Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s economy continued its upward trajectory in 2024, solidifying its status as one of the world’s most stable and fastest-growing markets. This momentum is being driven by the Kingdom’s unwavering commitment to economic diversification — a central pillar of Vision 2030 — which has significantly boosted non-oil sectors, expanded private sector participation, and increased the economy’s ability to generate jobs and attract investment.

Non-oil activities now contribute a record 51% to real GDP, marking a major milestone in the country’s transformation journey.

According to the Vision 2030 annual report, Saudi Arabia’s real non-oil GDP grew by 3.9% in 2024 compared to the previous year, fueled by ongoing investments across diverse sectors. Non-oil activities alone expanded by 4.3% year-on-year, reflecting the success of structural reforms and strategic national programs.

At the heart of Vision 2030 is the ambition to build a thriving economy. One of the key benchmarks is improving Saudi Arabia’s position in global GDP rankings. In 2016, the Kingdom ranked 20th worldwide. By 2030, it aims to break into the top 15, with a targeted GDP of SAR 6.5 trillion ($1.7 trillion).

In early 2024, Saudi Arabia adopted a new moving-chain methodology to measure GDP more accurately. Under this updated system, real GDP has grown consistently since 2016 at a compound annual rate of 1.75%, excluding the pandemic-induced downturn in 2020. Non-oil GDP, meanwhile, has shown even stronger performance, expanding at a 3.01% annual pace over the same period.

While the 2024 non-oil GDP target was narrowly missed, the outcome reached 98% of the goal — a strong showing amid global uncertainties. Leading contributors included wholesale and retail trade, hospitality, transportation, logistics, and information technology.

Non-oil exports also played a pivotal role in economic growth, achieving over 75% of their annual targets. Gains came primarily from increased exports of non-oil goods and a sharp rise in re-exports, underlining Saudi Arabia’s growing role in global trade flows.

The private sector’s role in the economy has expanded significantly, with its contribution to GDP reaching 47% — surpassing the 2024 target. Since 2016, this contribution has grown at a compound annual rate of 1.94%.

This progress reflects ongoing efforts to reduce reliance on oil, empower private enterprise, and enhance the Kingdom’s global competitiveness. Key initiatives include national strategies aimed at unlocking sectoral potential, the Public Investment Fund’s push to stimulate private capital, and the successful drive to attract global companies to relocate their regional headquarters to Saudi Arabia.

The government continues to foster a dynamic business environment, supporting small and medium enterprises (SMEs) through regulatory reforms and major development projects. These efforts span several sectors, including manufacturing, transport, logistics, and foreign investment.

Global Confidence, Positive Outlook

International confidence in the Saudi economy remains strong. In 2024, the world’s top three credit rating agencies affirmed the Kingdom’s sovereign creditworthiness. Moody’s assigned a rating of “Aa3” with a stable outlook; Fitch rated it “A+” with a stable outlook; and S&P awarded an “A/A-1” rating, also with a stable outlook.

Global institutions are also optimistic about the Kingdom’s growth prospects. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts Saudi economic growth at 3.8% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026 — well above the global average.

 

 



China's Sinopec Posts 36.8% Drop in 2025 Net Profit

People walk past SINOPEC petrol station, in Shanghai, China, 19 March 2026.  EPA/ALEX PLAVEVSKI
People walk past SINOPEC petrol station, in Shanghai, China, 19 March 2026. EPA/ALEX PLAVEVSKI
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China's Sinopec Posts 36.8% Drop in 2025 Net Profit

People walk past SINOPEC petrol station, in Shanghai, China, 19 March 2026.  EPA/ALEX PLAVEVSKI
People walk past SINOPEC petrol station, in Shanghai, China, 19 March 2026. EPA/ALEX PLAVEVSKI

China Petroleum & Chemical Corp, known as Sinopec, reported a 36.8% decline in 2025 net profit on Sunday, citing rising substitution by new energy sources, and weak petrochemical margins, according to the company's filing.

The world's largest oil refiner by capacity posted net income attributable to shareholders of 31.8 billion yuan ($4.62 billion), based on Chinese accounting standards, in a filing to the Shanghai stock exchange.

Refinery throughput fell 0.8% last year to 250.33 million metric tons, equivalent to 5 million barrels per day. The company forecast refinery throughput would remain stable at about 250 million tons in 2026.

Gasoline and diesel production fell 2.4% and 9.1%, respectively, to 62.61 million tons and 52.64 million tons, while kerosene production rose 7.3% year-on-year to 33.71 million tons.

Annual refining ⁠gross margin was ⁠330 yuan ($47.93) per ton, up 27 yuan year-on-year, mainly due to sharply improved margins for refining by-products such as sulfur and petroleum coke, which offset the impact of high import crude premiums and freight costs.

The company's gasoline sales fell 2.5% year-on-year to 61.1 million tons, with the average price falling 7.7%, while diesel sales fell 9.1% to 51.2 million tons, and the average price fell 8% in ⁠2025, Reuters reported.

Kerosene sales were 24.2 million tons, up 4% year-on-year, while the average price was down 9.9% from 2024.

In 2025, the company's domestic crude oil output reached 255.75 million barrels, up 0.7% year-on-year, while overseas crude oil output was 26.65 million barrels.

Sinopec expects domestic crude oil output to reach 255.6 million barrels in 2026, remaining largely stable, while overseas output is expected to drop to 25.31 million barrels.

Natural gas production rose 4% year-on-year to 1,456.6 billion cubic feet in 2025 and is expected to reach 1,471.7 billion cubic feet in 2026.

The company's ethylene production rose 13.5% year-on-year to 15.28 million tons in 2025.

In 2025, the ⁠company's external sales ⁠revenue from chemical products totaled 378.0 billion yuan, down 9.6% year-on-year, mainly because of lower product prices.

Sinopec's capital spending was 147.2 billion yuan in 2025 with 70.9 billion yuan on exploration and development.

Sinopec said it plans capital spending from 131.6 billion to 148.6 billion yuan this year, including 72.3 billion yuan for exploration and development, mainly for crude oil capacity expansion at Jiyang and Tahe, natural gas capacity projects in western and southern Sichuan, and oil and gas storage and transport facilities.

Sinopec's Hong Kong-listed shares have risen 0.21% year-to-date, outperforming a 1.38% drop in the Hang Seng Index , while lagging behind its peers PetroChina and CNOOC, which have posted 17.58% and 42.63% gains year-to-date, respectively.


Egypt Says it Will Pay $1.3 Billion in Arrears to Oil Companies by June

Egypt had accumulated about $6.1 billion in arrears to foreign oil companies by June 30, 2024  (Ministry of Petroleum)
Egypt had accumulated about $6.1 billion in arrears to foreign oil companies by June 30, 2024 (Ministry of Petroleum)
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Egypt Says it Will Pay $1.3 Billion in Arrears to Oil Companies by June

Egypt had accumulated about $6.1 billion in arrears to foreign oil companies by June 30, 2024  (Ministry of Petroleum)
Egypt had accumulated about $6.1 billion in arrears to foreign oil companies by June 30, 2024 (Ministry of Petroleum)

Egypt will settle $1.3 billion in arrears to international oil companies by June, the petroleum ministry said on Saturday, accelerating its previous timetable for repayments.

Egypt had accumulated about $6.1 billion in arrears to foreign oil companies by June 30, 2024 due to a prolonged foreign currency shortage that delayed payments and weighed on investment and gas output. The shortage has since eased, ⁠though some companies have ⁠said that arrears have been once again accumulating.

Under its prior timetable, announced in January this year, the government had expected to still have arrears of some $1.2 billion by June.

Clearing debt may encourage ⁠foreign oil and gas companies to resume drilling, which would boost local production that has been steadily falling since peaking in 2021.

More local production would help the country to reduce its energy imports.


China's Premier Vows to Expand Global 'Trade Pie'

Chinese Premier Li Qiang is seen on a big screen live broadcasting his speech at the opening of the China Development Forum 2026 held at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on March 22, 2026. (Photo by Ng Han Guan / POOL / AFP)
Chinese Premier Li Qiang is seen on a big screen live broadcasting his speech at the opening of the China Development Forum 2026 held at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on March 22, 2026. (Photo by Ng Han Guan / POOL / AFP)
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China's Premier Vows to Expand Global 'Trade Pie'

Chinese Premier Li Qiang is seen on a big screen live broadcasting his speech at the opening of the China Development Forum 2026 held at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on March 22, 2026. (Photo by Ng Han Guan / POOL / AFP)
Chinese Premier Li Qiang is seen on a big screen live broadcasting his speech at the opening of the China Development Forum 2026 held at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on March 22, 2026. (Photo by Ng Han Guan / POOL / AFP)

China's number two leader Li Qiang said Sunday that his country was willing to help expand the global "trade pie" by further opening up, state media reported, while he slammed unilateralism from certain countries.

Many of China's key trading partners have increasingly called on Beijing to reduce its soaring trade surplus owing to its impact on local competition.

Its trade surged by a fifth in the first two months of the year, official data showed earlier this month, significantly outpacing forecasts.

China "will steadfastly advance high-level opening up, import more high-quality foreign goods, and work alongside all parties to promote the optimized and balanced development of trade", Premier Li Qiang told business executives in Beijing on Sunday, according to Xinhua.

Li was speaking at the opening of the annual China Development Forum, attended this year by prominent business leaders including Apple CEO Tim Cook, AFP reported.

The Chinese premier added that Beijing would work with other countries to "join forces to make the global economic and trade pie larger for everyone".

He slammed growing unilateralism and protectionism, which he said was "no panacea for resolving problems".

Beijing has been seeking to steer a shaky economy onto a more stable path since the end of the pandemic, particularly by boosting consumption.

It had been locked in a blistering trade war last year with Washington after President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on countries including China.

The recent trade boost is a lifeline for China, the world's second-largest economy, as domestic consumer activity has slumped, and adds to the record surplus achieved last year.

The China Development Forum convenes as the Middle East war, triggered by US and Israeli strikes on Iran, rages on.

Tehran has retaliated with strikes across the region and beyond in a conflict that has threatened global energy security as well as China's oil supplies.

Li told the Chinese officials and global business executives the international rules-based order was suffering "severe disruption" with power politics "running rampant".

Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng met with senior representatives of multinational companies including HSBC, UBS, Schneider Electric and Standard Chartered on Saturday, Xinhua reported.