PM: Egypt Eyes Shift from Commodity Subsidies to Cash Payments by July 2025

FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo
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PM: Egypt Eyes Shift from Commodity Subsidies to Cash Payments by July 2025

FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo

Egypt could begin transitioning from subsidizing essential commodities to providing direct cash assistance to its poorest citizens as early as the next fiscal year (July to June), Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said on Thursday.
Currently, Egypt subsidizes essential commodities for more than half of its population. Over 60 million people have access to discounted prices on staples like pasta, vegetable oil and sugar through state-run outlets, while at least 10 million more benefit from subsidized bread.
“There is widespread consensus that cash subsidies are the way forward,” Madbouly told a press conference, noting that the Ministry of Supply, which oversees Egypt’s subsidy program, is exploring various scenarios for this significant policy shift.
Madbouly expressed optimism that the initial phase of the transition could start in the upcoming fiscal year, provided that consensus was reached on the matter at a year-old national political dialogue that is discussing a variety of reforms.
However, Reuters said that he emphasized that the transition would unfold gradually, in several stages.
The National Dialogue, initiated by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi in April 2022 amid one of Egypt’s most severe economic crises, aims to generate political, economic, and social reform recommendations for the President's consideration.
The government also subsidizes fuel but has outlined plans to reduce these subsidies, aiming to restore fuel prices to their full cost by December 2025.



Oil Prices Ease as Markets Weigh China Stimulus Hopes

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Ease as Markets Weigh China Stimulus Hopes

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil edged lower on Thursday in light holiday trade as the dollar's strength offset hopes for additional fiscal stimulus in China, the world's biggest oil importer.

Brent crude futures settled down 32 cents, or 0.43%, at $73.26 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude closed at $69.62, down 0.68%, or 48 cents, from Tuesday's pre-Christmas settlement.

Chinese authorities have agreed to issue 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) worth of special treasury bonds next year, Reuters reported on Tuesday, citing two sources, as Beijing ramps up fiscal stimulus to revive a faltering economy.

"Injecting a stimulus into a nation's economy creates increased demand, and increased demand pushes prices higher," said Tim Snyder, chief economist at Matador Economics, Reuters reported.

The World Bank on Thursday raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2024 and 2025, but warned that subdued household and business confidence, along with headwinds in the property sector, would keep weighing it down next year.

The US dollar continued to edge up higher after hitting a milestone last week. A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

The latest weekly report on US inventories, from the American Petroleum Institute industry group, showed crude stocks fell last week by 3.2 million barrels, market sources said on Tuesday.

Traders will be waiting to see if the official inventory report from the Energy Information Administration confirms the decline. The EIA data is due at 1 p.m. EST (1800 GMT) on Friday, later than normal because of the Christmas holiday.

Analysts in a Reuters poll expect crude inventories fell by about 1.9 million barrels in the week to Dec. 20, while gasoline and distillate inventories are seen falling by 1.1 million barrels and 0.3 million barrels respectively.

Elsewhere, southbound traffic in Turkey's Bosphorus Strait was set to resume on Thursday, having been halted earlier in the day after a tanker suffered an engine failure, shipping agent Tribeca said.