Israel Shekel Slips vs Dollar on Iran, Hezbollah Attack Concerns

An Israeli shekel note is seen in this June 22, 2017 illustration photo. REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration/File Photo
An Israeli shekel note is seen in this June 22, 2017 illustration photo. REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration/File Photo
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Israel Shekel Slips vs Dollar on Iran, Hezbollah Attack Concerns

An Israeli shekel note is seen in this June 22, 2017 illustration photo. REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration/File Photo
An Israeli shekel note is seen in this June 22, 2017 illustration photo. REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration/File Photo

Israel's shekel slipped as much as 1.5% against the dollar and Tel Aviv stocks shed more than 1% on Monday, with investors becoming increasingly worried over a possible attack on Israel from Iran and Hezbollah.

The shekel stood at 3.77 per dollar by 1255 GMT, versus a rate of 3.72 on Friday but off an earlier intraday low of 3.78.

Israel shekel implied volatility gauges have risen sharply in recent days, with the three month measure hitting nearly 11%, its highest level since November, data from Fenics showed.

"We mostly remain elevated on Iran, with that also generating some of the volatility," said Mizrahi Tefahot Bank chief strategist Yonie Fanning, Reuters reported.

Since the beginning of August, the shekel has firmed 0.1% against the dollar but the currency has weakened 5% over the past 12 months. Emerging market currencies have struggled more widely this year against a broadly stronger dollar.

"The shekel is struggling to hold on to last week's gains amid rising market concerns that an attack by Iran on Israel could be imminent, based on comments from various officials from both sides," said Piotr Matys, senior FX analyst at InTouch Capital Markets.

Israel's currency has been on a roller coaster ride since the start of the month. It had weakened to 3.85 per dollar on Aug. 6 following concerns that Iran and its proxy Hezbollah in Lebanon would retaliate for Israel killing senior Hezbollah and Hamas officials, but the shekel moved back to 3.72 last week on efforts by the United States, UK, France and Germany to prevent attacks.

On Friday, an Iranian Revolutionary Guards deputy commander was quoted as saying by local news agencies that Iran was set to carry out an order by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei to "harshly punish" Israel over the assassination on July 31 of the leader of Palestinian group Hamas in Tehran.

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant told US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Sunday that Iran was making preparations for a large-scale military attack on Israel, according to a report.

"Expectations of a ceasefire are low and declining and the spectre of an Iranian retaliation remains," said Hasnain Malik, head of equity research at Tellimer.

Tel Aviv share indices were down between 1.25% and 1.5%.



Turkish Gold Demand Lifts Italian Jewellery Exports as Leather Goods Suffer

A person passes by a gold shop in Ankara, Türkiye May 29, 2023. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
A person passes by a gold shop in Ankara, Türkiye May 29, 2023. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
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Turkish Gold Demand Lifts Italian Jewellery Exports as Leather Goods Suffer

A person passes by a gold shop in Ankara, Türkiye May 29, 2023. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
A person passes by a gold shop in Ankara, Türkiye May 29, 2023. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

A surge in demand for gold from inflation-stricken Türkiye boosted exports of jewellery from Italy's industrial district of Arezzo in Tuscany, data showed on Monday, offsetting a drop in leather goods sales from the nearby Florence area.

Demand from Türkiye, where inflation was running at 61.8% in July, drove jewellery exports from the Arezzo area up 133% in the first quarter of the year versus 2023, an Intesa Sanpaolo report on Italy's industrial districts showed.

Exports from the other two Italian jewellery districts, the northeastern Vicenza area and Valenza Po, in Piedmont, also rose.

Gold is considered a hedge against higher inflation and a safe store of value in times of uncertainty, Reuters reported.

Exports from the Arezzo jewellery district totalled 1.8 billion euros ($2 billion) in the first quarter, from 800 million a year before, Intesa said.

That is welcome news for the Tuscan economy, which has been hit hard by the global slowdown in luxury goods demand, with exports of leather goods from the Florence district down 23% in the first quarter to 1.35 billion euros.

Tuscany is home to hundreds of small suppliers of the luxury goods industry and a cooling in demand led by China, which has dealt a blow to brands like Kering's Gucci, prompted companies to put thousands of local workers on furlough.

"Districts that supply the fashion industry have suffered from a drop in consumer spending, but also a normalisation of stock levels after two years of strong increase, and the reorganisation of logistics by distributors," the report said.

Meanwhile, Tuscan olive oil exports jumped 72% year-on-year to 382 million euros in the first quarter.

Overall, exports from Italy's industrial districts - small hyper-specialised production areas - fell 1.1%, Intesa said, adding slowing world trade had been driving a decline since spring 2023 - though from high levels.

The districts' exports hit a record high in 2022 above 150 billion euros and remained broadly stable in 2023. Exports are above pre-pandemic levels by nearly 20% overall.

The only exception are intermediate goods exports in the fashion industry which are 10% lower than in the first quarter of 2019.