OPEC+ Agrees to Raise Output by 206,000 bpd

FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
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OPEC+ Agrees to Raise Output by 206,000 bpd

FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo

The eight OPEC+ countries on Sunday agreed to a modest oil output boost of 206,000 barrels per day for April, a decision framed as a response to steady market fundamentals and global economic growth.

The action comes at a time when energy markets are on high alert as navigation in the Strait of Hormuz has been halted following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran.

The meeting on Sunday involved only eight members of OPEC+ - Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria and Oman.

OPEC+ groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies like Russia but most production changes in the past years have been done by the eight members.

“In view of a steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals, as reflected in the low oil inventories, the eight participating countries decided to resume the unwinding of the 1.65 million barrels per day of additional voluntary adjustments announced in April 2023 and agreed on a production adjustment of 206 thousand barrels per day,” the eight members said in a statement.

“This adjustment will be implemented in April 2026 as detailed in the table below. The 1.65 million barrels per day may be returned in part or in full subject to evolving market conditions and in a gradual manner,” they added.

Also, the countries said they will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and in their continuous efforts to support market stability, they reaffirmed the importance of adopting a cautious approach and retaining full flexibility to increase, pause or reverse the phase out of the voluntary production adjustments, including reversing the previously implemented voluntary adjustments of the 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023.

The eight OPEC+ countries also noted that this measure will provide an opportunity for the participating countries to accelerate their compensation.

They reiterated their collective commitment to achieve full conformity with the Declaration of Cooperation, including the additional voluntary production adjustments that will be monitored by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC).

They confirmed their intention to fully compensate for any overproduced volume since January 2024.

The eight OPEC+ countries will hold monthly meetings to review market conditions, conformity, and compensation. They will meet on April 5.

The eight members had raised production quotas by about 2.9 million bpd from April through December 2025, roughly 3% of global demand, before pausing increases for January to March 2026 due to seasonal weakness.

Oil, gas and other shipments from the Middle East via the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt since Saturday after shipowners received a warning from Iran saying the area was closed for navigation.

Hundreds of ships dropped anchor and were not moving on Sunday and several ships came under attack. Hormuz is the world's most important oil route accounting for over 20% of global oil transit.



Amazon Confirms Drone Strikes Hit Data Centers in the Gulf

An Amazon office in Ireland in October 2025 (Reuters)
An Amazon office in Ireland in October 2025 (Reuters)
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Amazon Confirms Drone Strikes Hit Data Centers in the Gulf

An Amazon office in Ireland in October 2025 (Reuters)
An Amazon office in Ireland in October 2025 (Reuters)

Amazon said Monday that two of its data centers in the United Arab Emirates were hit by drones, while a drone strike near one of its facilities in Bahrain “caused physical impacts to our infrastructure.”

The tech giant said on its website that the strikes have caused structural damage and gotten in the way of power getting to infrastructure.

“We are working to restore full service availability as quickly as possible, though we expect recovery to be prolonged given the nature of the physical damage involved,” Amazon said.

Iran has hit many countries in the Mideast in retaliation for the US and Israeli strikes.


Strait of Hormuz Under Siege: A Double Shock to Global Energy Markets

People visit Hormuz Island in the Strait of Hormuz off the Iranian city of Bandar Abbas (File photo – AFP)
People visit Hormuz Island in the Strait of Hormuz off the Iranian city of Bandar Abbas (File photo – AFP)
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Strait of Hormuz Under Siege: A Double Shock to Global Energy Markets

People visit Hormuz Island in the Strait of Hormuz off the Iranian city of Bandar Abbas (File photo – AFP)
People visit Hormuz Island in the Strait of Hormuz off the Iranian city of Bandar Abbas (File photo – AFP)

Global energy markets are on maximum alert following the military escalation in the Middle East. The outbreak of direct confrontation between the United States and Israel on one side and Iran on the other has effectively paralyzed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz - the vital artery that carries more than 20 percent of the world’s oil and gas supplies - fueling fears of a major supply shock.

How quickly oil tanker traffic resumes normal operations through the strait is now critical. Roughly one-fifth of global oil production and a similar share of liquefied natural gas transit the narrow waterway.

Estimates from JPMorgan suggest that a 25-day halt in tanker traffic would fill storage tanks in producing countries to capacity, forcing them to cut output.

On Monday, in the first trading session since Saturday’s attack, oil prices surged sharply. Brent crude, the international benchmark, jumped as much as 13 percent to trade above $82 a barrel, its highest level since January 2025.

At the same time, insurers announced the cancellation of some policies covering vessels operating in the region. Meanwhile, S&P Global Platts, a leading provider of oil price assessments, suspended bids and offers for Middle Eastern refined product benchmarks that pass through the Strait of Hormuz, citing shipping disruptions linked to the US-Iran conflict. The agency added that it is reviewing its pricing methodology for Middle Eastern crude.

Gas Crisis Deepens

The turmoil has not been limited to oil. Natural gas markets have also been jolted, with European prices jumping more than 30 percent after QatarEnergy announced a suspension of production and exports.

Qatar’s Ministry of Defense said an Iranian drone targeted an onshore gas processing facility in Ras Laffan Industrial City, forcing operations to halt.

The impact is particularly severe for Europe, which relies on Qatar as a strategic alternative to Russian gas. Ole Hvalbye, a commodities analyst at SEB, said disruption to flows through Hormuz, which account for about 20 percent of global LNG supplies, would spark fierce competition between Asian and European buyers for US cargoes, driving prices sharply higher across the Atlantic basin.

The direction of prices now depends largely on how long the conflict persists. Analysts say the base-case scenario hinges on political developments in Tehran, where the international community hopes for either a significant leadership shift or US diplomatic intervention to de-escalate tensions within one to two weeks.

However, if prices remain elevated for a prolonged period, the risk of a renewed global inflation surge looms, placing central banks in a historic bind between curbing inflation and supporting economic growth.

Asia at the Epicenter

Asia - widely regarded as the engine of global growth - now finds itself at the heart of the crisis. The region is the most exposed to the fallout from the Middle East conflict due to its heavy dependence on Gulf oil and gas supplies. This is not merely a trade disruption; it is a direct challenge to energy security across Asian capitals.

Countries such as Japan, South Korea and India rely heavily on Middle Eastern shipping lanes to secure their energy needs. In Japan, around 70 percent of imported oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, leaving the country highly vulnerable to geopolitical tensions in the corridor. China, despite diversifying its suppliers, remains the largest buyer of Iranian crude and Qatari LNG, making the security of these flows critical to its industrial economy.

Asian governments are now scrambling to reassess their strategic reserves.

If the conflict turns into a prolonged war of attrition, countries such as Japan and South Korea could face an unenviable choice: draw down reserves that may prove difficult to replenish quickly, or accept soaring spot market prices.

With Qatari LNG supplies disrupted, Asia has already entered into intense competition with Europe for US and Australian cargoes. The scramble for alternative supplies is tightening global availability and sharply increasing energy costs across emerging Asian economies.

For India and several Southeast Asian nations, higher prices mean an immediate rise in import bills, placing heavy pressure on balance-of-payments positions and fueling imported inflation that could undermine growth targets for the year.

The strain extends beyond crude oil. Asia’s refineries - the largest in the world - depend heavily on medium and heavy Middle Eastern grades. A sustained disruption in these supplies could force refiners to cut processing rates, leading to shortages of diesel, gasoline and jet fuel within the region itself, with knock-on effects for transportation and logistics.


Demand Remained Strong in Saudi Arabia's Non-oil Business in February, PMI Shows

A general view of the city of Riyadh (AFP)
A general view of the city of Riyadh (AFP)
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Demand Remained Strong in Saudi Arabia's Non-oil Business in February, PMI Shows

A general view of the city of Riyadh (AFP)
A general view of the city of Riyadh (AFP)

Growth in Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector slowed slightly in February, a survey showed on Tuesday, although demand remained strong.

The seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slipped to a reading of 56.1 in February from January's 56.3, but remained well above the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction.

"This performance was driven by ⁠robust domestic demand ⁠and a steady flow of new project approvals," said Naif Al-Ghaith, Riyad Bank's chief economist.

In February's PMI survey, the new orders sub-index remained steady at 61.8, similar to the previous month, indicating strong demand with businesses continuing to report strong output growth and a sharp rise in employment.

The rate of ⁠employment ⁠growth accelerated to a four-month high, driven by increased sales and a build-up of backlogs, according to the survey. However, the rate of staff cost inflation hit its highest since the survey began in August 2009.