Saudi Rental Rules Enhance Fairness, Secure Riyadh Investment Market

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
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Saudi Rental Rules Enhance Fairness, Secure Riyadh Investment Market

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)

Saudi Arabia has moved to cap residential and commercial rents in Riyadh for five years, a decision real estate experts say marks a turning point for the Kingdom’s housing market by enhancing transparency, easing financial strain on tenants, and reshaping investment patterns.

The cabinet approved the regulations on Thursday under a royal decree after the Royal Commission for Riyadh City drafted the measures. The rules, ordered by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, bar landlords from raising rents in the capital until 2030, require all contracts to be documented on the government’s “Ejar” digital platform, and impose fines for non-compliance.

Officials said the step aims to rebalance a market strained by soaring demand and rapid development. Riyadh, home to mega-projects and one of the world’s fastest-growing populations, has seen rental and sales prices climb sharply in recent years. Apartments in the capital have jumped 82% in price since 2019 and villas 50%, according to consultancy Knight Frank. Some families now spend half their income on rent, far above the global average of 30%.

“This is a historic step that restores balance to the rental market,” said property analyst Saqr al-Zahrani. “It protects both tenants and landlords, gives families financial clarity, and shields small businesses from being forced out by inflated leases.”

Al-Zahrani said the freeze would help reduce inflationary pressures and encourage developers to focus on meeting real demand instead of relying on speculative price increases. It could also boost off-plan property sales by providing households with predictable financial commitments over the medium term.

For Khaled Al-Mobid, chief executive of Menassat real estate company, the new rules show regulators recognize the mounting pressures on the rental market.

“Riyadh is experiencing heavy demand from population growth and major development projects,” he said. “A framework that organizes the relationship between landlords and tenants and sets fair limits on rent increases sends a clear message of stability and transparency.”

He added the system protects tenants from “unjustified increases” while ensuring landlords secure fair returns, easing what he described as mounting “pressure on purchasing power” in recent years. The rules also safeguard small and medium businesses from being forced out of prime commercial districts, while giving mall owners and corporate tenants clearer long-term visibility.

The freeze is expected to reshape investment flows. Experts say the measures will limit speculation, push developers to improve quality, and encourage longer-term investment strategies. “This creates a safer environment for both local and international investors,” Al-Mobid said.

Abdullah al-Mousa, another real estate marketer, said the policy goes beyond tenant protection. “It is a qualitative shift that redraws the contours of the real estate market and ushers in a new era of fairness and transparency,” he said.

Families struggling with successive rent hikes are the immediate winners, while businesses will benefit from lower cost pressures that allow them to expand.

Mousa argued the changes could raise the maturity of the market by curbing arbitrary practices. “The decision pushes landlords and developers to compete on quality and services rather than on yearly price increases. That will enrich supply, raise standards, and support more sustainable growth.”

Central to the reforms is the “Ejar” system, which will become the cornerstone of contract documentation and renewals. Experts say the digital platform will serve as a strategic database, helping policymakers read market trends and balance supply and demand more precisely, while reinforcing investor confidence in the Kingdom.

Analysts expect the stability created by the five-year freeze to ripple through the broader financial system. “With more predictable cash flows from rent, banks can redesign financing products better suited to a clearer market,” Mousa said. “This opens new horizons for growth in the sector.”

For many Saudis, the immediate benefit will be relief from spiraling housing costs. “Before the decision, some residents in Riyadh were spending up to 50% of their income on rent,” said al-Zahrani. “Halting annual increases will give households space to save and invest, while giving companies and commercial tenants a more stable environment to make long-term decisions.”

Officials and analysts alike framed the move as part of the Vision 2030 reform agenda, aimed at raising quality of life and ensuring sustainable urban growth.

Mousa said the decision will push landlords and developers to improve offerings and focus on long-term stability rather than short-term profits. “It establishes a fairer market where both investors and tenants can plan ahead,” he added.

The success of the reforms is closely linked to the “Ejar” platform. Digital contract registration and automated renewals are more than procedural details; they form the foundation for regulating landlord-tenant relationships. The system could also become a strategic database for policymakers, improving market transparency and building confidence for domestic and international investors.

Over the medium term, analysts expect the benefits to extend beyond rent stability, influencing financing and investment patterns. More predictable rental income will allow banks to tailor financial products to a clearer market, opening new growth opportunities.

“The freeze is not just regulatory – it’s a declaration of a new phase built on stability, transparency, and balance,” Mousa said. “It positions Riyadh as a more competitive, attractive, and livable city, economically and socially, in line with Vision 2030 objectives.”



Middle East War Reshaping National Energy Strategies, Says IEA

 An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
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Middle East War Reshaping National Energy Strategies, Says IEA

 An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)

The Middle East war is pushing countries to open new supply routes and turn to domestic resources to tide over the world's biggest energy crisis, the International Energy Agency said Thursday.

"We are in the midst of the largest energy security crisis the world has ever faced -- and I believe this will reshape investment strategies globally, with parallels to the major changes the energy world witnessed after the oil shocks of the 1970s," said IEA executive director Fatih Birol

"We are already seeing intensified efforts by both producer and consumer countries to diversify trade routes and energy sources -- such as advancing new pipelines and other supply infrastructure, on the one hand, and turning more to domestically available resources, on the other," he added in the World Energy Investment report by the energy agency of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

The IEA estimates that global energy investment will reach $3.4 trillion in 2026, slightly higher than the previous year, with around $2.2 trillion devoted to power grids, storage, low-emission fuels, nuclear, renewables, energy efficiency and electrification.

Alongside this, around $1.2 trillion is expected to be invested in oil, natural gas and coal.

It nevertheless expects oil investment to decline for the third straight year in 2026, falling below $500 billion despite rising crude prices.

This is due to uncertainty over how long higher prices will last, project lead times, supply constraints and the tightening offshore rigs market, which are limiting short-term investment outside the Middle East.

By contrast, investment in natural gas is "projected to rise to $330 billion, the highest level in a decade, supported by a wave of new LNG export projects, particularly in the United States and Qatar," IEA said.

At the same time, oil-importing countries are turning to energy sources available domestically, notably renewables, nuclear and coal, the report said.

The IEA estimates that investment in renewables should reach around $665 billion in 2026, including $365 billion for solar alone.

Investment in nuclear energy and is set to exceed $80 billion annually while investment in coal should reach $180 billion -- the highest in 10 years, it said.

China alone will account for nearly 70 percent of global coal supply spending, and some Asian countries may seek to extend the operation of their existing coal-fired power plants in order to strengthen their energy security.

The IEA said investment in electricity supply and infrastructure is expected to reach nearly $1.6 trillion in 2026, including around $550 billion for power grids, while investment in battery storage should exceed $100 billion.


ECB Chief Economist Sees Persistent Impact on Inflation from Iran War

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
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ECB Chief Economist Sees Persistent Impact on Inflation from Iran War

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)

The energy shock caused by the Middle East conflict will likely have a persistent impact on inflation even if there is a quick solution to the war, the European Central Bank's chief economist, Philip Lane, said on Thursday.

While oil prices historically tended to revert to original levels after a burst of increases, the current episode may be different as energy costs may stay elevated with countries restocking inventory or diversifying their energy mix, he said.

"We had ‌an overnight, fairly ‌quick and big decline in global oil ‌supply, ⁠which has been ⁠masked until now by inventories," Lane said at a conference hosted by the BOJ and its think tank in Tokyo.

"Even if the initial energy shock starts to reverse, the second round (effects) will be with us for a while," he said.

With the energy shock pushing up prices, financial markets have fully priced in ⁠two hikes in the ECB's 2% deposit ‌rate and see a roughly 50% ‌chance of a third move over the next year. Economists are more ‌cautious and see just two hikes, followed by a cut ‌in mid-2027, a Reuters poll showed.

Lane said there could be some policy lessons from past energy shocks, such as that rising energy costs could push up inflation abruptly and cause "all sorts of non-linear" mechanisms ‌that broaden price hikes.

"But it's not the same non-linearity we had four years ago," when ⁠supply disruptions ⁠from the Ukraine war and strong demand from the COVID re-opening pushed up inflation, he said.

Central banks must acknowledge any substantial shocks and their potential impact on inflation, but avoid overreacting in setting monetary policy, Lane said.

"You have to be skillful in terms of looking at monetary transmission, consumer confidence and all these different mechanisms," he said.

While some inflationary pressures from a supply shock do calm down over time, it was important for central banks to make sure "there's no persistent belief in the population or among price-setting sectors that inflation is going to be too high for too long," he said.


Dollar Firms to One-Week High as Gulf Tensions Flare, Yen Nears Intervention Zone

US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
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Dollar Firms to One-Week High as Gulf Tensions Flare, Yen Nears Intervention Zone

US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)

The dollar firmed to a one-week high on Thursday after Middle East tensions ratcheted up following fresh US strikes on Iran, while the yen softened toward a level that triggered central bank intervention last month.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they targeted a US airbase after what they described as an early morning US attack near Bandar Abbas airport, Tasnim news agency reported, while Kuwait's army said its air defenses were intercepting hostile ‌missile and ‌drone threats.

That followed news that the US military ‌carried ⁠out new strikes targeting ⁠an Iranian drone operation that it said posed a threat to US forces and commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices rebounded and the safe-haven dollar steadied as hopes of a swift resolution to the war faded, with investors now increasingly expecting the greenback to break higher as the Federal Reserve shifts its focus to battling inflation amid elevated energy prices.

"Geopolitics and ⁠the subsequent inflation risks remain a key concern," Alex ‌Saunders, Citi's head of global quant ‌macro strategy, wrote. "We continue to see a trim in the USD underweight."

The euro was 0.2% ‌lower at $1.1600, while the pound was down nearly 0.3% at $1.3392.

The risk-sensitive ‌Australian dollar weakened 0.4% to $0.7111to a one-week low, and the New Zealand dollar was down 0.3% at $0.58831.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six major peers, strengthened 0.17% to 99.464, near its highest level since ‌May 21.

Markets will now look ahead to today's release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE ⁠deflator, which ⁠will help shape the broader interest rate outlook.

The yen weakened to as far as 159.610 per dollar on Thursday, the lowest since April 30 and within sight of the 160 level that triggered intervention by Japanese authorities last month.

That intervention bought policymakers some breathing room, but questions linger over its lasting impact, said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.

"The broader question is whether it was worth it for what essentially amounts to just a single month's relief. And furthermore, will authorities have the stomach to write a similar-sized cheque if the 160 level is breached again in the coming sessions?" he said.

Markets are pricing a roughly 70% chance of a quarter-point interest rate rise at the BOJ's June 15–16 policy meeting, LSEG data showed.