Dollar Recovers as Central Bank Decisions Loom, Markets Turn Risk-off

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
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Dollar Recovers as Central Bank Decisions Loom, Markets Turn Risk-off

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)

The dollar climbed to a two-week high on Thursday as fresh volatility gripped stocks and precious metals, while traders counted down to rate decisions from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was last up 0.1% at 97.762, extending gains into a second day.

"There’s a bit of risk aversion coming through," said Sim Moh Siong, currency strategist at OCBC in Singapore. "When there's risk aversion, the dollar tends to strengthen."

The dollar has regained some strength this week and stocks turned risk-off as financial markets assess US corporate earnings season, now halfway complete, Reuters said.

Gold and silver, which have become more volatile recently as a ‌result of leveraged ‌buying and speculative flows, were rocked by a fresh selloff on ‌Thursday, ⁠which saw silver ‌falling as much as 16.6% to a low of $73.41.

The Nasdaq Composite has fallen 2.9% during the past two days, its biggest slide since October, with volatility triggered by market bellwethers including Google parent Alphabet , which reported aggressive spending plans on Wednesday, and a rout in software stocks as they adapt to a new era of generative AI.

Against the yen, the US dollar was trading at 156.81 yen, holding steady after an auction of 30-year Japanese government bonds drew solid demand, while Japan's election campaign entered its final stretch ahead of Sunday's poll.

The euro ⁠was last down 0.2% at $1.1790 ahead of the ECB decision, where it is expected to keep rates on hold. Investors' attention will be ‌focused on the post-policy press conference to gauge the outlook for ‍rates over the coming months.

"The emphasis will likely ‍be on higher uncertainty," with only minor tweaks in communication, according to analysts from Bank of America, ‍who expect the ECB to hold rates later in the day. "Our conviction in a March cut is not rock solid, but we remain convinced of an easing bias from here."

The British pound was last down 0.2% at $1.3621 ahead of the BoE's policy decision, at which it is also expected to remain on hold.

As the Asian trading session began, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said in a speech she is more concerned about stalled progress on inflation than a weakening labor market, a strong signal that she will ⁠not support another interest-rate cut until tariff-induced price pressures begin to recede.

Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 88% probability that the US central bank will hold rates at its next two-day meeting ending on March 18, though bets on a rate cut edged up to 12% from 9.4% a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Against the offshore yuan, the US dollar was last flat at 6.9439 yuan following a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in which they discussed trade, security issues and US arms sales to Taiwan.

Antipodean currencies, which often mirror global risk appetite, saw their strength fade during the trading session as investor confidence dimmed.

The Australian dollar fell 0.4% to $0.6968, giving up earlier gains following the release of trade balance data which was a little ahead of market estimates. The New Zealand dollar was last down ‌0.3% at $0.5986.

Cryptocurrencies extended losses after a selloff, which saw digital assets fall to the lowest since November 2024, with bitcoin tumbling as much as 3.54% to $70,052.48, and ether off 1.3% at $2,098.44.



Riyadh to Host Global Logistics, Supply Chain Forums in November

A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Riyadh to Host Global Logistics, Supply Chain Forums in November

A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Under the patronage of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Saudi Arabia will host the second editions of the Global Logistics Forum (GLF) and the UNCTAD Global Supply Chain Forum (GSCF) in Riyadh from November 29 to December 1, reported the Saudi Press Agency on Tuesday.

The GLF, organized by the Saudi Ministry of Transport and Logistic Services, and the GSCF, hosted in partnership with the United Nations and the Saudi Ports Authority, form a pivotal international platform bringing together global leaders, decision-makers, and experts in transport, supply chains, and international trade.

Aligning with Saudi Vision 2030, the GLF aims to solidify the Kingdom's position as a global logistics hub connecting continents while driving innovation, global connectivity, and sustainable supply chains.

The Ministry of Transport and Logistic Services stressed that the co-located forums will serve as a premier launchpad for strategic initiatives and international partnerships, inviting global specialists to participate.

The inaugural 2024 GLF in Riyadh drew over 13,000 attendees, 140 speakers, and 80 exhibitors from more than 30 countries, resulting in 67 agreements valued at over SAR16 billion ($4.3 billion).


Saudi Arabia Tightens Auto Dealer Obligations to Protect Consumers, Improve Ownership Experience

People are seen at the Riyadh Motor Show. (Riyadh Season)
People are seen at the Riyadh Motor Show. (Riyadh Season)
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Saudi Arabia Tightens Auto Dealer Obligations to Protect Consumers, Improve Ownership Experience

People are seen at the Riyadh Motor Show. (Riyadh Season)
People are seen at the Riyadh Motor Show. (Riyadh Season)

Saudi Arabia’s auto market is moving toward greater discipline and competition as the Ministry of Commerce steps up oversight of dealers, seeking to strengthen consumer protection and improve compliance with after-sales service requirements.

The ministry announced it had suspended an auto dealership, barred it from importing vehicles and fined it SAR 8.12 million ($2.1 million) after recording 175 violations. These included failure to provide spare parts and replacement vehicles to customers during maintenance, as well as other breaches involving consumer rights, the Commercial Agencies Law and its implementing regulations.

The ministry investigated the violations, contacted affected consumers and followed up to ensure they received their rights and due compensation, including replacement vehicles.

It also summoned the manufacturer, oversaw corrective measures and recall campaigns, and began transferring the brand to another dealer after verifying its readiness and ability to provide the necessary services.

Mohammed Al-Farraj, chief asset management officer at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia’s large auto market and sustained demand make it one of the region’s most attractive, supported by population and economic growth, expansion of the non-oil economy and mega-projects, and growth in tourism and logistics.

The availability and variety of financing options play a key role in supporting demand, particularly because cars are a necessity for a large segment of the population rather than a luxury, Al-Farraj noted.

Market performance is influenced by vehicle prices, financing costs, income levels and supply, as well as competition among brands and the quality of after-sales services.

Al-Farraj described the ministry’s tougher oversight as a positive step toward protecting consumers and improving market discipline, stressing that a dealer’s obligations do not end with a sale but extend to warranties, maintenance, spare parts and replacement vehicles when needed.

Stronger after-sales compliance should bolster market confidence and gradually shift competition toward quality and reliability rather than price alone.

Al-Farraj expects intensifying competition to push dealers to focus more on the value offered throughout vehicle ownership, including total cost of ownership and customer service.


Mega-Projects, Investment Flows Draw Bank of Jordan to Saudi Arabia

A group photo of Bank of Jordan officials following the inauguration ceremony for the bank’s first branch in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A group photo of Bank of Jordan officials following the inauguration ceremony for the bank’s first branch in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Mega-Projects, Investment Flows Draw Bank of Jordan to Saudi Arabia

A group photo of Bank of Jordan officials following the inauguration ceremony for the bank’s first branch in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A group photo of Bank of Jordan officials following the inauguration ceremony for the bank’s first branch in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s appeal extends beyond rising foreign investment and expanding mega-projects to the banking sector, where institutions see the economic transformation driven by Vision 2030 as an opportunity to establish a long-term presence in one of the region’s fastest-growing markets.

Bank of Jordan Group’s entry into the Kingdom reflects growing interest among regional financial institutions in tapping the country’s expanding investment cycle.

The group opened its first branch in Riyadh on Monday, launching its financial and banking operations in Saudi Arabia. The move underscores the Kingdom’s ability to attract not only capital, but also financial institutions seeking to finance the next phase of investment.

Mega-projects, private sector expansion and growing foreign and domestic investment are creating significant opportunities for banks to provide financing solutions and services to companies and investors. At the same time, Saudi Arabia is seeking to deepen the financial sector’s role as a driver of growth and economic diversification.

Saleh Hammad, general manager of Bank of Jordan Group, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the bank’s strategy is based on a clear view of the economic transformations reshaping Saudi Arabia and the wider region.

The group has pursued carefully considered regional expansion, focusing on markets with sustainable economic fundamentals and strategic importance, with Saudi Arabia at the forefront.

Hammad said the Kingdom is undergoing an unprecedented economic transformation under Vision 2030, fueled by investment growth, private-sector expansion and the development of its financial and banking environment.

Establishing a presence in one of the region’s leading financial and economic hubs strengthens Bank of Jordan’s position as a regional institution capable of supporting trade, development and investment opportunities, he noted.

Hammad also highlighted Saudi Arabia’s strong banking system and evolving regulatory environment, supported by the Saudi Central Bank, as key advantages that enhance the group’s position while creating added value for clients and investors.