Riyadh’s Population Rise to 15 Million Helps Shift City towards Independent Economy

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Riyadh’s Population Rise to 15 Million Helps Shift City towards Independent Economy

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Real estate experts said that Riyadh’s goal to increase its population by about 15 million people in 2030 will contribute to its transformation into a city with an independent and sustainable economy.

They added that the Riyadh Season, as well as major projects and government plans will accelerate the realization of the Saudi capital’s objectives by 2030.

According to the official announcement of the Royal Commission for the City of Riyadh, the region aims to reach 15 million people by 2030 thanks to attractive factors and capabilities that further strengthen the Kingdom's efforts to diversify its economic resources.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, writer and real estate expert Sami Abdulaziz said the latest statistics indicate that the capital is currently home to about 7.5 million people, adding that the average occupancy of residential units reaches seven individuals, thus the number of units required by 2030 is around 350,000.

The Ministry of Housing alone will provide about 300,000 housing units until the target date, he remarked, noting that developers, contracting companies, and investors in the sector will secure the remaining amount, which will contribute to increasing the availability real estate units, therefore leading to price stability.

Abdulaziz pointed to the importance of studying the rest of the market factors, including the number of units required during the next five years, their locations, the construction costs, the public facilities and services needed, the size of the private sector’s participation and others.

He also expected the Riyadh Season and the city’s major projects to become a major contributor to achieving the capital’s goal of reaching 15 million residents in 2030.

Real estate expert Eng. Ahmed Al-Faqih highlighted Riyadh’s status as one of the most developed cities in the Middle East, in addition to the great progress the city is witnessing simultaneously with Vision 2030.

Achieving the target of 15 million residents would transform Riyadh into a city with an independent economy, he added.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.