China Flags More Policy Measures to Bolster Yuan

 People shop around for prosperity decorations for the upcoming Chinese Lunar New Year, at a New Year Bazaar in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 13, 2025. (AP)
People shop around for prosperity decorations for the upcoming Chinese Lunar New Year, at a New Year Bazaar in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 13, 2025. (AP)
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China Flags More Policy Measures to Bolster Yuan

 People shop around for prosperity decorations for the upcoming Chinese Lunar New Year, at a New Year Bazaar in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 13, 2025. (AP)
People shop around for prosperity decorations for the upcoming Chinese Lunar New Year, at a New Year Bazaar in Beijing, Monday, Jan. 13, 2025. (AP)

China announced more tools to support its weak currency on Monday, unveiling plans to park more dollars in Hong Kong to bolster the yuan and to improve capital flows by allowing companies to borrow more overseas.

A dominant dollar, sliding Chinese bond yields and the threat of higher trade barriers when Donald Trump begins his US presidency next week have left the yuan wallowing around 16-month lows, spurring the central bank into action.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has tried other means to arrest the sliding yuan since late last year, including warnings against speculative moves and efforts to shore up yields.

On Monday, authorities warned again against speculating against the yuan. The PBOC raised the limits for offshore borrowings by companies, ostensibly to allow more foreign exchange to flow in.

PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng meanwhile told the Asia Financial Forum in Hong Kong that the central bank will substantially increase the proportion of China's foreign exchange reserves in Hong Kong, without providing details.

China's foreign reserves stood at around $3.2 trillion at the end of December. Not much is known about where the reserves are invested.

"Today's comments from the PBOC indicate that currency stability remains an important priority for the central bank, despite the market often discussing the possibility of intentional devaluation to offset tariffs," said Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at ING.

"Increasing China's foreign reserves will give more ammunition to defend the currency if the market situation eventually necessitates it."

China's onshore yuan traded at 7.3318 per dollar as of 0450 GMT on Monday, not far from a 16-month low of 7.3328 hit on Friday.

It has lost more than 3% to the dollar since the US election in early November, on worries that Trump's threats of fresh trade tariffs will heap more pressure on the struggling Chinese economy.

The central bank has been setting its official midpoint guidance on the firmer side of market projections since mid-November, which analysts say is a sign of unease over the yuan's decline.

Monday's announcements underscore the PBOC's challenges and its juggling act as it seeks to revive economic growth by keeping cash conditions easy, while also trying to douse a runaway bond rally and simultaneously stabilize the currency amid political and economic uncertainty.

It has in recent days unveiled other measures. In efforts to prevent yields from falling too much and to control circulation of yuan offshore, it said it is suspending treasury bond purchases but plans to issue huge amounts of bills in Hong Kong.

Gary Ng, senior economist at Natixis, said while China's onshore market has a much better pool of yuan deposits, Hong Kong plays a "significant role with higher turnover driven by FX swaps and spot transactions."

"This means that Hong Kong can be a venue for supporting the yuan through trading activities and potential investments."

Data on Monday showed China's exports gained momentum in December, with imports also showing recovery, although the export spike at the year-end was in part fueled by factories rushing inventory overseas as they braced for increased trade risks under a Trump presidency.



Abdulaziz bin Salman: Saudi Arabia Plans to Enrich, Sell Uranium

Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman speaking at the forum (X)
Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman speaking at the forum (X)
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Abdulaziz bin Salman: Saudi Arabia Plans to Enrich, Sell Uranium

Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman speaking at the forum (X)
Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman speaking at the forum (X)

Saudi Arabia is actively pursuing investments in mineral resources, including uranium enrichment and sales, as part of its broader strategy to achieve 130 gigawatts of renewable energy capacity, ensuring a 20% energy reserve.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman announced these plans during the eighth edition of the In-Kingdom Total Value Add (IKTVA) Forum and Exhibition, organized by Aramco. The event witnessed the signing of 145 agreements and memorandums of understanding worth approximately SAR 33.75 billion ($9 billion), with the aim to promote localization of goods and services, foster collaboration, and strengthen local content in supply chains.

The IKTVA 2025 forum, held under the theme “Ecosystem of Opportunities,” showcased the growth of local supply chains, the progress of key enabler projects, and cooperation to further develop the local supply ecosystem.

During his address, the Energy Minister stated: “Saudi Arabia will enrich, sell, and produce uranium yellowcake,” a refined uranium concentrate used as fuel for nuclear reactors.

He emphasized the nation’s wealth of rare minerals, including uranium, saying: “For anyone doubting our mining capabilities, we will mine, process, and enrich uranium—and achieve even more.”

He highlighted that ensuring the availability of critical materials is essential for energy security, as Saudi Arabia continues to prioritize the stability of oil supply.

The minister also stressed the Kingdom’s goal of reaching 130 gigawatts of renewable energy capacity to meet its anticipated economic growth, which he said is expected to exceed current projections. “Without energy, there can be no prosperous or productive future,” he said.

Prince Abdulaziz emphasized the importance of expanding oil and gas operations, stating that Saudi Arabia is entering a fourth phase of gas system development in collaboration with Aramco. He highlighted efforts to localize advanced technologies developed over the past few years.

The petrochemical industry, he noted, will play a pivotal role in the future, stating: “Its significance extends beyond plastics to include a wide range of materials and polymers that will be produced.”

He also underscored the importance of localizing energy supply chains to boost the national economy through collaboration and innovation, creating new opportunities that align with national goals.

Regarding the IKTVA program, the minister described it as a model initiative that has transitioned from local content development to full-fledged localization. He also touched on Saudi Arabia’s Sustainability Program for Petroleum, launched in 2020, which aims to sustain and grow demand for hydrocarbons as a competitive energy source while ensuring an efficient and sustainable energy transition.

Saudi-Egyptian Cooperation

Prince Abdulaziz also highlighted ongoing efforts to establish a roadmap for cooperation with Egypt in electricity. Egyptian Minister of Electricity and Renewable Energy Mahmoud Esmat previously announced that the Saudi-Egyptian electricity interconnection project would begin operations before the summer of 2024.

Esmat noted that efforts are underway to complete the project, with a task force formed to resolve any obstacles. The two nations are working together to expand investments in renewable energy, particularly solar and wind, and to exchange technical expertise in electricity generation, transmission, and distribution.

Strengthening Local Industries

Aramco President and CEO Amin Nasser revealed plans to increase energy production by 70%, which will contribute to job creation in Saudi Arabia. He highlighted the establishment of over 500 factories since 2015, which have collectively generated $250 million in revenue.

Nasser emphasized Aramco’s extensive industrial projects in Ras Al-Khair and its plans to launch new facilities specializing in mining and manufacturing. He noted that these initiatives will significantly enhance local industries.

He also mentioned that IKTVA operates 16 training centers, having trained over 2,500 individuals in specialized programs and equipped 7,000 citizens with the skills required for the labor market.

Aramco signed 145 agreements and memorandums of understanding valued at SAR 33.75 billion ($9 billion) during the forum. These agreements aim to localize goods and services and strengthen local content in the supply chain.

Since the launch of IKTVA in 2015, localization rates have risen from 35% to 67% by 2024. Wael Al-Jaafari, Aramco’s Executive Vice President for Technical Services, emphasized that IKTVA has created cutting-edge business systems, unlocked new opportunities, and generated jobs for Saudi citizens while building a world-class supply chain.

He added that the program aims to achieve a localization rate of 70%, increase exports of locally manufactured goods and services, and create direct and indirect jobs for Saudi youth. As part of this initiative, 210 localization opportunities across 12 sectors—valued at SAR 105 billion ($28 billion) annually—have been identified.

Since its inception, IKTVA has facilitated the establishment of 350 manufacturing facilities with capital expenditures exceeding SAR 33.75 billion ($9 billion), Al-Jaafari remarked. These facilities cover various sectors, including chemicals, non-metallic materials, IT, electrical equipment, drilling systems, and more. The program has enabled the production of 47 products for the first time in Saudi Arabia.

On the opening day of IKTVA 2025, several key projects were announced, including the launch of Asmo—a joint venture between Aramco Development and DHL in Riyadh aimed at revolutionizing procurement and supply chains in the Middle East and North Africa.

Additionally, Navel Non-Metallic Solutions inaugurated its facility in King Salman Energy City, while the marine manufacturing facility by NMDC began operations in Ras Al-Khair.