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Saudi Crown Prince’s Directives Cut Riyadh Property Prices by 3%

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Crown Prince’s Directives Cut Riyadh Property Prices by 3%

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Real estate prices in Saudi Arabia’s capital fell 3% in the final quarter of last year, reversing a 1% rise in the previous quarter, in a shift that highlights the on-the-ground impact of policy moves ordered by Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz, Crown Prince and Prime Minister, to rein in soaring property costs across the Kingdom, particularly in Riyadh.

According to an index issued by the General Authority for Statistics on Tuesday, the real estate price index in Saudi Arabia fell 0.7% in the fourth quarter of last year compared with the same period of 2024.

The decline was driven mainly by weaker performance in the residential sector, which carries the most significant weight in the index, as its annual rate of change fell 2.2%.

The commercial sector continued to see a slight slowdown in growth momentum, while maintaining positive annual growth of 3.6%.

A real balance

Real estate specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Crown Prince’s directives have become evident on the ground after property prices in Riyadh surged to unprecedented levels, prompting government intervention to curb the increases and enable citizens to own their first homes without excessive financial burdens.

Real estate analyst Khaled Al-Mobid said the 0.7 % decline in the real estate price index in the fourth quarter of 2025 reflects the market’s entry into a phase of real balance after years of rapid price increases, describing it as a healthy indicator that supports, rather than weakens, market sustainability.

“What we are witnessing today is not a loss in value, but a logical price correction, particularly in the residential sector, due to increased supply, improved regulation, and greater awareness among market participants, whether buyers or investors,” Al-Mobid told Asharq Al-Awsat.

He added that this balance creates better opportunities for end users, redirects investment toward appropriate products at fair prices, and curbs short-term speculation, serving the real estate economy over the medium and long term.

Housing stability

Real estate specialist Ahmed Omar Basudan told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector has seen declines in many regions of the Kingdom, as buyers await the effects of government decisions issued under the Crown Prince’s direction.

He cited recent measures, including the announcement of the names of beneficiaries of subsidized land grants in northern Riyadh, located in some of the area’s best neighborhoods.

Basudan said the decision to fix residential rental prices in Riyadh for five years also contributed to the decline in the capital’s real estate market, as tenants are experiencing a period of housing stability, reducing demand for purchases at this stage.

He added that recent amendments to fees on undeveloped land and vacant properties, which have been implemented and are now being collected, also played a role, prompting landowners to move quickly to sell some plots at competitive prices to avoid bearing those fees.

Data from the General Authority for Statistics showed that residential real estate prices fell in the fourth quarter of last year compared with the same quarter of 2024, with the sector declining 2.2%. The drop was driven by a 2.4% fall in residential land prices, a 2.5% decline in apartment prices, a 1.3% decrease in villa prices, and a 0.2% drop in residential floor prices.

Quarterly comparison

The real estate price index fell 0.4% in the fourth quarter of last year, at a slower pace than in the third quarter.

The index was affected by a 0.4% decline in the residential sector, driven by a 0.7% drop in residential land prices, a 0.4% fall in apartment prices, and a 0.2% decrease in residential floor prices, while villa prices rose 0.8%.

At the regional level, the annual real estate price index fell 0.7% nationwide in the fourth quarter of last year, with Riyadh recording a 3% decline, compared with a 1% increase in the third quarter.

The Eastern Province posted the highest real estate price increase at 4%, followed by Makkah at 2.5%, Tabuk and Jazan at 1.1% each, and Al-Jawf at 0.4%.

By contrast, Hail, the Northern Borders region, and Madinah recorded the steepest declines, at 8.9%, 6.8%, and 6.1%, respectively.

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Business

IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.

Business

Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
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Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.

Business

Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.