Oil Drops as Trump Calms Iran Fears; Tech Stocks Slide in Asia

The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)
The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)
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Oil Drops as Trump Calms Iran Fears; Tech Stocks Slide in Asia

The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)
The Iranian flag and 3D printed oil barrels miniature are seen in this illustration taken June 23, 2025. (Reuters)

Oil prices retreated from multi-month highs on Thursday and gold eased from a record peak after US President Donald Trump calmed market anxiety over potential US military action against Iran.

A selloff in tech stocks extended into Asian trading, following declines on Wall Street, as investors rotated out of high-flying chip and artificial intelligence-related names while searching for bargains in other parts of the market.

Currencies paused for breath after the yen dropped to its weakest point since July 2024 against the US dollar overnight and then bounced back sharply amid warnings of possible intervention by Japanese authorities, Reuters said.

Japanese bond yields eased back from record peaks following a spike driven by speculation - which was later confirmed - ‌that the government will ‌call snap elections, a scenario that is expected to lead to ‌bigger ⁠fiscal stimulus.

Brent crude ‌futures dropped 3.4% to $64.25 and Nymex futures sank 3.4% to $59.89, after vaulting as high as $66.82 and $62.36, respectively, in the previous session.

Trump said on Wednesday afternoon that he had been told that killings in Iran's crackdown on nationwide protests were subsiding and he believed there was currently no plan for large-scale executions.

Gold fell 0.5% to around $4,598 per ounce. On Wednesday, it reached an unprecedented $4,642.72.

Stocks in Asia were mixed, but tech shares were met with more selling.

In Japan, the tech-heavy Nikkei eased 0.9% after hitting an all-time peak in ⁠the previous session, though the broader Topix extended its own record high on Thursday with a 0.8% advance.

Taiwan's TAIEX sank 0.4% and Hong ‌Kong's Hang Seng slipped 0.5%, with tech shares weighing.

Chinese blue ‍chips edged 0.1% lower, while South Korea's KOSPI ‍added as much as 1.3% to a fresh record high. The Bank of Korea left interest ‍rates unchanged on Thursday, as expected by economists, and signaled an end to its current easing cycle to prioritize financial stability.

FTSE futures pointed 0.6% higher, suggesting the cash index would open with an extension of its record high from Wednesday. Pan-European STOXX 50 futures tacked on 0.3%.

S&P 500 E-mini futures were flat after the cash index sank 0.5% overnight. The tech-focused Nasdaq Composite dropped 1%.

"There’s a rotation playing out on Wall Street that’s ultimately weighing on indices but indicates that the internals of the market ⁠are holding up reasonably well," said Kyle Rodda, an analyst at Capital.com.

"The strength in cyclicals, in no small part due to the positive outlook for the US economy, is propping up stocks and providing constructive signals to market participants of broadening market strength."

The US dollar was steady against its major peers on Thursday, with the dollar index up very slightly at 99.137.

It was unchanged at 158.44 yen after surging as high as 159.45 yen on Wednesday before pulling back sharply.

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued another verbal warning on Wednesday, saying officials would take "appropriate action against excessive FX moves without excluding any options."

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi plans to dissolve parliament's lower house next week and call a snap parliamentary election as early as February 8.

Expectations of bigger fiscal stimulus on an improved mandate have spurred investors to sell the yen ‌and government bonds, sending longer-dated yields to record highs in recent days.

Japan's 20-year yield shed 2.5 basis points on Thursday to 3.135% after vaulting to an unprecedented 3.165% in the prior session.



China Rides AI Wave as Exports Surge Past Forecast

Containers and ships are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jingsu province early on June 9, 2026. (AFP)
Containers and ships are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jingsu province early on June 9, 2026. (AFP)
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China Rides AI Wave as Exports Surge Past Forecast

Containers and ships are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jingsu province early on June 9, 2026. (AFP)
Containers and ships are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jingsu province early on June 9, 2026. (AFP)

China's export growth accelerated in May, buoyed by robust demand for chips, autos and other high-tech goods fueling the global AI boom, providing policymakers some relief as energy price shocks from the Iran conflict weigh on broader demand.

A surge in global AI investment has helped the world's top manufacturer offset the export hit many had expected from the Middle East turmoil. But signs are emerging that stockpiling linked to higher energy costs is fading, with prices rising and overseas buyers starting to run down inventories as they hold out for a ceasefire.

Exports expanded 19.4% from a year earlier in US dollar value terms, customs data showed on Tuesday, outpacing the 14.1% gain in April and a 15% rise tipped by economists.

Imports notched another strong month, climbing 27.4% versus a rise of 25.3% a month prior. Economists had forecast growth of 25%.

"Chip price increases continue to support exports, with memory prices rising 20% month-on-month, pushing integrated circuit export growth to ‌111% for the month," ‌said Xing Zhaopeng, ANZ's senior China strategist.

China's exports of automated data processing equipment soared 66.1% in ‌value ⁠terms year-on-year, high-tech ⁠products rose 50.9% and shipments of cars jumped 39%, the data showed.

"Looking ahead, the AI story is far from over -- chips are rewriting China's trade landscape," Xing added.

The AI boom has driven strong demand for semiconductors powering data centers and advanced electronics, playing to China's manufacturing strengths.

But beyond AI, there are signs of strain in other sectors that suggest momentum may be starting to fade. Furniture exports, for example, rose just 1.9% year-on-year in May, while toy shipments fell 7% and footwear exports dropped 10.4%.

Separate factory activity data also showed a steep drop in new export orders last month from April's two-year peak, when warehouse managers reported "booming" business amid a scramble by foreign factories to lock in supplies.

Strong exports powered ⁠China's $20 trillion economy past forecasts in the first quarter, but pockets of weakness in the export ‌engine have reinforced concerns that fragile domestic demand leaves it exposed to weaker global ‌conditions and increases the likelihood of further policy support.

CHINA'S EXCESS CAPACITY STOKES TRADE FRICTION

Beijing is under growing international pressure to strengthen domestic consumption, as critics ‌warn its heavy reliance on imported inputs and re-exports is distorting trade and squeezing other emerging economies out of higher-value manufacturing.

"Close attention ‌must be paid to the risk of escalation between China and major trading partners such as Europe," said Zhiwei Zhang, chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development amplified that concern last week, noting in a report that nearly 60% of Chinese firms' "market share gains can be explained by subsidies received."

A new US Federal Reserve paper found that China's trade surplus - measured against global GDP - has topped 1%, well above the peaks ‌Japan and Germany hit in the late 20th century, and shows little sign of narrowing.

China's trade surplus, which topped $1 trillion last year, came in at $105.43 billion in May, up from $84.8 billion ⁠a month prior and from a ⁠forecast of $92.1 billion.

The latest trade figures suggest Chinese industrial overcapacity probably accounts for at least some of the shipments.

Exports to Europe rose 7.6% year-on-year in May, while those to the United States climbed 35.4% and to Southeast Asia increased 24.3%.

Purchases from South Korea surged 83.6%. China is Korea's biggest chips market.

RARE EARTHS FLASHPOINT

China's economic heft is also rippling through oil markets, with the world's top energy buyer surprising traders by holding back purchases. Crude imports in May plunged 29% to their lowest level in eight years, helping temper global prices and partially cushion the energy shock triggered by US President Donald Trump's war in Iran.

A closely watched meeting last month between Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping helped cool tensions between the two superpowers but produced no meaningful breakthroughs, whether on tariff disputes or cooperation over ending the Iran conflict.

That said, China's rare earth exports climbed to a four-month high, with the world's top producer shipping 5,490 metric tons of the 17-element group essential for electric vehicles, wind turbines and defense technologies - another flashpoint in Beijing's trade tensions with the West.

China's relative advantages in scale, deep supply chains and industrial capacity leave it well positioned to absorb trade frictions with the West, including proposed US tariff hikes, said Sheana Yue, senior economist at Oxford Economics.

"We still expect exports to be China's primary growth driver in 2026, anchored by continued high-tech and clean-tech products despite war-related headwinds to global demand."


Türkiye, Canada Agree to Launch Exploratory Talks on Free Trade

Türkiye’s Trade Minister Omer Bolat addresses the audience during a signing ceremony in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 29, 2024. (Reuters)
Türkiye’s Trade Minister Omer Bolat addresses the audience during a signing ceremony in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 29, 2024. (Reuters)
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Türkiye, Canada Agree to Launch Exploratory Talks on Free Trade

Türkiye’s Trade Minister Omer Bolat addresses the audience during a signing ceremony in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 29, 2024. (Reuters)
Türkiye’s Trade Minister Omer Bolat addresses the audience during a signing ceremony in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 29, 2024. (Reuters)

The trade ministers of Türkiye and Canada have agreed to launch exploratory discussions aimed at concluding a free trade agreement, according to a joint ministerial statement on Tuesday.

The statement said ‌Turkish Trade ‌Minister Omer ‌Bolat ⁠and Canada's Minister of ⁠International Trade Maninder Sidhu had met to advance the strong and growing economic partnership between the two countries.

"They ⁠agreed to launch ‌exploratory ‌discussions toward a free trade agreement, ‌a step that ‌reflects the ambition of both countries to unlock the full potential of the ‌commercial partnership," the statement said.

It said they identified ⁠energy ⁠as a promising area for expanded cooperation and agreed to explore opportunities in renewable energy, as well as in nuclear energy, including the potential of Canadian CANDU technology to support Türkiye’s diversification goals.


Saudi Arabia, Russia Ink $1.28 Billion Deals to Boost Key Industries

General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia, Russia Ink $1.28 Billion Deals to Boost Key Industries

General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia and Russia signed 13 strategic agreements and memoranda of understanding on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), the Saudi Press Agency reported on Monday.

The agreements were signed in the presence of Saudi Vice Minister of Environment, Water and Agriculture Eng. Mansour Al-Mushaiti, reflecting the two countries’ commitment to strengthening cooperation across key economic and strategic sectors.

The agreements, valued at $1.28 billion (SAR4.8 billion), aim to expand cooperation and strengthen trade and investment exchange between the two countries.

Al-Mushaiti said the Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture has worked to attract leading Russian companies specializing in vital and food-related sectors. He noted that the forum witnessed the signing of a package of high-quality agreements and partnerships between government entities and major private-sector companies from both countries.

The agreements support the Kingdom’s efforts to enhance food security, localize advanced biotechnology, and strengthen supply chain sustainability in line with the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030.

He explained that the agreements and memoranda of understanding signed during the Kingdom’s participation as a guest of honor at the forum covered several strategic sectors, including the manufacturing and localization of veterinary vaccine production to support animal health and biosecurity; the development and propagation of broiler breeds to enhance self-sufficiency and the sustainability of domestic production; securing feed inputs and supply chains to support the stability and growth of the livestock sector.

The agreements also focused on expanding exports of Saudi fish products through strategic partnerships for shrimp and fish exports, in cooperation with Russian companies specializing in import and international distribution.

Al-Mushaiti added that the forum also witnessed the signing of agreements to market and export camel milk and its derivatives to Russian and international markets, promote and export Saudi coffee products, and enhance cooperation and exchange in the soft drinks sector.

He stressed that the Kingdom’s participation in SPIEF reflects the importance of the strategic partnership between Saudi Arabia and Russia and provides an opportunity to exchange expertise and explore investment opportunities in the environment, water, and agriculture sectors.