Gulf financial markets recorded significant gains on Tuesday, driven by improved investor sentiment following the announcement of a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. The development eased geopolitical concerns that had weighed heavily on the region’s markets over the past two weeks.
US President Donald Trump announced a full ceasefire late Monday, potentially bringing an end to a 12-day war that had led to mass evacuations from Tehran and raised fears of further regional escalation.
Over the past two days, Gulf markets had already begun to show mixed but generally positive performance, recovering from consecutive losses since the conflict began.
Saudi Arabia’s main index, the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI), closed up 2.4%, reaching 10,964 points, marking its second consecutive day of gains. Trading volumes hit their highest levels of the year. Al Rajhi Bank led the rally with a 2.8% gain, while Aramco shares continued to decline by 2%, closing at SAR24.34, their lowest level in four years.
In the UAE, the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange saw its largest daily gain since October 18, 2022, rising by 2.5%. Meanwhile, the Dubai Financial Market index jumped 3.4%, achieving its strongest daily performance since December 16. Kuwait’s Premier Market Index also rose by 2.4%, its best showing since April 8, and Qatar’s main index climbed 1.9%, its strongest daily performance since April 10.
Commenting on the rally, Mohammed Al-Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Gulf markets’ positive reaction was a natural response to the easing of geopolitical tensions after the Iran-Israel ceasefire. He noted that much of the rebound was driven by short-term investors and speculators seeking to benefit from the upward correction sparked by political relief.
Al-Farraj stressed that Saudi Arabia’s market has become more resilient and mature in the face of oil price volatility, thanks to its ongoing economic diversification under Vision 2030. He highlighted that non-oil revenues accounted for approximately 40% of total government income in 2024, an indicator of a positive structural shift in the Saudi economy. Sectors like tourism, logistics, and mining are increasingly contributing to the country’s GDP, enhancing the Saudi market’s long-term appeal for both domestic and international investors.
Regarding the broader region, Al-Farraj said that while Gulf markets remain closely tied to oil price movements - which affect government revenues and corporate profits - the Saudi market is advancing steadily toward reducing its oil dependency, boosting its ability to weather market fluctuations and enhancing its investment resilience.
