Oil Prices Dip as Demand Worries Outweigh Mideast Supply Fears 

El Palito refinery of the Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA is seen, in Puerto Cabello, Venezuela February 10, 2024. (Reuters)
El Palito refinery of the Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA is seen, in Puerto Cabello, Venezuela February 10, 2024. (Reuters)
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Oil Prices Dip as Demand Worries Outweigh Mideast Supply Fears 

El Palito refinery of the Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA is seen, in Puerto Cabello, Venezuela February 10, 2024. (Reuters)
El Palito refinery of the Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA is seen, in Puerto Cabello, Venezuela February 10, 2024. (Reuters)

Oil prices extended losses on Wednesday as worries about global demand due to weak economic momentum in China and a likely rise in US commercial stockpiles outweighed supply fears from heightened tensions in the Middle East.

Brent futures for June fell 40 cents, or 0.44%, to $89.62 a barrel by 0632 GMT, while US crude futures for May fell 48 cents, or 0.56%, to $84.88 a barrel.

Oil prices have softened so far this week as economic headwinds pressured investor sentiment, curbing gains from geopolitical tensions, with market's eyeing on how Israel might respond to Iran's attack over the weekend.

"With oil prices highly sensitive to geopolitical risks, the past week has seen some wait-and-see consolidation in place as Israel's response will determine if there may be a wider regional conflict, which could significantly impact oil supplies," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

"For now, the near-term weakness in oil prices may reflect some expectations that tensions may still be contained," Yeap added.

In China, the world's biggest oil importer, the economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter, but several March indicators, including property investment, retail sales and industrial output, showed that demand at home remains frail, weighing on overall momentum.

"Apart from that, a build-up in US crude inventories overnight and a mixed set of economic data out of China also offered some reservations, alongside near-term overbought technicals which prompts some profit-taking," Yeap said.

US crude oil inventories rose last week more than expected by analysts polled by Reuters, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Official data from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the US Department of Energy, is due on Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. (1430 GMT).

In the Middle East, a third meeting of Israel's war cabinet set for Tuesday to decide on a response to Iran's first-ever direct attack was put off until Wednesday, as Western allies eyed swift new sanctions against Tehran to help dissuade Israel from a major escalation.

Analysts however do not expect Iran's unprecedented missile and drone strike on Israel to prompt dramatic sanctions action on Iran's oil exports from the Biden administration.

Meanwhile, the US government could reimpose oil sanctions on Venezuela on Thursday - which in turn could tighten supplies in the market.

Prices could trade sideways in the meantime because of these current market drivers, analysts say.

WTI price movements in the short term are likely to be trapped in a sideways range between $83.20 and $87.70 due to conflicting factors such as China's disappointing retail sales in March and geopolitical risk premium still remaining intact, said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.



Oil Set for Second Straight Weekly Decline on Supply Outlook

A view of an oil pump jack on the prairies near Claresholm, Alberta, Canada January 18, 2025. REUTERS/Todd Korol
A view of an oil pump jack on the prairies near Claresholm, Alberta, Canada January 18, 2025. REUTERS/Todd Korol
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Oil Set for Second Straight Weekly Decline on Supply Outlook

A view of an oil pump jack on the prairies near Claresholm, Alberta, Canada January 18, 2025. REUTERS/Todd Korol
A view of an oil pump jack on the prairies near Claresholm, Alberta, Canada January 18, 2025. REUTERS/Todd Korol

Oil prices rose on Friday but were poised for a second straight weekly decline as a potential supply glut and prospects of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal limited gains driven by concerns over disruptions from a blockade of Venezuelan tankers.

Brent crude futures were up 52 cents, or 0.87%, at $60.34 a barrel by ‌1357 GMT ‌while US West Texas Intermediate crude ‌rose ⁠51 ​cents, ‌or 0.9%, to $56.66.

On a weekly basis, the Brent and WTI benchmarks were down 1.3% and 1.4% respectively, according to Reuters.

"That we're ⁠staying down at these levels indicates that the market is awash with ‌oil right now," said Ole Hansen, ‍head of commodity strategy at ‍Saxo Bank. "There's enough oil to mitigate any disruptions."

Uncertainty over ‍how the US would enforce President Donald Trump's intent to block sanctioned tankers from entering and leaving Venezuela tempered geopolitical risk premiums, IG analyst Tony Sycamore said.

Venezuela, which pumps about 1% ​of global oil supplies, on Thursday authorised two unsanctioned cargoes to set sail for China, said two ⁠sources familiar with Venezuela's oil export operations.

Optimism over a potential US-led Ukraine peace deal also eased supply risk concerns, Sycamore said.

However, Bank of America analysts said they expect lower oil prices to curb supply, which could stop prices from going into freefall.

Investors also watched developments in Russia's war in Ukraine after Kyiv ramped up attacks on Russia's energy infrastructure. Ukraine struck a "shadow fleet" oil tanker in the Mediterranean Sea with aerial drones for the first time, ‌a Ukrainian official said on Friday.


What are Shipping Companies' Plans for Return to Suez Canal?

Ships move through the Suez Canal, in Ismalia, Egypt, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany/File Photo
Ships move through the Suez Canal, in Ismalia, Egypt, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany/File Photo
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What are Shipping Companies' Plans for Return to Suez Canal?

Ships move through the Suez Canal, in Ismalia, Egypt, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany/File Photo
Ships move through the Suez Canal, in Ismalia, Egypt, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany/File Photo

Major shipping companies are devising strategies for a potential return to the Suez Canal after two years of disruptions due to security risks in ​the Red Sea.

They have been rerouting vessels via longer, costlier routes around Africa since November 2023, following attacks on commercial ships by Yemen's Houthi militants, reportedly in solidarity with Palestinians during warfare in Gaza.

A ceasefire agreement reached in October has led some companies to explore resumption plans, although security ‌remains a ‌key concern. Below are the latest ‌updates according to Reuters:

MAERSK

The ⁠Danish ​shipping ‌company said on Friday that one of its vessels successfully navigated the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb Strait for the first time in nearly two years.

Maersk said it has no immediate plans to fully reopen the route and it is not considering a wider ⁠East-West network change back to the trans-Suez corridor, but considers the ‌feat a "stepwise approach" to resuming ‍passage.

CMA CGM

The world's ‍third-largest container shipping line, which has made limited Suez ‍transits when security allows, will use the passage for its India-US INDAMEX service from January, according to a schedule published on its website.

HAPAG-LLOYD

Earlier in December, the German shipping ​group's CEO said the return of the shipping industry to the Suez Canal would be gradual ⁠and there would be a transition period of 60-90 days to adjust logistics and avoid sudden port congestion.

The world's fifth-largest container company did not immediately respond to Reuters' request for comment. Hapag-Lloyd and Maersk had called for caution in November, saying they were monitoring the situation for evidence of increased security.

WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN

The Norwegian car shipping group is still assessing the situation and will not resume sailing until certain conditions are met, ‌a company spokesperson said on Friday.


Real Estate Balance Platform Regulates Market, Signals Positive Momentum in Riyadh Trading

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
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Real Estate Balance Platform Regulates Market, Signals Positive Momentum in Riyadh Trading

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 

Following the Royal Commission for Riyadh City’ s announcement of the results of the electronic draw for purchasing residential land through the Real Estate Balance platform, Asharq Al-Awsat learned that some of the plots allocated to eligible beneficiaries will be sold at prices below SAR 1,500 (about $400) per square meter, depending on their locations.

The land distribution comes in implementation of directives issued by Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman to take the necessary steps to restore balance to Riyadh’s real estate sector.

Under these directives, the Royal Commission for Riyadh City is tasked with providing planned and developed residential land for citizens at a rate of between 10,000 and 40,000 plots annually over the next five years, at prices not exceeding SAR 1,500 per square meter.

On Wednesday, the Commission announced the issuance of the electronic draw results after completing all procedures related to verifying applicants’ eligibility and reviewing objections submitted ahead of the draw.

Competitive Prices

Real estate specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Commission has allocated large tracts of land for sale to eligible beneficiaries in key locations within Riyadh’s urban fabric, noting that the move offers more choices at competitive prices and reflects positively on the overall real estate market in the Saudi capital.

They added that beneficiaries will be able to build homes at costs comparable to the prices of apartments currently offered for sale in northern Riyadh neighborhoods, which proved that the directives of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman have translated into tangible outcomes, enabling citizens to obtain their first homes at lower prices.

Price Decline

Real estate specialist Khaled Al-Mobid said that offering more than 6.3 million square meters of land this year through the Real Estate Balance platform aims to inject additional land within the urban area and increase housing supply with high planning quality. He described the step as important in curbing prices, which have risen recently in Riyadh.

He added that the rollout of further land areas through the platform over the next four years will help meet demand from young people and low-income segments, making affordable housing more accessible and facilitating first-home ownership.

Al-Mobid expected the Riyadh real estate market to see a correction in the coming years as the measures directed by the Crown Prince and Prime Minister are fully implemented by the relevant authorities.

Construction Costs

Another real estate specialist, Ahmed Omar Basodan, said that based on the announced locations for beneficiaries of the first batch, recipients will be able to own villas at prices lower than apartments currently offered for sale in the same neighborhoods. He explained that preliminary estimates put the combined cost of land purchase and construction at between SAR 900,000 and SAR 1.2 million.

He added that setting a ceiling price of SAR 1,500 per square meter for land will put downward pressure on prices in those areas, forcing them to retreat and become more affordable. Basodan noted that more than 10,000 plots have been allocated this year through the platform, supporting expanded housing supply, market stability, and improved quality of life.

Electronic Draw

In its latest statement, the Royal Commission for Riyadh City said the electronic draw was conducted under the supervision of an independent committee representing the Royal Commission, the Ministry of Justice, the General Real Estate Authority, Riyadh Municipality, and the Saudi Data and Artificial Intelligence Authority (SDAIA), using advanced technological systems to ensure fairness and equal opportunity.

The Commission confirmed that the final results are now available on the Real Estate Balance platform, detailing the locations of allocated plots totaling 6.3 million square meters across several Riyadh neighborhoods, including Al-Qirawan, Al-Malqa, Al-Nakheel, Al-Nargis, Namar, Al-Rimayah, Al-Rimal, and Al-Janadriyah.