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Oil Steadies as Market Assesses US-Iran Talks, Demand Signals

Oil Steadies as Market Assesses US-Iran Talks, Demand Signals
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Oil Steadies as Market Assesses US-Iran Talks, Demand Signals

Oil Steadies as Market Assesses US-Iran Talks, Demand Signals

Oil prices steadied on Tuesday due to uncertainty in US Iran negotiations and Russia-Ukraine peace talks, while new government data delivered a cautious outlook for top crude-importer China's economy.

Brent futures slipped 25 cents, or around 0.4%, to $65.28 a barrel by 1222 GMT.

June US West Texas Intermediate crude futures, which expire on Tuesday, were down 20 cents, or 0.3%, to $64.6, while the more active July contract was down 19 cents, or around 0.3%, at $61.95 a barrel.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei voiced doubts over whether nuclear talks with the US will lead to an agreement, Mehr News reported, as Tehran reviews a proposal to hold a fifth round of negotiations, Reuters reported.

A deal between the two countries would allow Iran to raise oil exports by 300,000 barrels to 400,000 barrels per day if sanctions were eased, StoneX analyst Alex Hodes said.

Prices were capped by US President Donald Trump indicating that he was not ready to join Europe with fresh sanctions to pressure Moscow, while President Vladimir Putin and Ukraine would immediately start negotiations for a ceasefire.

"An immediate resolution of the Russia/Ukraine war does however look unlikely. So while it could lead to more oil from Russia into the market, it is out in time and uncertain as Russia is still bound by its obligation to OPEC+," chief commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said.

Piling more pressure on oil prices was data showing decelerating industrial output growth and retail sales in China, the world's top oil importer, with analysts expecting a slowdown in fuel demand.

However, the analysis did not reflect a 90-day pause on tariffs between the US and China, with Goldman Sachs pointing to a pickup in China trade flows late on Monday.

Beyond macroeconomics, geopolitics and the current headline-trading environment, it is hard to ascertain when "the mood would take a handbrake turn," analyst Tamas Varga wrote to clients.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Business

Saudi Aramco Reportedly Sells Oil from Jafurah Field as Huge Project Starts

Saudi Aramco's Jafurah project. Photo: Aramco
Saudi Aramco's Jafurah project. Photo: Aramco
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Saudi Aramco Reportedly Sells Oil from Jafurah Field as Huge Project Starts

Saudi Aramco's Jafurah project. Photo: Aramco
Saudi Aramco's Jafurah project. Photo: Aramco

Saudi Aramco sold oil from its $100 billion Jafurah project in the first reported export from the massive natural gas development, Bloomberg reported.

Jafurah is Aramco’s first unconventional field, developed using the type of hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, techniques pioneered in the US shale patch.

The deposit, which Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser calls the company’s crown jewel, will produce massive amounts of natural gas once at capacity, expected in 2030. It also has plentiful volume of liquid fuels that will boost the company’s returns, Nasser has said.

The oil that Aramco sold is condensate, a light oil liquid that’s often found in gas deposits, according to traders with knowledge of the purchases. It will go to buyers in Asia for loading later this month or in early March, Bloomberg quoted the traders as saying.

Business

Industry Ministry: Saudi Arabia Saw 220% Surge in Mining Licenses in 2025

The surge highlights the appeal of the mining investment environment in the Kingdom. SPA
The surge highlights the appeal of the mining investment environment in the Kingdom. SPA
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Industry Ministry: Saudi Arabia Saw 220% Surge in Mining Licenses in 2025

The surge highlights the appeal of the mining investment environment in the Kingdom. SPA
The surge highlights the appeal of the mining investment environment in the Kingdom. SPA

The Saudi Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources has announced record growth in the number of new mining exploitation licenses issued in 2025, showing a remarkable increase of 220% compared to 2024.

The surge highlights the appeal of the mining investment environment and the ministry's ongoing efforts to promote the exploration and utilization of the Kingdom's mineral resources, which are valued at over SAR9.4 trillion.

Jarrah Al-Jarrah, the ministry’s spokesperson, revealed that total investment in these new licensing projects has exceeded SAR44 billion, focused on the extraction of high-quality mineral ores, including gold and phosphate.

Al-Jarrah emphasized that the ministry is dedicated to facilitating mining investments and streamlining the process for both local and international investors, thereby supporting sector development and maximizing returns.

This effort aligns with the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030, which aims to position mining as the third pillar of national industry and a key contributor to economic diversification.

The Saudi mining sector made significant progress in the 2024 annual survey of mining companies conducted by the Fraser Institute of Canada.

The Kingdom improved its position in the Mining Investment Attractiveness Index, moving up from 114th place in 2013 to 23rd place globally. This achievement underscores the effectiveness of regulatory and legislative reforms within the sector.

Business

UK Economy Barely Grew in Q4 as Budget Uncertainty Weighed

The financial district of the City of London (Reuters)
The financial district of the City of London (Reuters)
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UK Economy Barely Grew in Q4 as Budget Uncertainty Weighed

The financial district of the City of London (Reuters)
The financial district of the City of London (Reuters)

Britain's economy barely grew in the final quarter of 2025 as activity fared worse than initially estimated during the run-up to finance minister Rachel Reeves' budget, official figures showed on Thursday.

Gross domestic product grew by 0.1% in the October-to-December period, the same slow pace as in the third quarter, the Office for National Statistics said.

Economists polled by Reuters, as well as the Bank of England, had forecast 0.2% fourth-quarter growth compared with the ‌previous three months.

The ‌period was marked by rampant speculation about tax increases ‌ahead ⁠of Reeves' budget ⁠on November 26. The ONS revised down monthly GDP data for the three months to November to show a 0.1% contraction rather than 0.1% growth.

Some more recent data have suggested that uncertainty has lifted for consumers and businesses.

"Looking at various surveys, there were some tentative signs that sentiment turned a corner and started to improve after the budget last year, which could help deliver a pick-up in activity this ⁠year," Luke Bartholomew, deputy chief economist at Aberdeen, said.

"However, recent ‌political uncertainty may see that sentiment bounce reverse."

Prime ‌Minister Keir Starmer has had to fight to keep his grip on Downing Street this ‌week due to fallout from the Jeffrey Epstein scandal.

Thursday's figures underscored why ‌investors think that the Bank of England is more likely than not to cut interest rates again in March.

The monthly GDP data showed a sharp downward revision to growth.

The data suggested hesitancy on the part of businesses during the fourth quarter as their investment fell ‌by almost 3% - the biggest quarter-on-quarter drop since early 2021, driven largely by volatile transport investment.

Economist Thomas Pugh at ⁠tax and consultancy ⁠firm RSM said the overall weakness in business investment suggested budget uncertainty held back investment and spending.

Manufacturing was the biggest driver of the increase in output, despite the fact that car output was still recovering from September's cyber attack on Jaguar Land Rover, while the dominant services sector was flat. Construction output contracted by 2.1%.

In 2025 as a whole, Britain's economy grew by an annual average 1.3%, the Office for National Statistics said, compared with 0.9% in France, 0.7% in Italy and 0.4% in Germany.

British economic growth per head contracted by 0.1% for a second quarter, although it rose by 1.0% for 2025 as a whole.

In December alone, the economy grew by 0.1%, the ONS said, as expected in the Reuters poll. That left the size of the economy back at its level of June 2025.