S&P: Tadawul Plays Pivotal Role in Saudi Arabia’s Economic Transformation

People enter the Tadawul Tower at Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
People enter the Tadawul Tower at Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
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S&P: Tadawul Plays Pivotal Role in Saudi Arabia’s Economic Transformation

People enter the Tadawul Tower at Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
People enter the Tadawul Tower at Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat) 

Standard & Poor's (S&P) affirmed on Tuesday that the Saudi Exchange, Tadawul, plays a pivotal role in the Kingdom’s economic transformation, serving as a strategic platform to attract capital to support Vision 2030 investments.

It also said that Tadawul has become a major platform for providing alternative sources of financing, by allowing the economy to diversify sources of funding and dependence on direct government funding.

According to a report issued by the credit agency on Wednesday, growth in equity markets will enable companies and financial institutions to allocate more capital toward investments while managing leverage.

It said Tadawul's market capitalization increased 463% to about $2.7 trillion as of Dec. 31, 2024, from about $483 billion at year-end 2014.

The agency showed that one of the key milestones was the IPO of state-owned national oil company, Saudi Aramco, in 2019, which raised $29.4 billion, significantly elevating Tadawul's market capitalization and global standing.

Between 2014 and 2024, it said Tadawul's main market hosted 91 IPOs for an aggregate offering value of about $65 billion, even excluding other listings such as Aramco's secondary offering of about $11.2 billion in July 2024.

As a result, the number of listed issuers on Tadawul's main market grew to 247 by year-end 2024 from 169 in 2014.

The rating agency noted that Tadawul now ranks as one of the largest exchanges among emerging markets, in terms of its market capitalization and is also the largest emerging equity market outside Asia.

Financing Vision 2030 Projects

These developments come at a time when the implementation of Vision 2030 speeds up in Saudi Arabia, estimated to cost more than $1 trillion.

The agency said Vision 2030 projects will require raising funds across several sectors.

“We project that the central government and the Public Investment Fund (PIF) will raise new debt of about $60 billion or 4.9% of GDP annually over 2025-2028,” it noted, adding that the government is also actively promoting investments from large corporates, especially government-related entities (GREs), aiming to channel 5 trillion Saudi riyals (approximately $1.3 trillion) into various sectors through the “Shareek” (partner) program.”

Largest Emerging Markets

According to S&P, Tadawul now ranks as one of the largest exchanges among emerging markets, in terms of its market capitalization and is also the largest emerging equity market outside Asia.

“However, despite strong growth over the past decade, we consider it to be still at an earlier stage of development relative to some major global markets,” it said.

The agency noted that as of year-end 2024, about 67% of the exchange's market capitalization came from Aramco's $1.8 trillion value, while the seven largest issuers represented more than 80%. Of these seven issuers, other than Al Rajhi, all are GREs.

It added that despite the IPOs of many private-sector companies, public-sector entities represent the bulk of new listings.

“These entities have generated about $44 billion of the estimated $65 billions of aggregate IPO value over the past decade,” the agency said.

“For example, in addition to Aramco, Ades Holding and ACWA undertook IPOs of $1.2 billion each; Tadawul raised $1 billion in its own offering, in addition to other public-sector entities,” it added.

 

 



IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.


Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
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Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.


Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.