Japan Finalizes $117 Billion Extra Budget to Fund Stimulus, Mostly Via Debt

FILE PHOTO: People walk at a shopping area of Shinjuku in Tokyo, Japan, September 11, 2025. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: People walk at a shopping area of Shinjuku in Tokyo, Japan, September 11, 2025. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo/File Photo
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Japan Finalizes $117 Billion Extra Budget to Fund Stimulus, Mostly Via Debt

FILE PHOTO: People walk at a shopping area of Shinjuku in Tokyo, Japan, September 11, 2025. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: People walk at a shopping area of Shinjuku in Tokyo, Japan, September 11, 2025. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo/File Photo

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's government on Friday finalized a $117 billion supplementary budget for this financial year to fund a massive stimulus package, most of which will be financed through new debt issuance.

The 18.3 trillion yen ($117 billion) general account spending under the extra budget exceeds last year's 13.9 trillion yen disbursement, underscoring Takaichi's aggressive fiscal stance that has heightened concerns over Japan's already strained public finances, Reuters reported.

The administration last week finalized a stimulus package of 21.3 trillion yen ($137 billion), the largest since the COVID-19 pandemic, aimed at cushioning households from high inflation and spurring economic growth.

Part of the funding will come from stronger-than-expected tax revenue and non-tax income, with tax receipts projected to be 2.88 trillion yen above initial estimates, surpassing 80 trillion yen for the first time.

The remaining shortfall will be covered by 11.7 trillion yen in new government bonds, far larger than last year's additional bond issuance of about 6.7 trillion yen.

In an apparent effort to address concerns over recent rises in super-long yields, Japan plans to increase scheduled sales of short- and medium-term bonds with no increase in issuance of long- and super-long bonds.

The stimulus package includes 2.7 trillion yen in tax cuts and 8.9 trillion yen to ease living costs, such as cash handouts of 20,000 yen per child and subsidies for electricity and gas bills.

Another 6.4 trillion yen will fund strategic investments in sectors like shipbuilding, semiconductors and artificial intelligence.

"For the Takaichi administration, which was forced to set sail as a minority government in both houses of parliament, this extra budget seems to have necessitated all-around concessions to the ruling coalition, opposition parties, local governments, and business groups," Mizuho Securities chief economist Shunsuke Kobayashi said in a report to clients.

The government is aiming for parliamentary passage of the extra budget by the end of next month.

To soothe market concerns about the nation's rising debt burden, Takaichi has stressed the stimulus takes into account fiscal discipline, saying that the government would strive to lower the ratio of debt to gross domestic product - currently the highest in the developed world.

New government bond issuance after the supplementary budget, combined with the initial budget, for this fiscal year is expected to total 40.3 trillion yen, lower than last year's post-supplementary total of 42.1 trillion yen.



OECD Cuts 2026 Global Growth Forecasts Over Mideast War Fallout

A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
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OECD Cuts 2026 Global Growth Forecasts Over Mideast War Fallout

A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)

The war in the Middle East has dented economic growth prospects worldwide, with a more severe shock likely if no effective ceasefire is agreed before 2027, the OECD warned Wednesday.

Global economic growth is now forecast to slip to 2.8 percent for 2026 if Gulf exports of oil and gas return to pre-conflict levels in the third quarter, the group of 38 industrialized countries said in its quarterly update.

Previously the OECD had forecast full-year global growth of 2.9 percent.

But if the Middle East war continues into next year, however, global growth could slow to 2.1 percent, the OECD said -- well below the average annual growth of 3.4 percent seen from 2013 to 2019, before the Covid pandemic.

"The longer the disruptions last, the larger the economic and social costs become," the group's chief economist Stefano Scarpetta said in the report.

Many countries would risk falling into recession, he noted, and a drop in investment spending -- "including in energy-intensive AI" -- would likely push up unemployment.

Sustained high prices for energy as well as fertilizer and other key products from hydrocarbon production in the Gulf would weigh especially hard on developing countries that have "higher shares of energy and food in household consumption".

Even if the war sparked by US and Israeli strikes on Iran in late February ends in the coming weeks, the OECD forecast global inflation rising to 4.0 percent this year from 3.4 percent in 2025.

In this "time-limited disruption scenario", the group expects US growth to slow to 2.0 percent this year and 1.8 percent in 2027, after growing 2.1 percent last year.

In the eurozone, where many countries are highly dependent on energy imports, GDP growth will slump to 0.8 percent this year after 1.4 percent last year, assuming a Mideast ceasefire is secured in the coming weeks.


Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Activity Hits 3-month High in May

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
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Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Activity Hits 3-month High in May

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector expanded at the fastest pace in three months in May as domestic demand improved and supply chains stabilized, while business optimism remained subdued amid conflict in the region, a survey showed on Wednesday.

The seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by S&P Global, rose to 52.8 in May from 51.5 in April. The 50 mark separates growth from contraction, Reuters reported.

Output accelerated at the ⁠fastest pace in ⁠three months after March's downturn following the start of the Iran war, as firms cited normalizing working conditions, revived contracts and stronger local demand.

Export sales fell for a third straight month, hit by shipping disruption, higher freight and fuel costs, geopolitical tensions and stronger competition. The pace of decline eased only modestly from April's survey-record contraction.

However, supply chains improved, with suppliers' delivery times shortening for the first time in three months as ⁠firms relied ⁠more on local vendors. Backlogs of work rose for an 11th consecutive month, albeit moderately.

“Overall, the latest PMI reading supports the expectation that Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy will continue its upward trend during the remainder of 2026," said Naif Al-Ghaith, Riyad Bank's chief economist.


Regional War Weighs on Output, New Business Growth in UAE

The sun sets over a vessel off the coast of Dubai on June 2, 2026. (Photo by FADEL SENNA / AFP)
The sun sets over a vessel off the coast of Dubai on June 2, 2026. (Photo by FADEL SENNA / AFP)
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Regional War Weighs on Output, New Business Growth in UAE

The sun sets over a vessel off the coast of Dubai on June 2, 2026. (Photo by FADEL SENNA / AFP)
The sun sets over a vessel off the coast of Dubai on June 2, 2026. (Photo by FADEL SENNA / AFP)

The UAE's non-oil private sector expanded only modestly in May as war in the region and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz weighed on output and new business growth, a business survey showed on Wednesday.

The seasonally adjusted S&P Global UAE Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 52.6 in May from 52.1 in April, remaining above the 50 mark separating growth from contraction.

"The continued cut-off to maritime trade had a cascading effect through the UAE economy in May... ⁠Export orders declined in ⁠May, driven by both the actual shipping disruption as well as the continued sense of uncertainty over how long the conflict will last," Reuters quoted David Owen, principal economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, as saying.

Input deliveries were delayed to the greatest extent since the ⁠height of the COVID-19 pandemic in April 2020, Owen said.

Output growth accelerated to a three-month high but remained weaker than the survey's long-run average. New business also rose only modestly, close to April's 62-month low, while export sales contracted again, though the pace of decline eased markedly.

The new orders subindex inched up to 52.6 in May from April's 52.5.

Backlogs of work increased at the slowest pace in nearly three years ⁠as ⁠firms found more capacity to clear outstanding orders, but job creation eased to its weakest pace since October 2025 and cost pressures remained elevated on higher material and transport costs.

But surveyed businesses remained optimistic about the year-ahead outlook.

The UAE's non-oil GDP grew 6.8% in 2025 from a year earlier, outperforming overall GDP growth at 6.2% last year.