FII: The Key to Unlocking a More Inclusive Global Economy

A robot hands “the Key to Prosperity,” the forum’s symbol, to a performer during the opening ceremony. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A robot hands “the Key to Prosperity,” the forum’s symbol, to a performer during the opening ceremony. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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FII: The Key to Unlocking a More Inclusive Global Economy

A robot hands “the Key to Prosperity,” the forum’s symbol, to a performer during the opening ceremony. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A robot hands “the Key to Prosperity,” the forum’s symbol, to a performer during the opening ceremony. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

A humanoid robot carrying “The Key to Prosperity,” matching this year’s Future Investment Initiative (FII) theme, stole the spotlight as the ninth edition of the global investment forum opened in Riyadh, symbolizing the unlocking of global economic potential through innovation and bold ideas.

Held under the patronage of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz, the three-day event began on Tuesday at the King Abdulaziz International Conference Center, drawing heads of state, ministers, sovereign wealth fund chiefs, senior executives, and global industry leaders.

The opening ceremony featured a symbolic moment as the robot handed the “Key to Prosperity” to the event’s artist, marking the start of panel discussions that brought together some of the world’s most influential decision-makers.

This year’s agenda aims to drive global collaboration and shape the future of the world economy with a focus on health, artificial intelligence, and human development.

Panels covered a broad range of pressing issues, including the impact of AI and robotics on productivity, wealth creation amid rising inequality, the geoeconomic consequences of resource scarcity, demographic shifts reshaping future workforces, and strategies to balance economic growth with environmental sustainability.

Yasir Al-Rumayyan urges elevating global impact

In his opening remarks, Yasir Al-Rumayyan, Governor of the Public Investment Fund (PIF), Chairman of Saudi Aramco, and Chairman of the FII Institute, described the forum as the world’s most influential gathering for those who can turn ideas and investments into tangible global impact.

“It's incredible to see all of these visionary leaders who have truly changed the world in the same room. For those with the vision to turn ideas and investments into global impact, this is the greatest gathering in the world,” said Al-Rumayyan.

“$250 billion worth of deals have been made on this platform since it was born less than a decade ago,” he revealed.

“We have come a long way together, but at this year's FII, we must take our impact to the next level,” urged Al-Rumayyan.

He stressed that the financial power represented by today’s leaders comes with great responsibility and an even greater opportunity to shape the world’s economic future.

“We must act on this responsibility and seize this opportunity without any delay,” he added.

“The old models that brought us to this point are no longer fit for purpose,” he noted, saying that “We need a new model. We need a global collaboration for a new era of global prosperity.”

Highlighting global economic growth, Al-Rumayyan noted that the world’s GDP has surpassed $111 trillion and is expected to expand by 2.8% this year. Yet, he warned of growing social disparities: “66% of people feel positive about their lives. Yet only 37% are optimistic about the world and 69% are concerned their country will lose jobs to foreign competition. This gap between personal hope and global doubt is a warning.”

Technology, he said, could bridge that divide — if it remains accessible.

“Three and four people worry that AI will widen the education gap between societies who have access and those that don't. We can't allow that to happen. We must address inequalities that have held us back for too long,” said Al-Rumayyan.

Vision 2030 and expanding opportunities

Al-Rumayyan said governments and the private sector must work together to harness global capital for security, stability, and opportunity.

“Under the leadership Prince Mohammed bin Salma, Crown Prince and Prime Minister, Saudi Arabia's economic transformation has set a new global benchmark for a national vision,” he said.

“Nine years since the launch of vision 2030, you can see the results everywhere. New cities, new industries, new ecosystems and supply chains. And last year, foreign investment grew 24% reaching 31.7 billion dollars.”

“We have taken Saudi Arabia to the world and now the world is coming to Saudi Arabia, to FII every year, to Expo in 2030, and to the FIFA World Cup in 2034.”

He emphasized that Saudi wealth is measured not in numbers, but in human prosperity.

“In Riyadh, this week we have the opportunity to forge deals across borders that deliver impact and capture the true power of partnerships,” he remarked.

Richard Attias, CEO of the FII Institute and Chairman of its Executive Committee, welcomed global leaders and delegates, expressing pride in how FII has evolved into a passionate community determined to change the world.

Foreign investment and economic transformation

Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih said in a panel session that 90% of foreign direct investment (FDI) flowing into the Kingdom now targets non-oil sectors, while only 10% goes to oil-related industries.

According to Al-Falih, the Saudi economy is in a phase of dynamic expansion, driven by emerging sectors such as advanced manufacturing, technology, tourism, entrepreneurship, and deep tech — where investments have grown tenfold.

Al-Falih added that Saudi Arabia’s GDP has doubled over the past decade, mostly fueled by non-oil growth.

As per the minister, the Kingdom is entering a new phase of economic diversification, with $1 billion deployed into startups and 60% of Middle East venture funding now originating in Saudi Arabia.

He added that 40% of the Kingdom’s budget and expenditures are now financed by non-oil revenues, underscoring the strong macroeconomic and fiscal balance achieved.



IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.


Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
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Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.


Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.