Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s economy continued its upward trajectory in 2024, solidifying its status as one of the world’s most stable and fastest-growing markets. This momentum is being driven by the Kingdom’s unwavering commitment to economic diversification — a central pillar of Vision 2030 — which has significantly boosted non-oil sectors, expanded private sector participation, and increased the economy’s ability to generate jobs and attract investment.

Non-oil activities now contribute a record 51% to real GDP, marking a major milestone in the country’s transformation journey.

According to the Vision 2030 annual report, Saudi Arabia’s real non-oil GDP grew by 3.9% in 2024 compared to the previous year, fueled by ongoing investments across diverse sectors. Non-oil activities alone expanded by 4.3% year-on-year, reflecting the success of structural reforms and strategic national programs.

At the heart of Vision 2030 is the ambition to build a thriving economy. One of the key benchmarks is improving Saudi Arabia’s position in global GDP rankings. In 2016, the Kingdom ranked 20th worldwide. By 2030, it aims to break into the top 15, with a targeted GDP of SAR 6.5 trillion ($1.7 trillion).

In early 2024, Saudi Arabia adopted a new moving-chain methodology to measure GDP more accurately. Under this updated system, real GDP has grown consistently since 2016 at a compound annual rate of 1.75%, excluding the pandemic-induced downturn in 2020. Non-oil GDP, meanwhile, has shown even stronger performance, expanding at a 3.01% annual pace over the same period.

While the 2024 non-oil GDP target was narrowly missed, the outcome reached 98% of the goal — a strong showing amid global uncertainties. Leading contributors included wholesale and retail trade, hospitality, transportation, logistics, and information technology.

Non-oil exports also played a pivotal role in economic growth, achieving over 75% of their annual targets. Gains came primarily from increased exports of non-oil goods and a sharp rise in re-exports, underlining Saudi Arabia’s growing role in global trade flows.

The private sector’s role in the economy has expanded significantly, with its contribution to GDP reaching 47% — surpassing the 2024 target. Since 2016, this contribution has grown at a compound annual rate of 1.94%.

This progress reflects ongoing efforts to reduce reliance on oil, empower private enterprise, and enhance the Kingdom’s global competitiveness. Key initiatives include national strategies aimed at unlocking sectoral potential, the Public Investment Fund’s push to stimulate private capital, and the successful drive to attract global companies to relocate their regional headquarters to Saudi Arabia.

The government continues to foster a dynamic business environment, supporting small and medium enterprises (SMEs) through regulatory reforms and major development projects. These efforts span several sectors, including manufacturing, transport, logistics, and foreign investment.

Global Confidence, Positive Outlook

International confidence in the Saudi economy remains strong. In 2024, the world’s top three credit rating agencies affirmed the Kingdom’s sovereign creditworthiness. Moody’s assigned a rating of “Aa3” with a stable outlook; Fitch rated it “A+” with a stable outlook; and S&P awarded an “A/A-1” rating, also with a stable outlook.

Global institutions are also optimistic about the Kingdom’s growth prospects. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts Saudi economic growth at 3.8% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026 — well above the global average.

 

 



Saudi Arabia’s Non-oil Private Sector Grows in June, New Orders at Four-month High

General view of the Saudi capital Riyadh (AFP)
General view of the Saudi capital Riyadh (AFP)
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Saudi Arabia’s Non-oil Private Sector Grows in June, New Orders at Four-month High

General view of the Saudi capital Riyadh (AFP)
General view of the Saudi capital Riyadh (AFP)

The latest Riyad Bank Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), released on Sunday, showed that growth in Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector accelerated markedly at the end of the second quarter.

The improvement was driven by the strongest increase in new orders and new business in four months, helping business activity regain strong momentum despite continued challenges from weak export demand and mounting inflationary pressures.

The seasonally adjusted headline index rose to 53.3 in June from 52.8 in May, remaining above the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction and signaling a solid improvement in overall operating conditions and the domestic business environment.

Domestic demand rebounds

The report attributed the latest upturn to stronger inflows of new business and higher domestic spending, supported by companies securing approvals for new projects and the resumption of previously delayed sales activity as concerns over regional tensions eased. This helped bolster confidence among both investors and consumers across the kingdom.

The data showed sustained growth in output, with around 18% of surveyed firms reporting higher activity levels, while only 2% recorded a decline in output during June.

Commenting on the survey, Riyad Bank Chief Economist Naif Alghaith said: "Strong output growth, alongside the fastest increase in new orders in four months, indicates that business activity regained positive momentum at the end of the second quarter. These results once again demonstrate the resilience of the domestic economy and the non-oil sector's ability to provide a solid foundation for the kingdom's broader economic growth."

Alghaith added, highlighting companies' operating strategies: "Operationally, firms maintained strict discipline, with employment levels broadly unchanged, while backlogs of work declined for the first time in a year. This suggests companies were able to absorb rising workloads without creating capacity constraints, while prioritizing operational efficiency and measured expansion."

Exports weaken

On the other hand, the report said the rebound in the domestic market contrasted with export performance, as new orders from overseas clients declined for a fourth consecutive month, weighed down by regional logistical disruptions and intensifying competition in external markets.

Price pressures also remained the biggest challenge facing businesses. Input costs recorded their strongest quarterly increase in 15 years, driven by higher fuel, freight and wage costs. The sustained cost pressures prompted around 22% of surveyed firms to raise prices for their goods and services, resulting in the second-fastest increase in output charges in nearly six years.

Alghaith commented on how firms are managing these challenges, saying: "Despite continued cost pressures, companies appear able to manage them prudently without materially affecting overall optimism or the level of activity. This in turn reflects the underlying resilience of businesses and their strong ability to strike a careful balance between maintaining profitability and pursuing sustainable expansion in the market."


Kuwait’s Non-Oil Business Activity Contracts amid Regional Tensions

The "Al-Riqqa" oil tanker sails in the Arabian Gulf waters, off the coast of  Kuwait City on June 27, 2026. (AFP)
The "Al-Riqqa" oil tanker sails in the Arabian Gulf waters, off the coast of Kuwait City on June 27, 2026. (AFP)
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Kuwait’s Non-Oil Business Activity Contracts amid Regional Tensions

The "Al-Riqqa" oil tanker sails in the Arabian Gulf waters, off the coast of  Kuwait City on June 27, 2026. (AFP)
The "Al-Riqqa" oil tanker sails in the Arabian Gulf waters, off the coast of Kuwait City on June 27, 2026. (AFP)

Kuwait’s non-oil private sector came under renewed pressure in June, as regional tensions and rising prices weighed on demand. The result was a sharper contraction in both business activity and new orders.

The latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reading, released Sunday by S&P Global, showed a clear decline in operational and employment levels as the first half of the current year concluded.

Kuwait’s headline PMI declined to 46.4 in June, down from 47.2 in May. The index remained below the neutral 50-point threshold for the fourth consecutive month, signaling a continued and marked deterioration in business conditions across the non-oil private sector.

Participating companies attributed the decline in new orders mainly to a smaller customer base and greater caution among buyers in response to rising prices.

The weakness was not confined to the domestic market. External demand also came under significant pressure, with regional conflict and border-related issues with Iraq contributing to a sharp fall in new export orders.

Excluding the complete lockdown period during the COVID-19 pandemic in April 2020, new business from abroad registered its sharpest decline in June since the study began in September 2018.

Analyzing Kuwait's economic landscape, Andrew Harker, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said that companies in Kuwait continued to feel the impact of regional tensions throughout June, despite some recent positive signs that the conflict could move toward resolution.

Higher prices and intense competition for scarce new orders, especially from abroad, are currently curbing growth opportunities and leaving businesses in a position of retrenchment, he added.

Looking ahead to the second half of the year, he said businesses hope that the signing of the memorandum of understanding to cease hostilities between the US and Iran will help create a more stable market environment and improve overall business conditions.

Within Kuwait, weaker output prompted companies to reduce staffing levels for the fourth consecutive month, at a pace broadly in line with the decline recorded in May.

Lower workloads also led firms to scale back input purchasing sharply. The contraction was the fastest since April 2020, while inventories fell at the quickest rate since the series began.

At the same time, companies continued to face rising operating costs, including higher expenses for electricity, marketing, and transportation.

To protect profitability and offset these pressures, firms again raised the selling prices of their products and services. As a result, output price inflation accelerated to its fastest pace since September 2021, reaching its highest level in nearly five years.


Iraq Approves Preliminary Agreements to Study Strategic Oil Export Pipeline Projects

Workers walk across pipelines at the Rumaila oil field in Basra, Iraq (Reuters)
Workers walk across pipelines at the Rumaila oil field in Basra, Iraq (Reuters)
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Iraq Approves Preliminary Agreements to Study Strategic Oil Export Pipeline Projects

Workers walk across pipelines at the Rumaila oil field in Basra, Iraq (Reuters)
Workers walk across pipelines at the Rumaila oil field in Basra, Iraq (Reuters)

Iraq's cabinet approved Basra Oil Company signing "a heads of agreement", or preliminary agreement, and a non-disclosure agreement with a consortium including US companies Capital TI ‌and Chevron ‌and Qatar's ‌UCC ⁠to study strategic oil ⁠export pipeline projects, according to a cabinet statement.

The consortium will prepare technical and ⁠financial feasibility studies comparing ‌proposed ‌routes including Basra-Haditha-Kirkuk-Ceyhan and ‌Basra-Haditha-Baniyas. The cabinet said ‌the agreements would not create any final financial or contractual ‌obligation for the Iraqi oil ministry.

It also ⁠authorized ⁠Basra Oil Company to sign a consultancy services contract with KBR for a Basra-Haditha oil pipeline project.