QEF Explores Gulf States’ Impact in Coming Decade

Qatar’s Prime Minister speaks at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum. (AFP)
Qatar’s Prime Minister speaks at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum. (AFP)
TT

QEF Explores Gulf States’ Impact in Coming Decade

Qatar’s Prime Minister speaks at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum. (AFP)
Qatar’s Prime Minister speaks at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum. (AFP)

Qatar’s Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, has said US President Donald Trump’s recent visit to the Gulf represents a strategic opportunity for the region.

He stressed on Tuesday that the relationship between Doha and Washington remains both “fundamental and strong.”

“The gift of a plane to President Trump reflects the depth of our bilateral ties,” he added.

His comments were made during the opening session of the fourth edition of the Qatar Economic Forum, held in collaboration with Bloomberg.

The high-profile event, which runs from May 20 to 22, brought together world leaders, business executives, academics, and entrepreneurs for wide-ranging discussions on the global economy.

This year’s forum is held under the theme “A Road to 2030: The Global Economic Transformation,” focusing on major shifts in the global economic landscape and the Gulf region’s role in shaping the decade ahead.

Addressing energy market dynamics, Qatari Minister of Energy Saad Al-Kaabi cautioned that oil prices falling below $60 per barrel could significantly reduce investment and strain electricity supply. He noted that the LNG sector’s planned expansion requires prices to hover between $70 and $80 per barrel to remain viable.

Oil is currently trading at around $65 per barrel, recovering from recent lows triggered by US-imposed tariffs on several countries. Temporary suspension of those tariffs and emerging hopes for a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine war have helped stabilize prices, Al-Kaabi said.

He acknowledged that the uncertainty stemming from those tariffs had caused notable concern in the energy sector.

On the issue of global gas supply, Al-Kaabi dismissed fears of oversupply, asserting that Qatar, one of the world’s leading LNG exporters, remains unconcerned. “Chinese and Indian buyers are in ongoing discussions to secure additional volumes from Qatar,” he said.

Al-Kaabi also announced that LNG exports from the North Field East project are expected to begin by mid-2026. Addressing potential competition with US gas exports, he remarked that American LNG, now the world’s largest, would primarily target Europe and South America, posing little challenge to Qatar’s dominance in Asia.

Meanwhile, Qatar Central Bank Governor Sheikh Bandar bin Mohammed Al Thani said that the direct impact of US tariffs on Qatar is “minimal,” noting that less than 2 percent of Qatari exports are bound for the US. However, he cautioned that declining global energy prices could weigh on the country’s financial budget and current account balance.

In a related development, Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) CEO Mohammed Al-Sowaidi revealed plans to at least double the fund’s annual US investments over the next decade. This builds on QIA’s earlier pledge to invest $500 billion into the US economy over the same period.

Al-Sowaidi also confirmed that QIA had recently redeployed investments into Elon Musk’s company, X.AI, in 2025. He stressed the importance of bolstering US manufacturing capacity and highlighted the shifting trade dynamics between China and the US as an opening for strategic investment in American supply chains.

The forum follows Trump’s recent visit to Doha, part of a broader Gulf tour, during which the US and Qatar signed joint agreements. According to the White House, the deals are expected to generate an economic exchange worth at least $1.2 trillion.

Qatar’s Finance Minister Ali bin Ahmed Al-Kuwari also took the stage, announcing Doha’s keen interest in investment opportunities in Syria. His remarks came after the US, with Saudi support, lifted all economic sanctions on Syria, a move soon mirrored by the European Union.

Al-Kuwari reaffirmed Qatar’s long-term confidence in Egypt as well, calling it a “promising investment destination.” Last month, during Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi’s visit to Doha, Qatar committed to injecting more than $7 billion into the Egyptian market.



EU Opposes Removing Oil Sanctions on Russia to Cool Energy Prices

Pumpjacks operated by Aera Energy work the wells at the Midway-Sunset field near Taft in Kern County, California, on March 8, 2026. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)
Pumpjacks operated by Aera Energy work the wells at the Midway-Sunset field near Taft in Kern County, California, on March 8, 2026. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)
TT

EU Opposes Removing Oil Sanctions on Russia to Cool Energy Prices

Pumpjacks operated by Aera Energy work the wells at the Midway-Sunset field near Taft in Kern County, California, on March 8, 2026. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)
Pumpjacks operated by Aera Energy work the wells at the Midway-Sunset field near Taft in Kern County, California, on March 8, 2026. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)

EU economy chief Valdis Dombrovskis said Tuesday the European Union did not support removing sanctions on Russian oil despite soaring energy prices, AFP reported.

"We must continue to exert maximum pressure on Russia," he said when asked about US President Donald Trump's announcement he will waive some sanctions on oil, warning easing restrictions would "reinforce Russia's capacity to wage war, undermining Ukraine".


Airlines Hike Ticket Prices as Iran War Propels Fuel Costs

A Qantas logo is visible on the tail of an airplane at an airport in Sydney, Australia, September 18, 2025. (Reuters)
A Qantas logo is visible on the tail of an airplane at an airport in Sydney, Australia, September 18, 2025. (Reuters)
TT

Airlines Hike Ticket Prices as Iran War Propels Fuel Costs

A Qantas logo is visible on the tail of an airplane at an airport in Sydney, Australia, September 18, 2025. (Reuters)
A Qantas logo is visible on the tail of an airplane at an airport in Sydney, Australia, September 18, 2025. (Reuters)

Australia's Qantas Airways , Scandinavia's SAS and Air New Zealand announced airfare hikes on Tuesday, blaming an abrupt spike in the cost of fuel caused by the Middle East conflict.

Jet fuel prices, which were around $85 to $90 per barrel before US-Israeli strikes on Iran, have soared to between $150 and $200 per barrel in recent days, New Zealand's flag carrier said as it suspended its financial outlook for 2026 due to uncertainty over the conflict.

The war, which disrupted shipping via the world's most vital oil export route, has sent oil prices surging, upending global travel, pushing airline tickets on some routes sky-high, and sparking fears of a deep travel slump that could lead to widespread grounding of planes.

"Increases of this magnitude make it necessary to react in order to maintain stable and reliable operations," an SAS spokesperson said in a statement to Reuters, adding it had implemented a "temporary price adjustment".

The largest Scandinavian airline said last ‌year it had temporarily ‌adjusted its fuel hedging policy due to uncertain market conditions and that it had no ‌fuel ⁠consumption hedged for the ⁠following 12 months.

While several Asian and European airlines, including Lufthansa and Ryanair, have oil hedging in place, securing a part of their fuel supplies at fixed prices, Finnair warned that even the availability of fuel could be at risk if the conflict dragged on.

"A prolonged crisis could affect not only the price of fuel but also its availability, at least temporarily," a Finnair spokesperson said, adding that it had not seen this happening yet. It had hedged over 80% of its first-quarter fuel purchases.

AIRSPACE CHAOS IN THE MIDDLE EAST

Highlighting the airspace chaos in the Middle East, planes arriving in Dubai were briefly placed in a ⁠holding pattern on Tuesday due to a potential missile attack, flight tracking service Flightradar24 said on X. ‌The planes eventually landed.

Qantas said in addition to increasing international fares, it was exploring ‌options to redeploy capacity to Europe as airlines and passengers seek to evade disruptions in the Middle East, where drone and missile fire have ‌curtailed flights.

Airfares have soared on Asia-Europe routes due to airspace closures and capacity constraints, and Hong Kong's Cathay Pacific Airways said on ‌Tuesday it was adding extra flights to London and Zurich in March.

Air New Zealand said it had raised one-way economy fares by NZ$10 ($6) on domestic routes, NZ$20 on short-haul international services and NZ$90 on long-haul, with more adjustments to prices and schedules possible if jet fuel costs remain elevated.

Hong Kong Airlines said on its website it would raise its fuel surcharges by up to 35.2% from Thursday, with the sharpest increase on flights between ‌Hong Kong and the Maldives, Bangladesh and Nepal.

AIRLINE SHARES STABILISE AFTER SELLOFF

Some airline stocks rose and oil prices fell to around $90 a barrel on Tuesday from a high of $119 on Monday ⁠after US President Donald Trump said ⁠on Monday the war could be over soon. When markets opened in Europe, airline shares were up between 4% and 7%.

In Asia, airline shares showed signs of stabilising, with Qantas closing up 0.5%, Korean Air Lines rising 3% and Cathay Pacific up 3.6%. All had recorded sharp declines on Monday.

Fuel is the second-largest expense for air carriers after labor, typically accounting for a fifth to a quarter of operating expenses.

CONFLICTS SHRINKING AVAILABLE AIRSPACE

In addition to high fuel costs, tightening airspace also threatens to derail the global travel industry, as pilots reroute to avoid the Middle East conflict and capacity on popular routes fills up.

Emirates, Qatar Airways and Etihad typically jointly account for about one-third of the passenger traffic between Europe and Asia and fly more than half of all passengers from Europe to Australia, New Zealand and nearby Pacific Islands, according to Cirium.

European airlines have already struggled with the shortage of available airspace created by the war in Ukraine, with many avoiding Russian airspace and flying longer international routes. Now, with even less available airspace, they say their business has become even more challenging.


Aramco Sees ‘Catastrophic Consequences’ for Oil Markets if Hormuz Strait Remains Blocked

President and CEO of Saudi's Aramco, Amin Nasser, speaks during the Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia October 29, 2024. (Reuters)
President and CEO of Saudi's Aramco, Amin Nasser, speaks during the Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia October 29, 2024. (Reuters)
TT

Aramco Sees ‘Catastrophic Consequences’ for Oil Markets if Hormuz Strait Remains Blocked

President and CEO of Saudi's Aramco, Amin Nasser, speaks during the Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia October 29, 2024. (Reuters)
President and CEO of Saudi's Aramco, Amin Nasser, speaks during the Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia October 29, 2024. (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia's Aramco , the world's top oil exporter, said on Tuesday there would be "catastrophic consequences" for the world's oil markets if the Iran war continues to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil shipments have been largely blocked from using the shipping artery, where normally roughly 20% of the world's oil would pass through daily. Iran's Revolutionary Guards said on Tuesday they would not allow "one liter of oil" to be shipped from the Middle East if US and Israeli attacks continue.

"There would be catastrophic consequences for the world's oil markets and the longer the disruption goes on ... the more drastic the consequences for the global economy," Aramco CEO Amin Nasser told reporters on an earnings call.

"While we have faced disruptions in the past, this one by far is the biggest crisis the region's oil and gas industry has faced."

WIDE RANGE OF SECTORS MAY BE HIT

The crisis has not only ‌upended the shipping ‌and insurance sectors, but it also promises to have drastic domino effects on aviation, agriculture, automotive ‌and ⁠other industries, he added.

Global ⁠crude benchmark Brent, which rocketed to a more than three-year high of nearly $120 a barrel on Monday, was trading around $92 on Tuesday following comments by US President Donald Trump predicting the war could end soon.

Trump, however, warned that the US would hit Iran much harder if it blocked exports from the vital energy-producing region.

He has also said the US Navy could escort ships in the Gulf to guarantee safe passage. But the Navy's capacity to do that is unclear, with some vessels already engaged in strikes against Iran and shooting down its missiles.

Asked about US Navy escorts and whether they were possible on the scale required, Nasser said there are sizable volumes involved, ⁠adding that Aramco's customers assume the risk of delivery.

"Of course, we would support any actions ‌or measures that would help to deliver our products to our customers, to ‌the global market," he said.

NO EXPORTS FROM THE GULF

Nasser noted global inventories of oil ‌were at a five-year low and said the crisis will lead to drawdowns at a faster rate, adding that it was critical that shipping in the strait resumed.

"Unfortunately, for global markets, most of the spare capacity is in this region," Nasser told analysts on a call, noting that incremental demand throughout the year will keep the market tightly balanced.

At present, Aramco is not exporting oil from the Gulf as ships cannot load ‌cargoes there. But the company, which does not disclose its exact crude output, is meeting the majority of its customers' needs, he said, partly by tapping into global inventories.

"Now, that ⁠cannot be used - that inventory - ⁠for an extended period of time, but for the time being, we are capitalizing on it," he said.

The East-West pipeline is, meanwhile, being used to transport mostly Arab Light and some Arab Extra Light crude grades to the Red Sea port of Yanbu. The pipeline, which has more than doubled its initial capacity, is expected to reach its full capacity of 7 million barrels per day in the next couple of days as customers re-route, Nasser said.

"Even with our ability to export through the western region, you're talking about close to 350 million barrels of disruptions that will come off the market," he said.

In addition to the pipeline, Aramco is also able to direct crude towards domestic demand, he noted. Close to 2 million bpd of the pipeline's 7 million bpd capacity is going to western domestic refineries, which are net exporters of products, Nasser added.

A small fire from an attack last week on Aramco's Ras Tanura refinery, its largest domestically, was quickly extinguished and brought under control, Nasser said, adding that the refinery was in the process of being restarted.