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China Metals Tumble on Recession Fears Amid Escalating Trade War 

A woman looks at her phone in the financial district of Shanghai on April 7, 2025. (AFP)
A woman looks at her phone in the financial district of Shanghai on April 7, 2025. (AFP)
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China Metals Tumble on Recession Fears Amid Escalating Trade War 

A woman looks at her phone in the financial district of Shanghai on April 7, 2025. (AFP)
A woman looks at her phone in the financial district of Shanghai on April 7, 2025. (AFP)

Base metal prices in China tumbled on Monday amid escalating trade war concerns and recession fears, while London metals flipped to a decline after rising on arbitrage trading.

The most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) dropped 7.0% to 73,640 yuan per metric ton as of 0805 GMT, hovering near its lowest level in over three months since January 3.

SHFE market was closed last Friday for a holiday.

"The retaliatory tariff makes us worry about trade war, which will impede economic growth globally," a metals trader said.

Top metals consumer China hit back on Friday with additional 34% tariffs on all US goods from April 10, after US President Donald Trump imposed a 34% tariff on most Chinese goods as part of his sweeping reciprocal tariffs.

Meanwhile, the benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) lost 0.5% to $8,733 per ton. Eearlier in the day, copper rose 3% on arbitrage trading.

"When the SHFE market opened in the morning, arbitrage traders actively traded on both SHFE and LME, capitalizing on the price gap to generate profit. Their activity increased market liquidity, which in turn pushed LME metals prices higher," a second base metals trader said.

"Then in the afternoon, the western traders participated in trading, and worries about recession took over," the second trader said.

The traders requested anonymity as they were not authorized to speak to the media.

Arbitrage trading between LME and SHFE happens when traders buy metals on an exchange where it's cheaper and sell it where it's more expensive, profiting from the price difference.

SHFE aluminium slid 3.7% to 19,685 yuan a ton, zinc lost 2.2% to 22,625 yuan, lead fell 3.1% to 16,660 yuan, while nickel was down 7.5% to 118,640 yuan, tin fell 8.6% to 267,800 yuan.

Among other metals, LME aluminium lost 1.0% to $2,355 a ton, lead declined 1.5% to $1,878, zinc lost 2.2% to $2,599, tin was down 4.9% at $33,650 and nickel was down 3.1% at $14,305 a ton.

LME aluminium, lead and zinc rose between 0.5% and 1.6% earlier in the day.

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Business

Oil Prices Fall on Easing Fears Over Saudi Supply Disruption

FILE PHOTO: Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, September 2, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, September 2, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
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Oil Prices Fall on Easing Fears Over Saudi Supply Disruption

FILE PHOTO: Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, September 2, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, September 2, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo

Oil prices fell 2% on Friday, extending losses for a third straight session as easing concerns over Saudi supply disruptions outweighed anxiety about a widening of conflict across the Middle East.

Brent crude futures fell by $2.14, or 2%, to $102.68 a barrel by 0806 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate futures fell $1.83, or 1.8%, to $100.08, Reuters reported.

Benchmark Brent prices are on track for their first weekly loss in three.

Prices climbed to close to four-month highs earlier in the week after sources said crude loadings ⁠at Saudi Arabia's Red Sea export hub of Yanbu had been suspended and Riyadh cancelled some deliveries to Europe after its East-West pipeline was damaged in an attack last week.

However, prices have cooled since on reports that Saudi Arabia was seeking to restore about half the capacity of its East-West oil pipeline within days.

Saudi Arabia has sold about 60 million barrels of crude from its Gulf port of Ras Tanura inside the Strait of Hormuz for loading via ship-to-ship transfer at the Omani port of Sohar this month and next, multiple trade sources said on Friday.

The rebound in Saudi Aramco's exports from inside the Gulf to between 1 million to 1.5 million barrels per day on average, similar to or slightly higher than August's levels, has cooled global oil prices as it could make up for some of the ⁠volume lost at its port of Yanbu.

Chinese and South Korean refiners are among the top buyers of the spot supplies, while some volumes will be going to India and Japan, said the sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

"Recent efforts ‌to restore Saudi export capacity have reduced some of the immediate supply ‌anxiety," said Priyanka Sachdeva, head of market insights at Phillip Nova.

Business

ECB's Lagarde Keeps Door Open to Early Exit

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference after a meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Berlin on September 10, 2026. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP)
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference after a meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Berlin on September 10, 2026. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP)
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ECB's Lagarde Keeps Door Open to Early Exit

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference after a meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Berlin on September 10, 2026. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP)
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference after a meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Berlin on September 10, 2026. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP)

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Friday kept the door open to leaving her post early, replying "we'll see" when asked if she would remain in the position until her term ends ‌in October 2027.

"I ‌leave in ‌2027," ⁠Lagarde told Irish ⁠national broadcaster RTE in response to a question on rumors of her early resignation that have persisted for most ⁠of this year.

When asked ‌if ‌that meant October 2027, ‌Lagarde replied: "We'll see."

"What I ‌can tell you at this point is that whatever the time, it will be ‌handled in the most professional way as ⁠it should ⁠be," she added.

Sources told Reuters this week that France would back Dutchman Klaas Knot to succeed Lagarde as part of a bargain in which a French candidate would be picked for chief economist.

Business

5 Countries Want Smaller Growth of Next EU Budget, Spain Offers Ideas

FILE PHOTO: European Union flags flutter outside the European Commission headquarters in Brussels, Belgium April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: European Union flags flutter outside the European Commission headquarters in Brussels, Belgium April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo
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5 Countries Want Smaller Growth of Next EU Budget, Spain Offers Ideas

FILE PHOTO: European Union flags flutter outside the European Commission headquarters in Brussels, Belgium April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: European Union flags flutter outside the European Commission headquarters in Brussels, Belgium April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo

Germany, Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands and Austria said on Friday the European Union's budget for 2028-2034 must be "several hundred billion euros" smaller than the €2 trillion proposed by the European Commission, drawing battle lines before EU budget talks come to a head in the next three months.

The leaders of the five countries, among the biggest net contributors to the budget, wrote in a joint op-ed in Politico that EU taxpayers ⁠cannot keep paying ⁠more to pay for both old and new priorities.

"It (the budget) is too focused on subsidies and transfers allocated largely in advance, leaving too little room for what Europe urgently needs: common investment in security and defense, competitiveness, innovation, and the fight against irregular migration," the five leaders said.

Net beneficiaries of the EU budget are concerned that ⁠would reduce EU funds for farmers and for equalizing standards of living between the poorer and richer regions of Europe -- a major political concern before parliamentary elections next year in France, Italy, Spain, Poland, Greece, Finland, Slovakia and Estonia.

The European Commission has proposed the budget should amount to €2 trillion or 1.26% of EU Gross National Income (GNI), of which some 168 billion, or 0.11% of GNI, is to service the EU's borrowing for the post-pandemic recovery fund. The five leaders called the proposed nominal increase of around 60% over the 2021-2027 budget "simply not ⁠realistic."

"This is ⁠why we call for a balanced cut to the Commission’s proposal of several hundred billion euros," Reuters quoted them as saying.

To help find a solution, Spain proposed to change the repayment schedule of part of the EU post-pandemic borrowing, linking it to economic growth and spreading it out over a longer period. This, according to Spanish Economy Minister Carlos Cuerpo, would free up some €70 billion.

"An annual payment of about 0.06% of EU GDP would retire the debt by 2058, the deadline agreed by member states," Cuerpo said.

EU governments will discuss the next EU budget at summits in October, November and December in an effort to get a deal before the end of the year.