Experts Say US Partnership to Boost Saudi Economy to $2.6 Trillion

Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

Experts Say US Partnership to Boost Saudi Economy to $2.6 Trillion

Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s signing of a strategic economic partnership with the United States marks a major shift in the Kingdom’s economic trajectory and reinforces its ambitions to become a top-12 global economy with a GDP target of $2.6 trillion, economic experts said.

The agreement was signed on Tuesday at the Al-Yamamah Royal Palace in Riyadh in the presence of Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman and US President Donald Trump. A series of deals and memoranda of understanding were also inked during the ceremony.

Mohammed Duliem AlQahtany, an economics professor at King Faisal University, told Asharq Al-Awsat the agreement represents a long-term strategic move that will reshape bilateral ties. “This partnership ushers in a new phase of comprehensive cooperation,” he said, citing its focus on security, energy, space, environment, health, and scientific research. “It’s a multi-dimensional framework that positions Saudi Arabia as a credible and capable global partner for the United States.”

AlQahtany added that the agreements support the Kingdom’s drive to diversify its economy away from oil and toward innovation and technology. The move is central to Riyadh’s plans to localize key industries, boost non-oil exports, reduce imports, and strengthen the trade balance.

He said the initiatives are also aligned with Saudi Arabia’s vision of becoming a major logistics hub connecting key global economies and continents.

Newly signed Saudi-US agreements in energy, defense, and mining are expected to accelerate the Kingdom’s transformation into a global industrial and technological power while bolstering environmental protection and national security, the Saudi economist said.

AlQahtany also said the energy sector deals will enhance efficiency and environmental sustainability by deploying advanced technologies for carbon capture and emissions reduction, a major challenge in the global energy transition.

He added that agreements in the mining sector could position Saudi Arabia as a key global player in an industry he described as “the future of industrial development.” The deals aim to localize supply chains, foster innovation, and help Saudi mining companies scale up to compete internationally in the coming years.

On the defense front, Al-Qahtani said the agreements would modernize the Kingdom’s defense systems through advanced US technologies, strengthening regional deterrence and deepening the Saudi-American alliance.

Additional agreements focus on emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, space exploration, and advanced scientific research, he noted. They also aim to build human capital, improve customs data exchange, and promote collaborative medical research.

AlQahtany said the broader partnership also seeks to showcase Saudi Arabia’s cultural heritage, particularly the historical treasures of AlUla, on the global stage, while promoting biodiversity and environmental protection across the Kingdom.

The recently signed Saudi-US agreements represent a comprehensive model of strategic partnership that spans security, economy, technology, and culture, reflecting a shared vision to deepen cooperation in areas central to Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, a senior executive said.

Mohamed Omar, CEO of G.WORLD, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Trump administration is actively forging new alliances in the region to advance its strategic goals, with Saudi Arabia playing a pivotal role due to its economic strength and growing regional and global influence.

“These agreements go far beyond traditional security and energy ties,” Omar said. “They encompass diverse sectors including conventional and renewable energy, defense, space, health, culture, mining, industry, trade, and transport, forming the foundation of a knowledge-based, diversified economy.”

He noted that the energy deals will enhance sectoral security and support the green transition, while cooperation with NASA and American research institutions will facilitate technology transfer and innovation, boosting local capabilities.

Omar said the defense agreements aim to modernize Saudi Arabia’s military systems and expand domestic manufacturing, reinforcing the Kingdom’s local defense industry.

He also highlighted efforts to develop the tourism and heritage sectors, particularly through AlUla projects, as part of a broader push to establish Saudi Arabia as a global cultural destination.

“These agreements will attract foreign investment in critical sectors such as mining, space, and clean energy, all of which are vital for income diversification,” he said. “They will also create job opportunities in high-tech, military, and research fields, while helping to develop national talent.”

Omar described the partnership as a “transformational leap” in Saudi-US relations - one that moves beyond traditional models to embrace a forward-looking, innovation-driven alliance that strengthens Saudi Arabia’s status as a regional economic and scientific powerhouse.



US Stocks Dip on Mixed Earnings as Markets Monitor Iran

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on March 24, 2026.  (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP)
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on March 24, 2026. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP)
TT

US Stocks Dip on Mixed Earnings as Markets Monitor Iran

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on March 24, 2026.  (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP)
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on March 24, 2026. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP)

Wall Street stocks retreated from records early Thursday as markets digested a trove of mixed earnings reports and monitored the latest dynamics between the United States and Iran.

Analysts cited profit-taking after both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq shrugged off a jump in oil prices to finish at records on Wednesday.

About 10 minutes into trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.4 percent at 49,311.39, AFP reported.

The broad-based S&P 500 dipped 0.2 percent to 7,126.19, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.3 percent to 24,588.07.

David Morrison, senior market analyst at FCA, called Thursday's early trading action "a mild bout of profit-taking triggered by some worrying reports of hostile action between the US and Iran," according to a note.

The US Defense Department said its forces boarded a vessel in the Indian Ocean that was transporting oil from Iran, while President Donald Trump announced on social media that he ordered the Navy to "shoot and kill" boats placing mines in the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran vowed it would keep the strait closed to all but a trickle of approved vessels for as long as the United States blockaded its ports.

Among companies reporting results, Tesla fell 1.7 percent and Lockheed Martin dropped 3.7 percent, while American Airlines jumped 4.9 percent.


What Does the Inclusion of Saudi Bonds in the J.P. Morgan Index Mean?

Saudi woman walks at the Saudi stock market in Riyadh - Reuters
Saudi woman walks at the Saudi stock market in Riyadh - Reuters
TT

What Does the Inclusion of Saudi Bonds in the J.P. Morgan Index Mean?

Saudi woman walks at the Saudi stock market in Riyadh - Reuters
Saudi woman walks at the Saudi stock market in Riyadh - Reuters

Saudi Arabia’s debt market is set for a strategic shift in early 2027, following J.P. Morgan’s announcement that local-currency bonds will be included in its global emerging markets bond index. The move represents a vote of confidence in the Kingdom’s structural reforms and is expected to open the door to substantial capital inflows that will help finance major economic transformation projects.

In a note, J.P. Morgan said the move follows a series of reforms to improve foreign investor access and enhance local market capabilities.

The bank added that Saudi sukuk, Shariah-compliant debt instruments that function similarly to bonds, with a remaining maturity of up to 15 years, will be eligible for inclusion in the Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM), the most widely tracked benchmark of its kind, with $233 billion in assets tracking it.

J.P. Morgan said eight sukuk issues would be eligible for inclusion, with a total value of $69 billion.

The Kingdom’s inclusion in the index is expected to boost liquidity and demand for sovereign debt, contributing to lower borrowing costs.

In September, J.P. Morgan had placed Saudi Arabia on “Positive Index Watch,” paving the way for its eventual inclusion in the GBI-EM.

Commenting on the decision, Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan told Bloomberg that the move reflects continued confidence in the Kingdom’s economic transformation trajectory. He said the inclusion marks a new milestone in Saudi Arabia’s integration into global financial markets, adding that its immediate impact will be seen in broadening and diversifying the investor base and supporting long-term capital inflows into the domestic debt market, thereby strengthening the resilience and stability of the national economy.

The Significance of the Index

The importance of J.P. Morgan’s index lies in its role as a benchmark guiding major global fund allocations, particularly passive funds that track indices automatically. With an expected weighting of around 2.52 percent, Saudi bonds will become a core component of international investor portfolios, increasing government bond liquidity and reducing borrowing costs over the long term, a critical factor for the Kingdom’s economy.

Passive funds play a key role in ensuring steady inflows. Trillions of dollars globally are managed through such funds. Once Saudi Arabia is included in the index, these funds will purchase Saudi bonds to remain aligned with it. Unlike active investors, they do not rapidly buy or sell based on daily news or market sentiment, but continue to hold bonds as long as they remain in the index, providing significant stability to the Saudi debt market. Their participation also ensures a constant base of large-scale buyers, facilitating bond trading at any time.

Reforms That Paved the Way

This inclusion is the result of a series of regulatory reforms highlighted by the bank in its note. Saudi Arabia has improved international investor access by linking to the global Euroclear system, expanding its network of primary dealers to include international banks, and facilitating cross-border settlement and trading. These measures have enhanced legal certainty and transparency, making the Saudi debt market an attractive and secure destination for foreign capital.

Financial Stability Amid Regional Challenges

Beyond its economic dimensions, the move carries strategic significance amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the region. Increased inflows into local bonds are expected to strengthen the government’s ability to manage any economic fallout from regional instability. It underscores the resilience and attractiveness of the Saudi economy, demonstrating its capacity to attract quality investment and secure the financing needed for its development plans regardless of external challenges.


S&P Warns African Sovereign Credit Rating Risks Likely to Worsen

Central Bank of Egypt building (A.P.)
Central Bank of Egypt building (A.P.)
TT

S&P Warns African Sovereign Credit Rating Risks Likely to Worsen

Central Bank of Egypt building (A.P.)
Central Bank of Egypt building (A.P.)

S&P Global Ratings warned on Thursday that the risks to African sovereign credit scores were likely to worsen the longer the Middle East war drags on.

The ratings agency said that higher fuel and fertilizer import costs would increase inflation and fiscal strains for countries, "potentially leading to rating pressure".

Egypt, Mozambique and Rwanda are among the "most exposed" the agency said, although Egypt's deep domestic capital markets and Rwanda's high levels of concessional debt provide some offset, according to Reuters.

Less exposed are net-oil exporters Nigeria, Angola and Congo-Brazzaville as well as Morocco, due to stronger foreign-currency reserves.

S&P's "base case" assumed that the conflict will peak and that the Strait of Hormuz will gradually reopen but related disruptions will likely persist for months. A resumption of hostilities and a more prolonged conflict would present a greater threat to many African sovereigns.

The ratings agency said it expected Africa's borrowing costs to increase due to war's impacts and as a result of global risk aversion.

S&P in recent weeks kept Egypt's credit rating on a "stable" outlook and affirmed ratings for Morocco, Ghana and Mozambique.