces had carried out 414 precise targeting operations over a 24-hour period against Houthi reinforcements and military capabilities on various fronts.

Al-Nazili said the operations employed a range of modern capabilities and resulted in the neutralization of Houthi militants and military equipment.

This came a day after government forces announced that they had carried out 356 targeting operations over a 24-hour period, saying that, according to their field estimates, the operations had killed or wounded 476 Houthi militants. This brought the total casualties announced by the government forces over four days to nearly 3,000 dead and wounded.

According to the government forces, the targets included command-and-control centers, weapons and artillery depots, and dozens of military vehicles, as the group continued sending reinforcements to the front lines.

General Mobilization Takes Effect

Alongside the developments on the battlefield, the most significant political and military development has been the move by Yemen's state institutions toward organizing a general mobilization.

The National Defense Council held a meeting chaired by Rashad al-Alimi, Chairman of the Presidential Leadership Council, and attended by political, military, and government leaders. The meeting discussed the latest national developments and the readiness of the armed forces, security forces, and military formations on the various fronts, as well as executive measures related to general mobilization.

The council affirmed that the armed forces would continue carrying out their responsibilities to protect civilians and deter sources of threat, with the ultimate goal of restoring state institutions and extending state sovereignty over the entire national territory.

It also stressed the importance of integrating military, security, economic, humanitarian, media, and diplomatic efforts under state leadership, and mobilizing the country's capabilities, resources, and potential in support of this objective.

This follows the Yemeni House of Representatives' approval of a request by the Chairman of the Presidential Leadership Council to declare a general mobilization, a step encompassing human and material resources as well as the capabilities of state institutions.

The National Defense Council approved directives and executive measures related to the general mobilization, stressing the need to move it from a broad framework to a disciplined institutional mechanism in accordance with the constitution and applicable laws.

At the same meeting, the council praised what it described as the cohesion of the armed forces, military formations, and popular resistance, as well as what it said was their ability to regain the initiative on various fronts. It also praised popular and tribal support for the forces and displaced people.

This course of action takes on particular significance as fighting continues in Taiz and Lahj. The institutional measures are coinciding with an increase in the intensity of military operations on the ground, reflecting the state's readiness to deploy its resources and capabilities more broadly in the confrontation.

The National Defense Council has not announced the start of a full-scale offensive. However, its combination of military readiness, general mobilization measures, calls for the integration of national resources, and continued operations on several fronts points to preparations for a broader confrontation.

A Threat Beyond the Front Lines

The National Defense Council linked the military developments to threats it said the Houthi group poses beyond the battlefronts. It warned of the use of mobile Iranian air-defense systems, cruise missiles, and advanced military technologies.

It said these capabilities were expanding the scope of the threat to air-navigation routes in Yemen and the region, putting civilian aircraft and humanitarian and relief flights at risk. The council called for international action to prevent the flow of weapons, technology, and military expertise to the group.

The council also welcomed regional and international positions supporting the government and state institutions, and referred to UN Security Council resolutions concerning Yemen, foremost among them Resolution 2216.

On the humanitarian front, the council affirmed the state's commitment to protecting civilians and civilian facilities and responding to the needs of displaced people and families forced from their homes by the group. It called on international organizations and donors to support the growing humanitarian response.

Alongside the military effort, Yemen's leadership has maintained a parallel political track targeting members of the group. The National Defense Council renewed its assurance that the door to "safe return" remains open to those who abandon the Houthis and stop fighting or working on their behalf.


Israeli Strikes Kill Six People in Gaza, Medics Say

 A woman attends a mass funeral at the Nuseirat refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip on September 29, 2026, following the recovery of 41 bodies from the rubble of a residential building hit in an Israeli strike at the start of the war in October 2023. (Photo by Eyad Baba / AFP)
A woman attends a mass funeral at the Nuseirat refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip on September 29, 2026, following the recovery of 41 bodies from the rubble of a residential building hit in an Israeli strike at the start of the war in October 2023. (Photo by Eyad Baba / AFP)
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Israeli Strikes Kill Six People in Gaza, Medics Say

 A woman attends a mass funeral at the Nuseirat refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip on September 29, 2026, following the recovery of 41 bodies from the rubble of a residential building hit in an Israeli strike at the start of the war in October 2023. (Photo by Eyad Baba / AFP)
A woman attends a mass funeral at the Nuseirat refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip on September 29, 2026, following the recovery of 41 bodies from the rubble of a residential building hit in an Israeli strike at the start of the war in October 2023. (Photo by Eyad Baba / AFP)

Israeli strikes killed at least six Palestinians in two separate attacks in the Gaza Strip on Wednesday, the territory's health officials said.

Medics said an Israeli airstrike on a vehicle killed at least four people and wounded 14 others in the Tel Al-Hawa neighborhood in Gaza City, while an earlier airstrike on an apartment elsewhere in the city killed a woman.

Later on Wednesday, an Israeli airstrike outside a mosque in Khan Younis killed one person and wounded others, medics said, taking the day's death toll to at least six.

Israel, which says Hamas has been rearming and launching attacks in violation of an October ceasefire, has stepped up strikes on the group in recent weeks.

Hamas has denied trying to carry out attacks or rebuild its arsenal and accuses Israel of undermining the Gaza peace deal.

Last year's US-brokered ceasefire calls for eventual reconstruction of the territory. But little progress has been made as negotiators have failed to agree terms for Hamas to disarm and Israel to withdraw its troops.

Israeli airstrikes have continued. At least 1,400 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza since the ceasefire, according to the territory's health officials, while Israel says four of its soldiers have been killed.

Palestinian authorities say more than 74,000 people have been killed in Israel's assault on Gaza.