Arab Startups Attract Investors Despite War-Driven Uncertainty

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
TT

Arab Startups Attract Investors Despite War-Driven Uncertainty

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)

At a time when geopolitical tensions and regional conflicts cast a shadow over the broader landscape, the Middle East and North Africa's startup ecosystem is showing strong resilience and the ability to attract both local and international capital.

Investment in technology is no longer a complementary option, but a strategic bet, driven by accelerating digital transformation and the stability fostered by leading governments in the region.

“The best time to invest and seize opportunities is when there is fear and uncertainty,” Hassan Haidar, founder and managing partner at Plus VC, told Asharq Al-Awsat.

The firm has backed more than 250 startups across 15 countries in the Middle East and said late last year it plans to fund around 40 startups in 2026, with a focus on deals in Saudi Arabia.

Haidar said the technology and digital services sector continues to benefit, adding that even war cannot halt the region’s rapid shift toward digital services.

Regional tensions have pushed many to rely more on digital tools and online delivery services, creating significant opportunities for startups offering innovative solutions, he said.

Venture capital surge

Startups in the region raised $3.8 billion across 688 deals in 2025, up 74% year on year, according to Magnitt company. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates took the largest share, with nearly half of the capital coming from international investors.

Haidar said investment is driven not only by current opportunities but also by the ecosystem's growing maturity.

“The past decade was about proving that venture capital can succeed in the region; the next decade will be about proving the scale of these opportunities,” he said.

Structural transformation

Haidar, who began investing in the region in 2010, said the startup landscape has changed fundamentally, from fewer than 100 startups annually across the region about 15 years ago to around 2,000 today.

Markets have become more structured, with governments supporting capital flows and helping establish local and international investment funds. Clearer paths to initial public offerings have emerged, alongside secondary transactions that provide liquidity for investors and founders.

“Markets such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have become regional pillars, belief in the ecosystem is attracting founders, capital and global attention,” he said.

Untapped opportunities

Haidar said the region’s appeal lies in vast untapped opportunities and in key sectors that are still in the early stages of digitization. A generation of ambitious founders with international experience is returning to build technology ventures that address both local and global challenges.

This momentum is backed by clear, strategic government support that gives investors confidence, he said.

Compared with other emerging markets, regions such as Southeast Asia face challenges in exit pathways and liquidity shortages. The Arab region, particularly Saudi Arabia, stands out by offering viable exit channels through public listings and structured secondary transactions.

Trends strengthening competitiveness

Haidar outlined four trends boosting the region’s competitiveness.

First, investors are becoming more financially mature, shifting from development-driven funding to performance-based investment focused on real returns.

Second, exit pathways are becoming more dynamic, supported by strong liquidity, with IPOs and secondary markets offering flexible options to recycle capital.

Third, artificial intelligence is moving beyond hype to real-world applications, addressing complex operational challenges in sectors such as logistics and enterprise software.

Fourth, deep tech and hardware are gaining ground, with a new wave of companies developing advanced solutions to critical issues such as energy security, water and advanced manufacturing, attracting investors willing to back long-term projects.

Challenges and outlook

Despite this progress, access to funding remains a structural challenge. Venture capital still accounts for less than 0.1% of regional GDP, compared with around 1% in the United States, highlighting significant untapped potential.

Still, Haidar expressed strong optimism about the region’s ability to move forward, pointing to the role of governments in maintaining stability.

“We hope for a positive shift and a return to normal conditions, but we strongly believe in our governments’ ability to navigate these difficult times and provide a stable environment that gives us the confidence to continue,” he said.

He said venture capital has moved beyond the stage of doubt.

“We are no longer asking whether startups are important to our economy; we have entered a new strategic phase focused on how to scale and multiply, and on proving the full potential of this ecosystem on the global stage,” he said.



Middle East War Reshaping National Energy Strategies, Says IEA

 An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
TT

Middle East War Reshaping National Energy Strategies, Says IEA

 An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)

The Middle East war is pushing countries to open new supply routes and turn to domestic resources to tide over the world's biggest energy crisis, the International Energy Agency said Thursday.

"We are in the midst of the largest energy security crisis the world has ever faced -- and I believe this will reshape investment strategies globally, with parallels to the major changes the energy world witnessed after the oil shocks of the 1970s," said IEA executive director Fatih Birol

"We are already seeing intensified efforts by both producer and consumer countries to diversify trade routes and energy sources -- such as advancing new pipelines and other supply infrastructure, on the one hand, and turning more to domestically available resources, on the other," he added in the World Energy Investment report by the energy agency of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

The IEA estimates that global energy investment will reach $3.4 trillion in 2026, slightly higher than the previous year, with around $2.2 trillion devoted to power grids, storage, low-emission fuels, nuclear, renewables, energy efficiency and electrification.

Alongside this, around $1.2 trillion is expected to be invested in oil, natural gas and coal.

It nevertheless expects oil investment to decline for the third straight year in 2026, falling below $500 billion despite rising crude prices.

This is due to uncertainty over how long higher prices will last, project lead times, supply constraints and the tightening offshore rigs market, which are limiting short-term investment outside the Middle East.

By contrast, investment in natural gas is "projected to rise to $330 billion, the highest level in a decade, supported by a wave of new LNG export projects, particularly in the United States and Qatar," IEA said.

At the same time, oil-importing countries are turning to energy sources available domestically, notably renewables, nuclear and coal, the report said.

The IEA estimates that investment in renewables should reach around $665 billion in 2026, including $365 billion for solar alone.

Investment in nuclear energy and is set to exceed $80 billion annually while investment in coal should reach $180 billion -- the highest in 10 years, it said.

China alone will account for nearly 70 percent of global coal supply spending, and some Asian countries may seek to extend the operation of their existing coal-fired power plants in order to strengthen their energy security.

The IEA said investment in electricity supply and infrastructure is expected to reach nearly $1.6 trillion in 2026, including around $550 billion for power grids, while investment in battery storage should exceed $100 billion.


ECB Chief Economist Sees Persistent Impact on Inflation from Iran War

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
TT

ECB Chief Economist Sees Persistent Impact on Inflation from Iran War

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)

The energy shock caused by the Middle East conflict will likely have a persistent impact on inflation even if there is a quick solution to the war, the European Central Bank's chief economist, Philip Lane, said on Thursday.

While oil prices historically tended to revert to original levels after a burst of increases, the current episode may be different as energy costs may stay elevated with countries restocking inventory or diversifying their energy mix, he said.

"We had ‌an overnight, fairly ‌quick and big decline in global oil ‌supply, ⁠which has been ⁠masked until now by inventories," Lane said at a conference hosted by the BOJ and its think tank in Tokyo.

"Even if the initial energy shock starts to reverse, the second round (effects) will be with us for a while," he said.

With the energy shock pushing up prices, financial markets have fully priced in ⁠two hikes in the ECB's 2% deposit ‌rate and see a roughly 50% ‌chance of a third move over the next year. Economists are more ‌cautious and see just two hikes, followed by a cut ‌in mid-2027, a Reuters poll showed.

Lane said there could be some policy lessons from past energy shocks, such as that rising energy costs could push up inflation abruptly and cause "all sorts of non-linear" mechanisms ‌that broaden price hikes.

"But it's not the same non-linearity we had four years ago," when ⁠supply disruptions ⁠from the Ukraine war and strong demand from the COVID re-opening pushed up inflation, he said.

Central banks must acknowledge any substantial shocks and their potential impact on inflation, but avoid overreacting in setting monetary policy, Lane said.

"You have to be skillful in terms of looking at monetary transmission, consumer confidence and all these different mechanisms," he said.

While some inflationary pressures from a supply shock do calm down over time, it was important for central banks to make sure "there's no persistent belief in the population or among price-setting sectors that inflation is going to be too high for too long," he said.


Dollar Firms to One-Week High as Gulf Tensions Flare, Yen Nears Intervention Zone

US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
TT

Dollar Firms to One-Week High as Gulf Tensions Flare, Yen Nears Intervention Zone

US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)

The dollar firmed to a one-week high on Thursday after Middle East tensions ratcheted up following fresh US strikes on Iran, while the yen softened toward a level that triggered central bank intervention last month.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they targeted a US airbase after what they described as an early morning US attack near Bandar Abbas airport, Tasnim news agency reported, while Kuwait's army said its air defenses were intercepting hostile ‌missile and ‌drone threats.

That followed news that the US military ‌carried ⁠out new strikes targeting ⁠an Iranian drone operation that it said posed a threat to US forces and commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices rebounded and the safe-haven dollar steadied as hopes of a swift resolution to the war faded, with investors now increasingly expecting the greenback to break higher as the Federal Reserve shifts its focus to battling inflation amid elevated energy prices.

"Geopolitics and ⁠the subsequent inflation risks remain a key concern," Alex ‌Saunders, Citi's head of global quant ‌macro strategy, wrote. "We continue to see a trim in the USD underweight."

The euro was 0.2% ‌lower at $1.1600, while the pound was down nearly 0.3% at $1.3392.

The risk-sensitive ‌Australian dollar weakened 0.4% to $0.7111to a one-week low, and the New Zealand dollar was down 0.3% at $0.58831.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six major peers, strengthened 0.17% to 99.464, near its highest level since ‌May 21.

Markets will now look ahead to today's release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE ⁠deflator, which ⁠will help shape the broader interest rate outlook.

The yen weakened to as far as 159.610 per dollar on Thursday, the lowest since April 30 and within sight of the 160 level that triggered intervention by Japanese authorities last month.

That intervention bought policymakers some breathing room, but questions linger over its lasting impact, said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.

"The broader question is whether it was worth it for what essentially amounts to just a single month's relief. And furthermore, will authorities have the stomach to write a similar-sized cheque if the 160 level is breached again in the coming sessions?" he said.

Markets are pricing a roughly 70% chance of a quarter-point interest rate rise at the BOJ's June 15–16 policy meeting, LSEG data showed.