Experts Say US Partnership to Boost Saudi Economy to $2.6 Trillion

Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

Experts Say US Partnership to Boost Saudi Economy to $2.6 Trillion

Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Photo shows President Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince with companies signing investment deals at the Saudi-US Investment Forum (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s signing of a strategic economic partnership with the United States marks a major shift in the Kingdom’s economic trajectory and reinforces its ambitions to become a top-12 global economy with a GDP target of $2.6 trillion, economic experts said.

The agreement was signed on Tuesday at the Al-Yamamah Royal Palace in Riyadh in the presence of Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman and US President Donald Trump. A series of deals and memoranda of understanding were also inked during the ceremony.

Mohammed Duliem AlQahtany, an economics professor at King Faisal University, told Asharq Al-Awsat the agreement represents a long-term strategic move that will reshape bilateral ties. “This partnership ushers in a new phase of comprehensive cooperation,” he said, citing its focus on security, energy, space, environment, health, and scientific research. “It’s a multi-dimensional framework that positions Saudi Arabia as a credible and capable global partner for the United States.”

AlQahtany added that the agreements support the Kingdom’s drive to diversify its economy away from oil and toward innovation and technology. The move is central to Riyadh’s plans to localize key industries, boost non-oil exports, reduce imports, and strengthen the trade balance.

He said the initiatives are also aligned with Saudi Arabia’s vision of becoming a major logistics hub connecting key global economies and continents.

Newly signed Saudi-US agreements in energy, defense, and mining are expected to accelerate the Kingdom’s transformation into a global industrial and technological power while bolstering environmental protection and national security, the Saudi economist said.

AlQahtany also said the energy sector deals will enhance efficiency and environmental sustainability by deploying advanced technologies for carbon capture and emissions reduction, a major challenge in the global energy transition.

He added that agreements in the mining sector could position Saudi Arabia as a key global player in an industry he described as “the future of industrial development.” The deals aim to localize supply chains, foster innovation, and help Saudi mining companies scale up to compete internationally in the coming years.

On the defense front, Al-Qahtani said the agreements would modernize the Kingdom’s defense systems through advanced US technologies, strengthening regional deterrence and deepening the Saudi-American alliance.

Additional agreements focus on emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, space exploration, and advanced scientific research, he noted. They also aim to build human capital, improve customs data exchange, and promote collaborative medical research.

AlQahtany said the broader partnership also seeks to showcase Saudi Arabia’s cultural heritage, particularly the historical treasures of AlUla, on the global stage, while promoting biodiversity and environmental protection across the Kingdom.

The recently signed Saudi-US agreements represent a comprehensive model of strategic partnership that spans security, economy, technology, and culture, reflecting a shared vision to deepen cooperation in areas central to Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, a senior executive said.

Mohamed Omar, CEO of G.WORLD, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Trump administration is actively forging new alliances in the region to advance its strategic goals, with Saudi Arabia playing a pivotal role due to its economic strength and growing regional and global influence.

“These agreements go far beyond traditional security and energy ties,” Omar said. “They encompass diverse sectors including conventional and renewable energy, defense, space, health, culture, mining, industry, trade, and transport, forming the foundation of a knowledge-based, diversified economy.”

He noted that the energy deals will enhance sectoral security and support the green transition, while cooperation with NASA and American research institutions will facilitate technology transfer and innovation, boosting local capabilities.

Omar said the defense agreements aim to modernize Saudi Arabia’s military systems and expand domestic manufacturing, reinforcing the Kingdom’s local defense industry.

He also highlighted efforts to develop the tourism and heritage sectors, particularly through AlUla projects, as part of a broader push to establish Saudi Arabia as a global cultural destination.

“These agreements will attract foreign investment in critical sectors such as mining, space, and clean energy, all of which are vital for income diversification,” he said. “They will also create job opportunities in high-tech, military, and research fields, while helping to develop national talent.”

Omar described the partnership as a “transformational leap” in Saudi-US relations - one that moves beyond traditional models to embrace a forward-looking, innovation-driven alliance that strengthens Saudi Arabia’s status as a regional economic and scientific powerhouse.



IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
TT

IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.


Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
TT

Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.


Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
TT

Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.