Trump’s Doubling of Tariffs on Indian Imports Takes Effect, Hiking Tensions 

Workers look for fabrics for dresses inside a store at a garment manufacturing unit in Noida, India, August 27, 2025. (Reuters)
Workers look for fabrics for dresses inside a store at a garment manufacturing unit in Noida, India, August 27, 2025. (Reuters)
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Trump’s Doubling of Tariffs on Indian Imports Takes Effect, Hiking Tensions 

Workers look for fabrics for dresses inside a store at a garment manufacturing unit in Noida, India, August 27, 2025. (Reuters)
Workers look for fabrics for dresses inside a store at a garment manufacturing unit in Noida, India, August 27, 2025. (Reuters)

US President Donald Trump's doubling of tariffs on goods from India to as much as 50% took effect as scheduled on Wednesday, escalating tensions between the world's two largest democracies and strategic partners.

A punitive 25% tariff imposed due to India's purchases of Russian oil adds to Trump's prior 25% tariff on many products from India. It takes total duties to as high as 50% for goods such as garments, gems and jewellery, footwear, sporting goods, furniture and chemicals - among the highest imposed by the US and on par with Brazil and China.

The new tariffs threaten thousands of small exporters and jobs, including in Prime Minister Narendra Modi's home state of Gujarat.

India's Commerce Ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. However, a Commerce Ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said exporters hit by tariffs would receive financial assistance and be encouraged to diversify to markets, such as China, Latin America and the Middle East.

A US Customs and Border Protection notice to shippers provides a three-week exemption for Indian goods that were loaded onto a vessel and in transit to the US before the midnight deadline. These goods can still enter the US at prior lower tariff rates before 12:01 a.m. EDT (0401 GMT) on September 17.

Also exempted are steel, aluminum and derivative products, passenger vehicles, copper and other goods subject to separate tariffs of up to 50% under Section 232 national security trade law.

India trade ministry officials say the average tariff on US imports is around 7.5%, while the US Trade Representative's office has highlighted rates of up to 100% on autos and an average applied tariff rate of 39% on US farm goods.

FAILED TALKS

As the midnight activation deadline approached, US officials offered no hope for India to avert the tariffs.

"Yeah," said White House trade adviser Peter Navarro when asked if the increased tariffs on India's US-bound exports would go into effect as previously announced on Wednesday. He offered no further details.

Wednesday's tariff move follows five rounds of failed talks, during which Indian officials had signaled optimism that US tariffs could be capped at 15%, the rate granted to goods from some other major US trade partners including Japan, South Korea and the European Union.

Officials on both sides blamed political misjudgment and missed signals for the breakdown in talks between the world's biggest and fifth-largest economies. Their two-way goods trade totaled $129 billion in 2024, with a $45.8 billion US trade deficit, according to US Census Bureau data.

EXPORTERS LOSE COMPETITIVE EDGE

Exporter groups estimate hikes could affect nearly 55% of India's $87 billion in merchandise exports to the US, while benefiting competitors such as Vietnam, Bangladesh and China.

"The move will disrupt Indian exports to the largest export market," said S.C. Ralhan, president of Federation of Indian Export Organizations, noting about 55% of exports, including textiles, chemicals and leather, will face a 30–35% price disadvantage against competitors.

The government should consider a one-year moratorium on banks loans for affected exporters, besides extending low-cost credit and easier availability of loans, he said.

Rajeswari Sengupta, an economics professor at Mumbai's Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, said allowing the rupee to "depreciate is one way to provide indirect support to the exporters" and regain lost competitiveness.

Sustained tariffs at this rate could dent India's growing appeal as an alternative manufacturing hub to China for goods, such as smartphones and electronics.

The US-India standoff has raised questions about the broader relationship between India and the US, important security partners who share concerns about China.

However, on Tuesday the US State Department and India's Ministry of External Affairs issued identical statements saying senior officials of the ministries and defense departments met virtually on Monday and expressed "eagerness to continue enhancing the breadth and depth of the bilateral relationship."

Both sides also reaffirmed their commitment to the Quad, a partnership that brings together the US and India with Australia and Japan.



Dollar Set for Weekly Gain on Stalled US-Iran Talks and Middle East Uncertainty

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
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Dollar Set for Weekly Gain on Stalled US-Iran Talks and Middle East Uncertainty

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)

The dollar was on track for its first weekly gain in three weeks on Friday in broadly muted trading, as stalled peace negotiations between the US and Iran dampened hopes for an immediate easing of Middle East tensions.

While Lebanon and Israel extended their ceasefire for three weeks ahead of its expiration on Sunday, Iran showed off its control over the Strait of Hormuz by releasing footage of its commandos storming a huge cargo ship, leaving the timing of the reopening of the world's most important shipping corridor uncertain and keeping oil prices elevated.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, slipped 0.1% to 98.75 but remained on track for a weekly gain of 0.5%. The euro was 0.1% higher at $1.169, Reuters reported.

Sterling edged 0.1% higher, with stronger-than-expected UK retail sales for March barely moving the needle.

"If you look at the last week the major theme is just that there's no real progression with peace talks. For markets, it's difficult when there's no deadline," said Tommy Von Brömsen, FX strategist at Handelsbanken in Stockholm.

Brent crude futures rose 1.5% to $106.60 a barrel.

The dollar has drawn safe-haven demand amid the uncertainty. It gained ground in March as concerns over the conflict deepened, but gave back some of those gains this month as optimism over a potential resolution grew.

"Oil and the dollar are still moving pretty closely together, and with crude creeping back up ... I'd say the dollar is still staying fairly firm," said Sho Suzuki, a market analyst at Matsui Securities.

Meanwhile, the yen was steady after four days of losses, rising 0.1% to 159.7 per dollar.

CENBANK BONANZA LOOMS

Traders are looking ahead to a central-bank-heavy week next week, with the Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Bank of England and Federal Reserve among those due to deliver policy decisions.

"The main message from the central banks is that they are - so far at least - in a kind of 'wait-and-see' approach," said Handelsbanken's Von Bromsen.

He said the focus will be on communication and guidance, as market watchers assess how policymakers are digesting not just higher energy prices but the second-round effects of potentially higher inflation.

The European Central Bank will hold its deposit rate on April 30 but hike it in June, according to just over half of economists polled by Reuters, in a bid to protect a war-induced energy shock from knocking the euro zone economy off balance.

Meanwhile in Japan core consumer inflation slowed below the central bank's 2% target for a second straight month in March. Analysts, though, expect inflation to accelerate back above the Bank of Japan's target in coming months, as companies begin to pass on higher fuel costs from the Middle East conflict.

The BOJ is set to hold its two-day policy meeting ending on Tuesday. Reuters reported the bank is likely to hold off raising interest rates next week as fading prospects of a near-term end to the Middle East war keep the country's economic and price outlook highly uncertain. The BOJ is still expected to signal its readiness to hike to counter mounting price pressures.

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated her verbal warning on intervention on Friday that authorities can take "decisive" action against speculative moves in the foreign exchange market, a day after saying Japan has a "free hand" to intervene and that past interventions had been effective.

The Australian dollar rose 0.1% versus the greenback to $0.7135. New Zealand's kiwi rose 0.1% to $0.5859.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was little changed at $77,895.85.


Gold on Track for First Weekly Decline in Five as Iran War Drags On

One of two gold bracelets is displayed during a media presentation at the National History Museum of Romania in Bucharest, Romania, 21 April 2026.EPA/ROBERT GHEMENT
One of two gold bracelets is displayed during a media presentation at the National History Museum of Romania in Bucharest, Romania, 21 April 2026.EPA/ROBERT GHEMENT
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Gold on Track for First Weekly Decline in Five as Iran War Drags On

One of two gold bracelets is displayed during a media presentation at the National History Museum of Romania in Bucharest, Romania, 21 April 2026.EPA/ROBERT GHEMENT
One of two gold bracelets is displayed during a media presentation at the National History Museum of Romania in Bucharest, Romania, 21 April 2026.EPA/ROBERT GHEMENT

Gold prices fell on Friday and were on course for their first weekly decline after a four-week winning streak, as a US-Iran deadlock kept oil prices elevated and inflation concerns in focus.

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $4,683.23 per ounce at 0938 GMT, having hit its lowest point since April 13. It is down almost 3% so far this week. US gold futures for June delivery fell 0.5% to $4,699.

"Oil is going to be a pinch point in the Strait of Hormuz. It's going to remain elevated. And for sure, the decline in gold has mirrored the rally in oil," said independent analyst Ross Norman.

"The reality is gold is struggling to get upside momentum. When you can't breach the upside, you tend to attack the downside, and I think that's probably where we're at right now," Norman added.

Brent crude prices have risen about 18% so far this week and held above $105 a barrel, on concerns of a renewed military escalation in the Middle East and a lack of progress in re-opening the key waterway.

Higher crude oil prices can stoke inflation, increasing the likelihood that interest rates stay higher for longer.

While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, elevated rates make yield-bearing assets more attractive, weighing on demand for non-yielding bullion, according to Reuters.

US President Donald Trump said he was in no rush to reach a peace agreement with Iran and wanted it to be "everlasting," while continuing to assert that the US had a clear upper hand in the naval stand-off in the strait.

Meanwhile, the dollar was on track for its first weekly gain in three weeks, while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields gained 2% this week.

On the physical demand side, gold premiums in India climbed to their highest in over two-and-a-half months this week, as supplies tightened, while buying interest picked up in China.

Spot silver fell 0.7% to $74.88 per ounce, platinum lost 1.4% to $1,978.84 and palladium gained 0.4% at $1,475.35.


Hapag-Lloyd Says One Ship Has Crossed Strait of Hormuz

Hapag-Lloyd employees monitor the status of cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz on a screen, in Hamburg, Germany, Wednesday, April 15, 2026. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi)
Hapag-Lloyd employees monitor the status of cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz on a screen, in Hamburg, Germany, Wednesday, April 15, 2026. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi)
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Hapag-Lloyd Says One Ship Has Crossed Strait of Hormuz

Hapag-Lloyd employees monitor the status of cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz on a screen, in Hamburg, Germany, Wednesday, April 15, 2026. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi)
Hapag-Lloyd employees monitor the status of cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz on a screen, in Hamburg, Germany, Wednesday, April 15, 2026. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi)

Container shipping group Hapag-Lloyd said on Friday that one of its ships has crossed the Strait of Hormuz but did not have any information on the circumstances or timing.

Four out of initially six ships remain in the Gulf, after one ship's charter agreement expired, meaning it no longer belongs to the Hapag-Lloyd fleet, a spokesperson added.

The four ⁠Hapag ships remaining ⁠in the Gulf are staffed with 100 crew, who are well-supplied with food and water, Reuters quoted him as saying.

Scores of tankers and other vessels remain stuck in the Gulf as the United States is ⁠struggling to keep control of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's busiest shipping corridors.

The Iran war, launched by the US and Israel on February 28, has been paused since a ceasefire on April 8.

The US and Iran met in Pakistan in an attempt to end hostilities, but talks ended without agreement and ⁠a ⁠second round has yet to take place.

Tehran says it will not consider opening the strait until the US lifts its blockade of Iran's shipping, which Washington imposed during the ceasefire and Tehran calls a violation of that truce.

This week, Iran flaunted its grip over the strait with a video of commandos in a speedboat storming a huge cargo ship.