EU Chief to Defend Trump Trade Deal in Parliament

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will look to defend her trade deal with US President Donald Trump when she makes her 'State of the Union' address. ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will look to defend her trade deal with US President Donald Trump when she makes her 'State of the Union' address. ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP
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EU Chief to Defend Trump Trade Deal in Parliament

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will look to defend her trade deal with US President Donald Trump when she makes her 'State of the Union' address. ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will look to defend her trade deal with US President Donald Trump when she makes her 'State of the Union' address. ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP

EU chief Ursula von der Leyen will seek to defend her trade deal with Donald Trump in an address to the bloc's lawmakers Wednesday -- with many seething over an outcome they see as a surrender to Washington.

Entering year two of her second mandate, von der Leyen's "State of the Union" speech will aim to rally parliament behind her agenda on the bloc's twin priorities of defense and competitiveness, AFP said.

But she can expect a cool welcome from an assembly that found little to celebrate in the accord with Trump -- despite a broad admission that Europe's security dependence on America left its hands tied for the tariffs fight.

"Everyone agrees it's a bad deal that reflects Europe's weakness," said Valerie Hayer, leader of parliament's centrist bloc Renew.

The July accord locks in a 15-percent tariff on most EU exports to the United States, with exemptions for some areas -- including aircraft -- but not for key others, such as wine and spirits.

In exchange, Europe said it would make massive purchases of US energy, scrap tariffs on US industrial goods, and grant preferential access for a range of seafood and farm goods.

"Von der Leyen will try to sell her deal to lawmakers, to get us to swallow the bitter pill," predicted Marina Mesure, an EU lawmaker with The Left group who called the deal "a surrender to a predatory United States."

More than half of Europeans -- 52 percent -- view the deal as a "humiliation", according to a five-nation poll conducted by Cluster17, for European affairs publication Le Grand Continent.

'Humiliation'

"It's a difficult time," conceded an official inside von der Leyen's European Commission, granted anonymity to discuss sensitive matters. "Europe appears weak."

"But on Trump, what matters at the end of the day is not so much the deal -- it's what comes after," the official added. "If he does not uphold the deal, we will have to be very tough."

With the ink barely dry on the accord, Trump has fired off a new volley of threats targeting the EU's tech regulations -- and most lately the massive antitrust fine against Google last week.

For von der Leyen, selling the deal in parliament is about more than just public relations: in the coming weeks lawmakers will vote on a text lowering EU tariffs, key to rolling out the full agreement with Washington.

So far, von der Leyen's main allies are split: the centrists won't yet commit to backing the text, while the socialist bloc threatens to vote against.

"To argue that having a bad deal is better than no deal is just totally unacceptable," Iratxe Garcia Perez, leader of the Socialists and Democrats, said Tuesday.

Renew's Hayer concedes, however, that von der Leyen had a mandate to negotiate for EU states -- including powerhouses France and Germany -- and that many businesses wanted the predictability of a deal, even a lopsided one.

Gaza inaction

Von der Leyen's own party, the European People's Party (EPP), will back the accord -- without sugar-coating it.

"Obviously, 15-percent export tariffs to the US doesn't make us happy," said EPP boss Manfred Weber.

But with an American president "who loves tariffs", he said, "that is the best that we can get -- and what we need for our economy and our stability".

The hard-right ECR group -- which includes the party of Italian leader Giorgia Meloni -- strikes a similar tone.

Trade aside, the EU chief is expected to vaunt the bloc's mobilization in support of Ukraine's war effort -- with France and Germany among countries pledging to join a "reassurance force" to deploy there after any peace deal with Russia.

She may also preview the 19th package of EU sanctions being drawn up against Russia -- and its oil revenue in particular -- an area where cooperation with Washington has rekindled in the wake of July's trade accord.

But the EU chief can expect a fraught reception over the bloc's failure to weigh in on the Gaza conflict, due to longstanding divisions between countries backing Israel and those more sympathetic to the Palestinians.

Those divisions have been on show inside von der Leyen's top team as well -- with Spanish commissioner Teresa Ribera calling the Gaza war a "genocide" and slamming the bloc's inaction.



Pakistan’s Finance Minister to Asharq Al-Awsat: We Draw Inspiration from Saudi Arabia

The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)
The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)
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Pakistan’s Finance Minister to Asharq Al-Awsat: We Draw Inspiration from Saudi Arabia

The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)
The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)

Pakistani Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb discussed the future of his country, which has frequently experienced a boom-and-bust cycle, saying Pakistan has relied on International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs due to the absence of structural reforms.

In an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Aurangzeb acknowledged that Pakistan has relied on IMF programs 24 times not as a coincidence, but rather as a result of the absence of structural reforms and follow-up.

He stressed the government has decided to "double its efforts" to stay on the reform path, no matter the challenges, affirming that Islamabad not only has a reform roadmap, but also draws inspiration from "Saudi Vision 2030" as a unique model of discipline and turning plans into reality.

Revolution of Numbers

Aurangzeb reviewed the dramatic transformation in macroeconomic indicators. After foreign exchange reserves covered only two weeks of imports, current policies have succeeded in raising them to two and a half months.

He also pointed out to the government's success in curbing inflation, which has fallen from a peak of 38 percent to 10.5 percent, while reducing the fiscal deficit to 5 percent after being around 8 percent.

Aurangzeb commented on the "financial stability" principle put forward by his Saudi counterpart, Mohammed Aljadaan, considering it the cornerstone that enabled Pakistan to regain its lost fiscal space.

He explained that the success in achieving primary surpluses and reducing the deficit was not merely academic figures, but rather transformed into solid "financial buffers" that saved the country.

The minister cited the vast difference in dealing with disasters. While Islamabad had to launch an urgent international appeal for assistance during the 2022 floods, the "fiscal space" and buffers it recently built enabled it to deal with wider climate disasters by relying on its own resources, without having to search "haphazardly" for urgent external aid, proving that macroeconomic stability is the first shield to protect economic sovereignty.

 

Privatization and Breaking the Stalemate of State-Owned Enterprises

Aurangzeb affirmed that the Pakistani Prime Minister adopts a clear vision that "the private sector is what leads the state."

He revealed the handover of 24 government institutions to the privatization committee, noting that the successful privatization of Pakistan International Airlines in December provided a "momentum" for the privatization of other firms.

Aurangzeb also revealed radical reforms in the tax system to raise it from 10 percent to 12 percent of GDP, with the adoption of a customs tariff system that reduces local protection to make Pakistani industry more competitive globally, in parallel with reducing the size of the federal government.

 

Partnership with Riyadh

As for the relationship with Saudi Arabia, Aurangzeb outlined the features of a historic transformation, stressing that Pakistan wants to move from "aid and loans" to "trade and investment."

He expressed his great admiration for "Vision 2030," not only as an ambition, but as a model that achieved its targets ahead of schedule.

He revealed a formal Pakistani request to benefit from Saudi "technical knowledge and administrative expertise" in implementing economic transformations, stressing that his country's need for this executive discipline and the Kingdom's ability to manage major transformations is no less important than the need for direct financing, to ensure the building of a resilient economy led by exports, not debts.


Oil Drops 1% as US, Iran Pledge to Continue Talks

The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)
The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)
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Oil Drops 1% as US, Iran Pledge to Continue Talks

The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)
The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)

Oil prices fell 1% on Monday as immediate fears of a conflict in the Middle East eased after the US and Iran pledged to continue talks about Tehran's nuclear program over the weekend, calming investors anxious about supply disruptions.

Brent crude futures fell 67 cents, or 1%, to $67.38 a barrel on Monday by 0444 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $62.94 a barrel, down 61 cents, or 1%.

"With more talks on the horizon the immediate ‌fear of supply disruptions ‌in the Middle East has eased ‌quite ⁠a bit," IG ‌market analyst Tony Sycamore said.

Iran and the US pledged to continue the indirect nuclear talks following what both sides described as positive discussions on Friday in Oman despite differences. That allayed fears that failure to reach a deal might nudge the Middle East closer to war, as the US has positioned more military forces in the area.

Investors are also worried about possible disruptions to supply ⁠from Iran and other regional producers as exports equal to about a fifth of the world's ‌total oil consumption pass through the Strait of ‍Hormuz between Oman and Iran.

Both ‍benchmarks fell more than 2% last week on the easing tensions, their ‍first decline in seven weeks.

However, Iran's foreign minister said on Saturday Tehran will strike US bases in the Middle East if it is attacked by US forces, showing the threat of conflict is still alive.

"Volatility remains elevated as conflicting rhetoric persists. Any negative headlines could quickly reignite risk premiums in oil prices this week," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at ⁠Phillip Nova.

Investors are also continuing to grapple with efforts to curb Russian income from its oil exports for its war in Ukraine. The European Commission on Friday proposed a sweeping ban on any services that support Russia's seaborne crude oil exports.

Refiners in India, once the biggest buyer of Russia's seaborne crude, are avoiding purchases for delivery in April and are expected to stay away from such trades for longer, refining and trade sources said, which could help New Delhi seal a trade pact with Washington.

"Oil markets will remain sensitive to how broadly this pivot away from Russian crude unfolds, whether ‌India’s reduced purchases persist beyond April, and how quickly alternative flows can be brought online," Sachdeva said.


Indian Refiners Avoid Russian Oil in Push for US Trade Deal

An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
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Indian Refiners Avoid Russian Oil in Push for US Trade Deal

An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo

Indian refiners are avoiding Russian oil purchases for delivery in April and are expected to stay away from such trades for longer, refining and trade sources said, a move that could help New Delhi seal a trade pact with Washington, according to Reuters.

The US and India moved closer to a trade pact on Friday, announcing a framework for a deal they hope to conclude by March that would lower tariffs and deepen economic cooperation.

Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum and Reliance Industries are not accepting offers from traders for Russian oil loading in March and April, said a trader who approached the refiners.

These refiners, however, had already scheduled some deliveries of Russian oil in March, refining sources said. Most other refiners have stopped buying Russian crude.

A foreign ministry spokesperson said: “Diversifying our energy sourcing in keeping with objective market conditions and evolving international dynamics is at the core of our strategy” to ensure energy security for the world's most-populous nation.

Although a US-India statement on the trade framework did not mention Russian oil, President Donald Trump rescinded his 25% tariffs on Indian goods, imposed over Russian oil purchases, because, he said, New Delhi had “committed to stop directly or indirectly” importing Russian oil.

New Delhi has not announced plans to halt Russian oil imports.

India became the top buyer of discounted Russian seaborne crude after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, spurring a backlash from Western nations that had targeted Russia's energy sector with sanctions aimed at curtailing Moscow's revenue and making it harder to fund the war.

One regular Indian buyer is Russia-backed private refiner Nayara, which relies solely on Russian oil for its 400,000-barrel-per-day refinery. Sources said Nayara may be allowed to keep buying Russian oil because other crude sellers pulled back after the European Union sanctioned the refiner in July.

Nayara also does not plan to import Russian crude in April due to a month-long refinery maintenance shutdown, a source familiar with its operations said.

Nayara did not respond to an email seeking comment.

Indian refiners may change their plan and place orders for Russian oil only if advised by the government, sources said.

Trump's order said US officials would monitor and recommend reinstating the tariffs if India resumed oil procurement from Russia.

Sources said last month that India was preparing to cut Russian oil imports below 1 million bpd by March, with volumes eventually falling to 500,000–600,000 bpd, compared with an average 1.7 million bpd last year. India's Russian oil imports topped 2 million bpd in mid-2025.

The intake of Russian oil by India, the world's third-biggest oil consumer and importer, declined to its lowest level in two years in December, data from trade and industry sources show.