Oil Rallies, Stocks Tumble as Trump Says US to Hammer Iran Further

Oil prices surged and stocks sank after Donald Trump's address to the nation. Alex Brandon / POOL/AFP
Oil prices surged and stocks sank after Donald Trump's address to the nation. Alex Brandon / POOL/AFP
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Oil Rallies, Stocks Tumble as Trump Says US to Hammer Iran Further

Oil prices surged and stocks sank after Donald Trump's address to the nation. Alex Brandon / POOL/AFP
Oil prices surged and stocks sank after Donald Trump's address to the nation. Alex Brandon / POOL/AFP

Oil prices spiked and stocks sank on Thursday after Donald Trump reiterated that US forces would hammer Iran for another two to three weeks but offered no solution to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz that has crippled global markets.

Investors appeared to be unimpressed with the US president's much-anticipated address to the nation, in which he again called on countries that rely on the waterway for their energy supplies to reopen it themselves, AFP said.

The comments came amid growing fears about the economic impact of the crisis, which has seen governments introduce support measures, with the World Bank saying it was "extremely concerned".

In a speech lasting less than 20 minutes, Trump added little to what he has said in the past, warning that "over the next two to three weeks, we are going to bring them back to the Stone Ages, where they belong".

He also told the nation that US forces would meet all their battlefield goals "very, very shortly".

The address dented a nascent recovery in world markets that had come after Trump said earlier this week that the war would be ending "very soon", while his Iranian counterpart said his country had the "necessary will" to end it.

Brent crude, which had fallen back below $100 a barrel Wednesday, surged as much as five percent to hit $106.29, while West Texas Intermediate jumped more than four percent to as high as $104.29.

Trump "spoke of objectives met, but not of resolution. Of continued strikes, not withdrawal. Of optional escalation, not closure", wrote Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management.

"The message was not one of panic, but it was unmistakably one of unfinished business. And in markets, unfinished business is oxygen for volatility.

"So oil did what oil always does when the illusion cracks. It surged, not because the war suddenly worsened, but because the market had prematurely priced in the expectation that it would end."

The reaction among equity traders was no better, with Seoul -- which soared more than eight percent Wednesday -- losing three percent. Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore, Taipei and Sydney were also well down.

The speech "did not contain what the market had hoped for -- namely, indications of an end to the fighting", Jumpei Tanaka, of Pictet Asset Management, said. "Instead, he suggested a potential escalation of the situation, which is a clear negative for stocks."

Markets have endured huge volatility since the US-Israeli war on Iran was launched on February 28, with the president frequently U-turning after making policy statements, particularly with regards to foreign relations and military operations.

His announcements that Washington and Tehran were in peace talks have often been denied by the Iranian republic, while its Revolutionary Guards insisted the strait will remain closed to the country's "enemies".

Trump's repeated demand that countries that rely on energy through the Strait of Hormuz "get your own oil" comes as Britain prepares to host a meeting of about 35 nations Thursday to discuss how to reopen the waterway.

The meeting will "assess all viable diplomatic and political measures that we can take to restore freedom of navigation, guarantee the safety of trapped ships and seafarers and resume the movement of vital commodities", UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said.

Meanwhile, the World Bank Managing Director Paschal Donohoe said he was fearful about the global economic impact of the crisis.

"We are extremely concerned regarding the effect that this will have on inflation, on jobs and on food security," he told AFP as the Bank announced a new partnership with the International Monetary Fund and International Energy Agency to coordinate aid responses.



Saudi Arabia Emerges as Global AI Hub as Tech Firms Base Regional Operations in Riyadh

The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Emerges as Global AI Hub as Tech Firms Base Regional Operations in Riyadh

The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia is no longer preparing for the age of artificial intelligence; it is helping shape it. After designating 2026 as the Year of AI, the Kingdom has evolved from a promising market into a major technology hub, attracting global companies eager to establish regional operations.

Reflecting that momentum, US data and AI company SAS selected Riyadh as its regional headquarters for the Middle East and North Africa a year ago. Founded in 1976, SAS is marking its 50th anniversary this year and is among the world’s leading providers of predictive analytics, data management, and machine learning solutions, serving industries including energy, finance, and healthcare.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the Global AI Show, held in Riyadh on June 29-30, Khaled Moussa, Senior Customer Account Manager at SAS, said Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 has accelerated the adoption of advanced and sophisticated technologies.

He noted that the Kingdom’s modern digital infrastructure has enabled increasingly complex technological operations, fueling demand for SAS solutions and those of other technology firms across multiple sectors.

“The remarkable growth taking place in Saudi Arabia is attracting significant attention in the United States and beyond,” Moussa said. “That has encouraged international companies to make serious commitments to the market because of its rapid adoption of intelligent technologies.”

Although SAS has operated in Saudi Arabia since 1984, he added, “the market has reached a new level of maturity, both in terms of regulation and technology adoption.”

Moussa said SAS maintains a strong presence across several strategic sectors, particularly energy, through its collaboration with Saudi Aramco, the world’s largest energy company.

The company also works with the Saudi Electricity Company, providing advanced forecasting tools to predict electricity demand and support long-term planning, helping improve operational efficiency and future preparedness. SAS also supplies analytical solutions for the water sector to strengthen sustainability efforts.

Moussa highlighted two areas where predictive analytics deliver particular value. The first is market forecasting, where SAS helps organizations anticipate trends and make data-driven decisions while reducing unnecessary costs. The second is predictive maintenance, which allows industrial operators to identify potential equipment failures before they occur, minimizing downtime and avoiding costly repairs.

He also underlined SAS’s long-term commitment to developing Saudi talent. The company partners directly with universities to offer six-month paid internships, equipping students with practical experience before they enter the workforce.

In addition, SAS extends its training initiatives to schools and universities, teaching students how to apply AI technologies and preparing them for future careers.

The Global AI Show brought together more than 100 experts and global leaders from 80 countries, including government officials, innovators, and digital transformation specialists.

The event attracted more than 10,000 participants, 100 exhibitors and sponsors, and coverage from 200 international media organizations, reinforcing Riyadh’s growing role as a global platform for AI policymaking and international technology cooperation.


China Factory Activity Returns to Expansion Riding AI Global Boom

 A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)
A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)
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China Factory Activity Returns to Expansion Riding AI Global Boom

 A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)
A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)

China's factory activity returned to expansion in June, driven by demand for chips, computers and other AI-related products, as robust export orders and front-loading to the United States to get ahead of tariffs offset weakness elsewhere in the economy.

The data suggest global AI investment is providing an important cushion for manufacturers in China's $20 trillion economy, even as disruption from the Middle East conflict and a prolonged property slump continue to weigh on broader growth.

The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 50.3 in June from 50.0 in May, according to a survey by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). It beat a median forecast of 50.0 in a Reuters poll.

"Exports to meet international demand for chips and other AI-related products, as well as front-loading to get ahead of new US Section 301 ‌tariffs due late ‌July and improved domestic demand due to lower upstream costs underpinned the improvement," said ‌Dan ⁠Wang, China director ⁠of consultancy Eurasia Group.

The number of domestic infrastructure projects ticked up over the last month too, she added. US retailers have brought forward orders from China by four to six weeks to secure their inventories for Black Friday and Christmas holiday sales before the expected tariff hikes later this year, shipping executives said.

The sub-index for new export orders returned to expansion in June, rising to 50.1 from 48.6, while the production and overall new orders gauges edged up to 51.4 and 51.2 from 51.2 and 49.9, respectively.

Factory gate prices slipped to 48.2 from 51.9 in May, however, following five months of expansion, with ⁠employment also continuing to trend downward.

"The export strength is set to continue, driven by ‌global AI investment demand," said Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence ‌Unit. "Second, more policy easing will come."

"For example, fiscal spending has lagged behind budget arrangements, and it should accelerate in the coming months. There ‌is also room for monetary easing," he added.

The non-manufacturing PMI, which includes services and construction, improved to 50.2 ‌versus 50.1 in May, while the composite PMI came in at 50.6 compared with 50.5 a month earlier.

AI BOOM OR BUST

With the property crisis showing little sign of stabilizing and household spending remaining subdued, policymakers face the challenge of managing a two-speed economy.

There is enormous international demand for semiconductors powering data centers and advanced electronics, playing to China's manufacturing strengths, but there does not seem ‌to be much demand for anything else.

Exports of furniture, for example, grew just 1.9% in value terms year-on-year, according to the latest trade data for May, while shipments of ⁠automated data processing equipment ⁠jumped 60% over the same period.

Furthermore, retail sales, a proxy for domestic demand, fell for the first time in over three years, the most recent data for May showed, along with a faster slump in new home prices.

Julian Evans-Pritchard, head of China Economics at Capital Economics, said the improvement "remains heavily dependent on exports and AI-related tech," and warned that "despite the improvement in activity, the manufacturing sector appears to be slipping back into deflation."

China has set a 2026 growth target of 4.5% to 5.0%, slightly below last year's 5% expansion.

With signs of precautionary buying in the wake of Middle East-related price pressures fading, input costs rising and overseas customers running down inventories while awaiting a ceasefire, Chinese manufacturers may increasingly need demand from the world's largest consumer market to regain momentum.

A closely watched meeting in May between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, however, produced no meaningful breakthroughs, whether on tariffs or Beijing using its influence over Tehran to end the Iran war.

"The sluggish data from the past few months will likely result in a notable slowdown in second-quarter GDP," said Lynn Song, chief economist for China at ING.

"We're looking for a slowdown to 4.6% year-on-year, with risks slightly balanced to the downside."


EU's Side of US Trade Deal to Come Into Force on July 1

FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
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EU's Side of US Trade Deal to Come Into Force on July 1

FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa

The European Union's side of a trade deal struck with the United States last year, which will remove import duties on many US goods, will come into force on July 1, said a formal European Union regulatory filing.

The EU said this ⁠regulation would apply ⁠from July 1 until December 31, 2029, Reuters reported.

"Where appropriate, the Commission shall submit together with the comprehensive assessment a legislative proposal to extend ⁠the period of application of this Regulation," added the regulatory filing.

Under the agreement, the EU agreed to remove import duties on US industrial goods and provide preferential access to US farm produce.

It will also extend duty-free imports of ⁠US lobster, ⁠a mini-deal struck with Trump during his first term as president.

The EU legislation expires at the end of 2029 and includes multiple safeguards that would allow the EU to suspend concessions if the United States breaches the trade deal's terms.