Bank of England Widely Expected to Hold Interest Rates

File photo: The risk of a resurgence in inflation and the July 4 election are seen as keeping the Bank of England from starting to cut rates at its Thursday meeting ( AFP)

The Bank of England is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday, a day after official figures showed inflation in the UK holding steady at an annual rate of 2.2% in August, with higher airfares offset by lower fuel costs and restaurant and hotel bills.
The latest reading from the Office of National Statistics on Wednesday was in line with market predictions and means that inflation remains just above the British central bank’s goal of 2% for the second month running, having fallen in June to the target for the first time in nearly three years.
Last month, the central bank reduced its main interest rate by a quarter-point to 5%, the first cut since the onset of the pandemic. It was a close call though with four of the nine members voting for no change.
The economic landscape indicates that the BOE is likely to delay a second rate cut until November.
Inflation, wage growth, and labor market conditions are the three key indicators the bank monitors when adjusting monetary policy.
On Wednesday, data showed that British inflation held steady in August but sped up in the services sector which is closely watched by the Bank of England, adding to bets that the central bank will keep interest rates on hold on Thursday.
Consumer price inflation of 2.2% last month was unchanged from July, the Office for National Statistics said, matching the median forecast in a Reuters poll of economists although it was below the BoE's latest projection of 2.4%.
Also, British house prices rose by an annual 2.2% in July, the fifth monthly rise in a row but the pace of increase cooled and was below a revised 2.7% increase in the 12 months to June, the Office for National Statistics said on Wednesday.
The ONS said house prices in London fell 0.4%.
Other indicators of Britain's property sector have shown a recovery as demand improved after a cut in borrowing costs.