Gold Drifts Higher on Fed Rate-cut Hopes, Geopolitical Risks

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
TT

Gold Drifts Higher on Fed Rate-cut Hopes, Geopolitical Risks

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Prices of safe-haven gold climbed on Monday on heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and amid expectations of a US rate cut in September, while focus shifted to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting due later this week.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,391.80 per ounce, as of 0205 GMT. US gold futures firmed 0.4% to $2,390.50.

"Prices will hold a range ahead of the Fed meet and Chair Jerome Powell's comments. If we get a clearly dovish stance and softer jobs data, prices could head towards $2,450," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific, according to Reuters.

The US central bank's Federal Open Market Committee meets on July 30-31 and is expected to keep rates unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%. However, softer US jobs data in June, cooling inflation and comments from top Fed officials have prompted the rate futures market to fully price in a 25 basis-point cut in September.

The ADP national employment report and non-farm payrolls report are the main data points due this week.

Gold, historically reputed for its stability as a favored hedge against geopolitical and economic risks, thrives in a low-interest rate environment.

Israel's security cabinet authorized Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government to decide on the "manner and timing" of a response to a rocket strike in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights that killed 12 teenagers and children, and which Israel and the United States blamed on Lebanese armed group Hezbollah.

Bullion should see further safe-haven demand if things get more heated up in the Middle East, OANDA's Wong added.

Elsewhere, top consumer China's output of gold using domestic raw materials rose by 0.58% from the year before to 179.634 metric tons in the first half of 2024, the country's Gold Association said.

Spot silver gained 0.1% at $27.93 per ounce, platinum rose 0.8% to $942.75 and palladium was up 0.7% at $906.48.

 

 

 

 

 

 



First Round of Free Trade Negotiations between Gulf States, Türkiye Begins in Ankara

The signing of the joint statement to begin negotiations on a free trade agreement between the GCC and Türkiye in March (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The signing of the joint statement to begin negotiations on a free trade agreement between the GCC and Türkiye in March (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

First Round of Free Trade Negotiations between Gulf States, Türkiye Begins in Ankara

The signing of the joint statement to begin negotiations on a free trade agreement between the GCC and Türkiye in March (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The signing of the joint statement to begin negotiations on a free trade agreement between the GCC and Türkiye in March (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Ankara is set to host on Monday the first round of negotiations for a free trade agreement between the Arab Gulf Cooperation Council and Türkiye.

The talks will extend over three days, with the participation of nine Saudi government agencies, and will focus on a number of topics related to trade in goods and services, investment, technical barriers to trade, and sanitary and phytosanitary measures.

Conferees are set to exchange information and data, discuss challenges and trade opportunities between the concerned parties, and build trust and partnership by identifying areas of cooperation and joint coordination, with the aim of reaching a final comprehensive agreement.

The Saudi government delegation, which is headed by the General Authority for Foreign Trade, includes the Ministries of Energy, Investment, Environment, Water, Agriculture, Industry and Mineral Resources, the Ministry of Economy and Planning, the Food and Drug General Authority, the Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority, the Saudi Standards, Metrology and Quality Authority, and the Export Development Authority.

The agreement, when implemented, will give a preferential advantage for the entry of national goods and services into the markets of all concerned parties, in addition to facilitating, encouraging and protecting investments, raising the volume of trade exchange and promoting economic growth and development in the member countries.

The GCC Secretary-General, Jassim Mohammed Al-Budaiwi, and the Turkish Minister of Trade, Omer Bolat, signed on March 21 a joint statement to launch the negotiations for a free trade agreement in Ankara, highlighting the two sides’ endeavor to develop their strategic partnership.

In a speech during the signing ceremony, Bolat said he was confident of the success of the talks.

He noted that the negotiations between his country and the GCC began in 2005, but were suspended in 2010, stressing that the bilateral economic relations will be more comprehensive and well-defined, and will offer opportunities for development and diversification.

Bolat added that Türkiye attached great importance to a comprehensive deal that regulates important areas such as trade in goods and services, intellectual property rights and customs procedures, as well as facilitating trade and developing cooperation between small and medium-sized companies.