Novak Says Oil Demand to Gradually Rise in March, April

FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa
FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa
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Novak Says Oil Demand to Gradually Rise in March, April

FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa
FILED - 13 April 2015, Berlin: Then Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak attends an event in Berlin. Photo: Britta Pedersen/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa

Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday there is currently a balance on the global oil market, while demand will be gradually rising in March and April.

Novak’s comments came when asked about the OPEC+ group’s plans for its production policy.

OPEC expects oil demand to rise by 1.34 million barrels per day in 2027, close to the 1.38 million bpd growth expected this year, it said in a monthly report on its website.

The outlook is OPEC's first 2027 projection in its monthly report.

The report forecast demand for OPEC+ crude will average 43 million bpd in 2026, unchanged from last month and close to what OPEC+ produced in December. The organization projected that demand for OPEC+ crude will average 43.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2027.

The main growth drivers are expected to be the US, Brazil, Canada, and Argentina.

Novak did not indicate possible decisions for the months following April.

“As shipping and travel intensify, demand will gradually increase starting in March and April. This will be an additional factor to ensure balance,” he noted.

Eight OPEC+ countries on Sunday agreed to maintain a planned pause in their oil output hikes for March.

The eight countries—Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman—reaffirmed their commitment to oil market stability, based on a stable global economic outlook and healthy market fundamentals reflected in declining inventory levels.

The OPEC+ countries reiterated that the 1.65 million barrels per day (bpd) reduction may be returned in part or in full subject to evolving market conditions and in a gradual manner. The countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions.

Those countries raised output quotas by about 2.9 million barrels per day (bpd) from April through the end of December 2025, equivalent to nearly 3% of global demand.

India and Russian Oil

Separately, the Kremlin said on Tuesday it had heard no statements from India about halting purchases of Russian oil after US President Donald Trump said New Delhi had agreed to stop such purchases as part of a trade accord with Washington.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Russia was carefully analyzing Trump's remarks on relations with India.

Asked directly if India had decided to stop buying Russian oil, Peskov said: “So far, we have not heard any statements from Delhi on this issue.”

US President Donald Trump announced a trade deal on Monday with India that slashes US tariffs on Indian goods to 18% from 50% in exchange for India halting Russian oil purchases and lowering trade barriers.

Trump announced the deal on social media following a call with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, noting that India would now buy oil from the US and potentially Venezuela.



Iraq Studies Alternative Options for Oil Exports

Floating oil export loading platforms at the Basra Oil Port, Iraq, March 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty
Floating oil export loading platforms at the Basra Oil Port, Iraq, March 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty
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Iraq Studies Alternative Options for Oil Exports

Floating oil export loading platforms at the Basra Oil Port, Iraq, March 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty
Floating oil export loading platforms at the Basra Oil Port, Iraq, March 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty

Iraq is studying alternative measures to export crude oil after disruptions to the process amid the US-Israeli war against Iran. At the same time, the country intends to continue producing crude oil at a level of 1.4 million barrels per day.

Iraqi Oil Minister Hayyan Abdul Ghani told the official television channel Al-Iraqiya News that oil exports account for 90 percent of Iraq’s revenues, and that the ministry has decided to continue producing crude oil at 1.4 million barrels per day.

He emphasized that the production and supply of petroleum products to meet domestic demand have not stopped.

He added that refineries are operating at full design capacity to cover local needs, and that sufficient quantities of liquefied gas are available to fully meet domestic needs.

Regarding exports, he explained that the export process has stopped in the south, prompting the government to search for possible alternatives to export crude oil. He revealed that an agreement is close to being signed to export oil through the Turkish Ceyhan pipeline.

Abdul Ghani added that the ministry has prepared a comprehensive plan to manage the current phase, particularly after the new circumstances in the Strait of Hormuz, noting that a plan has been activated to transport 200,000 barrels per day by tanker trucks through Türkiye, Syria, and Jordan.

In a separate context, the oil minister denied that tankers targeted in Iraqi waters belonged to Iraq, explaining that they were not Iraqi vessels and were carrying naphtha.

Iraq recently lost its entire oil export capacity of 3.35 million barrels per day after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz following escalating conflict in the region.

Iraq relies on crude oil sales for about 95 percent of its revenues to meet the needs of the country’s annual federal budget. This means that the country would face a critical situation if the conflict in the Gulf region and the Strait of Hormuz continues.


Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
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Gold Set for Weekly Drop as Oil Price Surge Weighs on Rate-cut Hopes

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo

Gold prices were on track for a second consecutive weekly drop, despite edging up on Friday, as surging energy prices due to the Middle East war dimmed prospects for near-term US interest rate cuts.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at $5,095.55 per ounce, as of 0633 GMT on Friday. US gold futures for April delivery fell 0.1% to $5,100.20.

The US 10-year Treasury yields eased, increasing the appeal of the non-yielding bullion. Bullion, however, has ‌lost more ‌than 1% so far this week. Since the war ‌started ⁠on February 28, ⁠it has dropped over 3% so far.

Fears of inflation and questions about the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates if high oil prices persist are somewhat counteracting gold's appeal, said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief market analyst.

"Given the ongoing uncertainty about the duration and scope of the conflict in the Middle East, I expect gold to remain on the ⁠radar for investors as a safety play." Heightening geopolitical ‌tensions, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said ‌on Thursday that Tehran will keep the strategic Strait of Hormuz closed as ‌leverage against the US and Israel, which has stoked concerns about ‌global energy supply and risk assets.

Oil prices rose above $100 a barrel, as attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf and warnings from Iran shattered prospects of quick de-escalation in the Middle East conflict. As oil prices surged, US President Donald ‌Trump again demanded Fed Chair Jerome Powell cut interest rates.

Traders, however, expect the Fed to keep rates ⁠steady in the current ⁠3.5%-3.75% range at the end of its two-day meeting on March 18, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. While recent inflation data suggest price growth is under control, the war and the resulting spike in crude prices have yet to filter through the data.

Investors are awaiting the release of the delayed January Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, expected on Friday. Gold discounts in India widened this week to their deepest point in nearly a decade as demand stayed subdued and some traders steered clear of paying import duties, while the escalating Middle East war boosted safe-haven demand in China.

Spot silver was down 1% at $82.91 per ounce. Spot platinum lost 1% to $2,111.45 and palladium fell 1% to $1,603.


Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
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Iran War and Rising Fuel Costs Could Boost Panama Canal Traffic, Administrator Says

A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)
A cargo ship sails under Las Americas bridge through the Panama Canal, in Panama City, Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP)

Panama Canal Administrator Ricaurte Vásquez said Thursday that the conflict in the Middle East and rising fuel costs could ultimately benefit the interoceanic waterway as global shippers adjust routes.

In an interview with The Associated Press, Vásquez said that higher energy, fuel and navigation costs could make the Panama Canal a more attractive option for commercial traffic.

“When costs increase, in general when the price of marine fuel rises, the Panama Canal becomes a more attractive route,” Vásquez said.

Oil prices have risen amid the war in the Middle East, which has led to the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran in response to US and Israeli attacks. About one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through the waterway at the mouth of the Gulf.

If higher energy costs persist, routing cargo through Panama can cut voyages by between three and 15 days, depending on the route, while reducing fuel consumption, he said.

Vásquez said higher fuel costs are expected to affect container ships, bulk carriers and tankers transporting liquefied natural gas. If Middle Eastern supplies are disrupted, shipments may be replaced by other sources, including the United States, which could redirect some LNG cargo from Europe to Asia via Panama.

Gerardo Bósquez, an executive with the Panama Maritime Chamber, said a prolonged conflict could reshape global trade routes, with gas transport among the segments likely to benefit.

Vásquez cautioned that any changes will not be immediate and will depend on how long cargo operators expect the conflict and instability in the Gulf last.