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Gold Hits Fresh High In Record-Setting Rally Amid Global Uncertainties

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
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Gold Hits Fresh High In Record-Setting Rally Amid Global Uncertainties

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo

Gold rose to a fresh high on Monday, extending its blazing rally amid uncertainties surrounding the US election, simmering Middle East tensions and rate cuts by major central banks, while silver scaled a near 12-year peak.
Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,727.95 per ounce, as of 0517 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,732.73 earlier. US gold futures were 0.5% higher at $2,743.00.
Helped by bullion's rally, spot silver rose 0.9% to $33.95 per ounce, its highest since late 2012.
"The current market environment consists of interest rates moving south combined with heightened geopolitical risks - a scenario which suits gold on both fronts," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
Investors also digested news that China cut its benchmark lending rates following reductions to other policy rates last month as part of a package of stimulus measures to revive the economy, Reuters said.
Gold demand in top consumer China has taken a hit amid high prices and an economic slowdown.
Elsewhere, traders are pricing in a 99% chance of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in November. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by a quarter point last week.
Lower interest rates enhance gold's allure, as bullion yields no interest. Gold is also considered a safe investment during times of economic and political turmoil.
The 2024 US presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is neck and neck in the seven battleground states that will decide the Nov. 5 election.
In the Middle East, hundreds of Beirut residents fled their homes late Sunday, with multiple explosions heard, as Israel prepared to attack sites linked to the financial operations of the Hezbollah group.
For gold, "$2,800 looks to be a viable year-end target... There will be temptation to lock in some profits, which could slow the immediate upside," Waterer said.
Platinum rose 0.4% to $1,017.84 per ounce, its highest since mid-July. Palladium gained 0.5% to $1,084.97.

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Saudi Aramco CEO ‘Fairly Bullish’ on China Oil Demand

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at the Singapore International Energy Week (SIEW), Singapore October 21, 2024. (Reuters)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at the Singapore International Energy Week (SIEW), Singapore October 21, 2024. (Reuters)
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Saudi Aramco CEO ‘Fairly Bullish’ on China Oil Demand

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at the Singapore International Energy Week (SIEW), Singapore October 21, 2024. (Reuters)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at the Singapore International Energy Week (SIEW), Singapore October 21, 2024. (Reuters)

Saudi Aramco is "fairly bullish" on China's oil demand especially in light of the government's stimulus package which aims to boost growth, the head of the state-owned oil giant said on Monday.

"We see more demand for jet fuel and naphtha especially for liquid-to-chemical projects," Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said on the sidelines of the Singapore International Energy Week conference.

"A lot of it is happening in China mainly because of the growth in chemical needs. Especially for the transition, for the electric vehicles, for the solar panels, they need more chemicals. So that's huge growth there," Nasser said.

Meanwhile, progress in the energy transition in Asia is far slower, much less equitable and more complicated than many have expected, he told the conference, calling for a reset in policies for developing countries.

Even with the transition, as economies expand and living standards rise, the Global South is likely to see significant growth in oil demand for a long time, and while that growth will stop at some point, that is likely to be followed by a long plateau, Nasser said.

"If so, more than 100 million barrels per day would realistically still be required by 2050," he said in a speech at the Singapore International Energy Week conference.

"This is a stark contrast with those predicting that oil will, or must, fall to just 25 million barrels per day by then. Being short 75 million barrels every day would be devastating for energy security and affordability."

Countries should choose an energy mix that helps them meet their climate ambitions at a speed and manner that is right for them, Nasser said. "Our main focus should be on the levers available now."

These include encouraging investments in oil and gas that developing nations need and can afford, and prioritizing the reduction of carbon emissions associated with conventional sources by improving energy efficiency and developing carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS).

Despite trillions of dollars being invested in the global energy transition, oil and coal demand are at all-time highs, dealing a "hammer blow" to energy transition plans, he said.

Asia, which consumes over half of the world's energy supplies, still relies on conventional resources for 84% of its energy needs. Rather than displacing demand for conventional energy, alternatives are mostly meeting consumption growth, he said.

The shift to electric vehicles (EV) in Asia, Africa and Latin America is lagging that of China, the US and European Union as consumers struggle with affordability and infrastructure concerns, he said.

The progress of EVs has no bearing on the other 75% of global oil demand, Nasser said, as massive segments like heavy transportation and petrochemicals have few economically viable alternatives to oil and gas.

Developing countries may require almost $6 trillion each year to fund the energy transition, and Nasser called for them to have a greater say in climate policy-making.

"But Asia’s voice and priorities, like those of the broader Global South, are hard to see in current transition planning, and the whole world is feeling the consequences."