Saudi Food Self-Sufficiency Shields Economy from Hormuz Crisis

Containers are seen at a port in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
Containers are seen at a port in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Food Self-Sufficiency Shields Economy from Hormuz Crisis

Containers are seen at a port in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
Containers are seen at a port in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has pushed global energy and food security to the brink. Saudi Arabia responded by positioning itself as a stabilizing force, turning its western coastline into a lifeline that not only protected its domestic market but also helped offset shortages in neighboring countries.

A proactive strategy that raised self-sufficiency in key food products above 100% helped the Kingdom mitigate the fallout from the geopolitical crisis. Backed by efficient logistics and strong local content, Saudi food security has evolved beyond a statistical benchmark into a pillar capable of absorbing global shocks and keeping goods flowing smoothly amid turbulence.

Official data underlines that shift. The General Authority for Statistics’ 2024 food security report showed record increases in self-sufficiency across several plant and animal products compared with 2023, with some exceeding 100%.

The gains were driven by sustained investment in agriculture, stronger domestic supply chains and diversified import sources. Together, they shielded the local market from sharp disruptions, helping stabilize prices and maintain supply, reinforcing food security as a core pillar in managing global crises.

Ports have been central to that effort. Shura Council member Fadel bin Saad Al-Buainain said Saudi Arabia’s strategic location on the Red Sea and the Gulf provides multiple high-efficiency ports supported by integrated logistics that sustain flows of goods and cargo.

He said the Kingdom faced no difficulty meeting demand or exporting goods after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, successfully using Red Sea ports as an alternative route. That ensured uninterrupted flows, avoided shortages or price spikes, and strengthened confidence in government measures to contain the impact of geopolitical tensions.

Saudi efforts extended beyond its borders. Al-Buainain said the Kingdom helped compensate for shortages in Gulf states whose imports were disrupted, using Red Sea ports, expanding storage capacity, activating fast-track transit agreements and linking Gulf ports to move goods, alongside overland transport.

“These are tremendous efforts that went beyond the Kingdom’s borders to reach all Gulf states, reinforcing cooperation and integration and underscoring the importance of the Gulf Cooperation Council,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Strengthening local content has been key. Al-Buainain said the Kingdom achieved significant self-sufficiency, particularly in agriculture, alongside other goods including oil-sector industrial parts, whose local availability helped facilities recover quickly after what he described as Iranian attacks.

Sustained local supply has been central to curbing inflation and stabilizing prices, while strategic reserves of essential goods have served as an effective buffer, enabling the state to absorb shocks and meet market demand without disruption, he stressed.

The availability of imports does not guarantee price stability, as rising costs, particularly in air freight, have driven price increases in markets rather than shortages, he added.

Strategic reserves also help regulate prices, Al-Buainain said, noting the role of the Ministry of Commerce in pricing stockpiles at reasonable levels and preventing exploitation during crises.

Saudi Arabia’s transport and logistics system has leveraged its strategic location to generate economic returns while strengthening national security in its broader sense, including food, medical and commodity security, whether sourced locally or imported through western ports.

Osama bin Ghanem Al-Obaidy, an adviser and professor of commercial law, said the Kingdom’s push to develop agriculture and livestock sectors had driven self-sufficiency rates above 100% in several products, reflecting the strength of local production and its ability to meet both domestic and external demand.

Those efforts helped maintain supply and stabilize prices during the Hormuz crisis, which disrupted shipments and drove up shipping and insurance costs, contributing to a sharp rise in global food prices, particularly wheat and rice, he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Al-Obaidi said the crisis strained global supply chains, causing bottlenecks in goods and vital fertilizers as shipping through the strait declined. Saudi western ports, led by Jeddah Islamic Port and Yanbu, have become key logistics hubs, securing domestic supply while serving as vital arteries for neighboring countries.

Data from the statistics authority showed shrimp self-sufficiency at 149%, dairy products at 131% and table eggs at 103%.

Vegetable self-sufficiency also reached high levels, with eggplant at 105%, okra at 102%, cucumbers at 101% and zucchini at 100%. Dates recorded the highest rate among fruits at 121%, followed by figs at 99%.

In livestock, data from the Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture showed the Kingdom met 61% of its red meat needs locally, with production exceeding 270,000 metric tons. That stability boosted market resilience and its ability to meet rising demand, especially during peak seasons.

In poultry, a key component of the Ramadan food basket, self-sufficiency reached 72%, with production surpassing 1 million metric tons. The surplus not only met local demand but also supported exports, alongside tighter oversight to ensure market stability and protect supply chains from external shocks.

The result has reinforced Saudi Arabia’s position as a global contributor to sustainable food security, backed by an outward investment strategy that includes stakes in major producers such as Brazil’s BRF and Ukraine’s MHP, helping secure supplies at source.



Middle East War Reshaping National Energy Strategies, Says IEA

 An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
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Middle East War Reshaping National Energy Strategies, Says IEA

 An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)
An empty fuel station, as India faces rising oil prices following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Halvad, Gujarat, India, May 22, 2026. (Reuters)

The Middle East war is pushing countries to open new supply routes and turn to domestic resources to tide over the world's biggest energy crisis, the International Energy Agency said Thursday.

"We are in the midst of the largest energy security crisis the world has ever faced -- and I believe this will reshape investment strategies globally, with parallels to the major changes the energy world witnessed after the oil shocks of the 1970s," said IEA executive director Fatih Birol

"We are already seeing intensified efforts by both producer and consumer countries to diversify trade routes and energy sources -- such as advancing new pipelines and other supply infrastructure, on the one hand, and turning more to domestically available resources, on the other," he added in the World Energy Investment report by the energy agency of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

The IEA estimates that global energy investment will reach $3.4 trillion in 2026, slightly higher than the previous year, with around $2.2 trillion devoted to power grids, storage, low-emission fuels, nuclear, renewables, energy efficiency and electrification.

Alongside this, around $1.2 trillion is expected to be invested in oil, natural gas and coal.

It nevertheless expects oil investment to decline for the third straight year in 2026, falling below $500 billion despite rising crude prices.

This is due to uncertainty over how long higher prices will last, project lead times, supply constraints and the tightening offshore rigs market, which are limiting short-term investment outside the Middle East.

By contrast, investment in natural gas is "projected to rise to $330 billion, the highest level in a decade, supported by a wave of new LNG export projects, particularly in the United States and Qatar," IEA said.

At the same time, oil-importing countries are turning to energy sources available domestically, notably renewables, nuclear and coal, the report said.

The IEA estimates that investment in renewables should reach around $665 billion in 2026, including $365 billion for solar alone.

Investment in nuclear energy and is set to exceed $80 billion annually while investment in coal should reach $180 billion -- the highest in 10 years, it said.

China alone will account for nearly 70 percent of global coal supply spending, and some Asian countries may seek to extend the operation of their existing coal-fired power plants in order to strengthen their energy security.

The IEA said investment in electricity supply and infrastructure is expected to reach nearly $1.6 trillion in 2026, including around $550 billion for power grids, while investment in battery storage should exceed $100 billion.


ECB Chief Economist Sees Persistent Impact on Inflation from Iran War

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
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ECB Chief Economist Sees Persistent Impact on Inflation from Iran War

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP)

The energy shock caused by the Middle East conflict will likely have a persistent impact on inflation even if there is a quick solution to the war, the European Central Bank's chief economist, Philip Lane, said on Thursday.

While oil prices historically tended to revert to original levels after a burst of increases, the current episode may be different as energy costs may stay elevated with countries restocking inventory or diversifying their energy mix, he said.

"We had ‌an overnight, fairly ‌quick and big decline in global oil ‌supply, ⁠which has been ⁠masked until now by inventories," Lane said at a conference hosted by the BOJ and its think tank in Tokyo.

"Even if the initial energy shock starts to reverse, the second round (effects) will be with us for a while," he said.

With the energy shock pushing up prices, financial markets have fully priced in ⁠two hikes in the ECB's 2% deposit ‌rate and see a roughly 50% ‌chance of a third move over the next year. Economists are more ‌cautious and see just two hikes, followed by a cut ‌in mid-2027, a Reuters poll showed.

Lane said there could be some policy lessons from past energy shocks, such as that rising energy costs could push up inflation abruptly and cause "all sorts of non-linear" mechanisms ‌that broaden price hikes.

"But it's not the same non-linearity we had four years ago," when ⁠supply disruptions ⁠from the Ukraine war and strong demand from the COVID re-opening pushed up inflation, he said.

Central banks must acknowledge any substantial shocks and their potential impact on inflation, but avoid overreacting in setting monetary policy, Lane said.

"You have to be skillful in terms of looking at monetary transmission, consumer confidence and all these different mechanisms," he said.

While some inflationary pressures from a supply shock do calm down over time, it was important for central banks to make sure "there's no persistent belief in the population or among price-setting sectors that inflation is going to be too high for too long," he said.


Dollar Firms to One-Week High as Gulf Tensions Flare, Yen Nears Intervention Zone

US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
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Dollar Firms to One-Week High as Gulf Tensions Flare, Yen Nears Intervention Zone

US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. (Reuters)

The dollar firmed to a one-week high on Thursday after Middle East tensions ratcheted up following fresh US strikes on Iran, while the yen softened toward a level that triggered central bank intervention last month.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they targeted a US airbase after what they described as an early morning US attack near Bandar Abbas airport, Tasnim news agency reported, while Kuwait's army said its air defenses were intercepting hostile ‌missile and ‌drone threats.

That followed news that the US military ‌carried ⁠out new strikes targeting ⁠an Iranian drone operation that it said posed a threat to US forces and commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices rebounded and the safe-haven dollar steadied as hopes of a swift resolution to the war faded, with investors now increasingly expecting the greenback to break higher as the Federal Reserve shifts its focus to battling inflation amid elevated energy prices.

"Geopolitics and ⁠the subsequent inflation risks remain a key concern," Alex ‌Saunders, Citi's head of global quant ‌macro strategy, wrote. "We continue to see a trim in the USD underweight."

The euro was 0.2% ‌lower at $1.1600, while the pound was down nearly 0.3% at $1.3392.

The risk-sensitive ‌Australian dollar weakened 0.4% to $0.7111to a one-week low, and the New Zealand dollar was down 0.3% at $0.58831.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six major peers, strengthened 0.17% to 99.464, near its highest level since ‌May 21.

Markets will now look ahead to today's release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE ⁠deflator, which ⁠will help shape the broader interest rate outlook.

The yen weakened to as far as 159.610 per dollar on Thursday, the lowest since April 30 and within sight of the 160 level that triggered intervention by Japanese authorities last month.

That intervention bought policymakers some breathing room, but questions linger over its lasting impact, said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.

"The broader question is whether it was worth it for what essentially amounts to just a single month's relief. And furthermore, will authorities have the stomach to write a similar-sized cheque if the 160 level is breached again in the coming sessions?" he said.

Markets are pricing a roughly 70% chance of a quarter-point interest rate rise at the BOJ's June 15–16 policy meeting, LSEG data showed.