General Coordinator for Negotiations: GCC-UK Agreement is a Strategic Step in a Turbulent World

Albudaiwi and Bryant embrace after signing the agreement in London amid applause from negotiators (UK Department for Business and Trade)
Albudaiwi and Bryant embrace after signing the agreement in London amid applause from negotiators (UK Department for Business and Trade)
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General Coordinator for Negotiations: GCC-UK Agreement is a Strategic Step in a Turbulent World

Albudaiwi and Bryant embrace after signing the agreement in London amid applause from negotiators (UK Department for Business and Trade)
Albudaiwi and Bryant embrace after signing the agreement in London amid applause from negotiators (UK Department for Business and Trade)

Gulf Cooperation Council countries and the United Kingdom have entered a new era of comprehensive strategic cooperation, following the official announcement in London of the conclusion of free trade agreement negotiations between the two sides.

This represents a structural shift that enhances investment flows and opens wide horizons for business communities in the seven markets, in the first agreement of its kind concluded by the GCC with a G7 nation.

The General Coordinator for Negotiations and Head of the GCC Negotiating Team, Dr. Raja Al Marzouqi, described the agreement as an inevitable strategic step to redirect joint trade and investment flows, especially at a time when the global economy is grappling with high levels of uncertainty and protectionist fluctuations.

Al Marzouqi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the current volume of trade between GCC countries and Britain stands at the equivalent of $80 billion, indicating that the agreement is expected to increase trade exchange by more than 60 percent, based on experiences from similar free trade agreements worldwide.

Mitigating Negative Impacts

He added that the agreement's signing comes at a sensitive time for the global economy, amid rising risks associated with US decisions regarding increased tariffs and the cancellation of some previous trade agreements, which amplifies the need for a stable and clear legal environment governing international economic relations.

Al Marzouqi explained that the agreement contributes to mitigating the negative effects of these changes by reducing risks and providing a clear future vision, given its detailed and mutual legal commitments between the two parties within a comprehensive free trade framework.

He also pointed out its comprehensive nature, which is not limited to traditional goods but extends to establish integrated frameworks for investment, services, and modern financial services sectors.

Gateway for Technology and Knowledge Transfer and Investment Attraction

The GCC official indicated that free trade agreements are among the most prominent tools for attracting foreign investment and technology transfer, noting that the experiences of several countries have shown an increase in foreign investment flows by more than 30 percent after signing similar agreements.

He affirmed that the importance of the GCC-British agreement is enhanced by Britain's position as a major exporter of technology and foreign investments, which provides GCC economies with additional opportunities to expand the base of quality investments and transfer advanced knowledge and technologies.

The General Coordinator for Negotiations emphasized that this step, in conjunction with other trade agreements concluded by GCC countries with major Eastern economies, primarily China, maximizes the benefit from the region's strategic location as a link between East and West, and supports the adoption of balanced economic relations with various international partners.

GCC countries consider the free trade agreement with Britain a strategic step to redirect trade and investment flows (GCC)

A New Phase

For his part, HSBC Group CEO Georges Elhedery affirmed that the GCC countries represent a region of increasing strategic importance, given the long-term growth opportunities they offer.

He noted that the banking group has a historical and deep presence in the six GCC states, in addition to the United Kingdom, which is one of the bank's key markets.

Elhedery told Asharq Al-Awsat that the bank's presence in the region allows it to directly identify the opportunities that will arise from the new agreement, affirming the bank's readiness to contribute to deepening economic ties and supporting companies and institutions in building new partnerships, fostering investment, and achieving further growth.

HSBC Group CEO Georges Elhedery

Signing the Joint Statement

GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, along with Britain’s Minister of State for Trade Chris Bryant, signed a joint statement in London last Wednesday to conclude negotiations on the free trade agreement between the two sides, following years of negotiations.

Albudaiwi described the agreement as a "qualitative leap" in GCC-British relations, affirming that it will contribute to strengthening economic pathways between the two regions for generations to come.

He added that the agreement was not a coincidence but the result of "years of work and shared political will" between the six GCC countries and the UK
London's Commitment

The British Foreign Office had stated earlier that the free trade agreement with GCC countries reflects London's commitment to a long-term partnership with Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and Oman, noting that it is the first free trade agreement concluded by the Council with a G7 nation.

According to British data, the current trade volume between Britain and GCC countries is approximately £52.9 billion ($72 billion), with expectations of a trade increase of about 20 percent, equivalent to £15.5 billion ($21 billion) annually.

The agreement will also contribute to facilitating GCC exports to the British market, supporting services and professional sectors, and simplifying visa procedures and business visits.

Britain's Trade Minister Peter Kyle stated that the agreement represents a significant step in the partnership between the UK and GCC countries, and will open new opportunities for trade, investment, and innovation.

Meanwhile, the UK Trade Commissioner for the Middle East and Pakistan, Sarah Mooney, affirmed that the agreement will reduce tariffs and boost exports for both sides, giving investors greater confidence to make long-term decisions.



Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
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Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Commercial Port achieved a new operational milestone by successfully serving 11 vessels simultaneously of various sizes and cargo capacities, reflecting the port's high level of operational readiness, reported the Saudi Press Agency on Monday.

The achievement underscores the efficiency of the port's operations and its ability to manage maritime and commercial traffic with a high degree of effectiveness.

It contributes to smoother import and export activities and supports the continuity of supply chains in accordance with the highest operational and logistical standards.

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system and reinforcing its position as a key logistics hub on the Red Sea coast.

It also supports economic growth and enhances the competitiveness of the maritime and commercial sectors.


IMF Ready to Help Africa Weather Middle East Shock, Says Zeidane

 Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)
Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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IMF Ready to Help Africa Weather Middle East Shock, Says Zeidane

 Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)
Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund's new Africa chief, Zeine Zeidane, said that conflict in the Middle East has created difficulties for sub-Saharan Africa but reaffirmed the fund's commitment to aiding nations under economic strain.

Zeidane, who assumed his role as Director of the IMF's African Department on May 1, oversees operations and engagement with 45 countries across the region.

"My immediate priority is really to help countries in ‌the region to weather ‌this shock," Zeidane said at ‌a ⁠media briefing.

The IMF ⁠has already reached staff-level agreements to provide augmented financing in response to the conflict's effects for Burkina Faso, The Gambia and São Tomé and Príncipe.

For Ethiopia, which has a large IMF program in place, Zeidane said the fund accelerated about $200 million ⁠in financing.

Zeidane warned that disruptions linked to ‌the Middle East conflict could ‌take months to resolve, noting that a ceasefire was already ‌in place but that Gulf nations had ‌indicated it typically takes six to seven months for production and exports to resume fully.

He added that the Middle East's role as a significant exporter of fertilizers would have ‌far-reaching implications for Africa's food security and production costs.

Despite immediate challenges, Zeidane expressed ⁠optimism over ⁠sub-Saharan Africa's long-term prospects, noting that prior to the current crisis, the region was among the fastest-growing globally and had made strides in fiscal consolidation.

"The future, the next growth engine for the world, will be Africa," he said. "We need to support Africa to unlock its potential."

Zeidane, who began his IMF career in 2012, previously served as Mauritania's prime minister, central bank governor and economic adviser to the president. He succeeded Abebe Aemro Selassie, who retired from the IMF in May.


The High Cost of Hormuz: $37 Billion Shock Exposes Iraq’s Economic Vulnerability

A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026.  (Reuters)
A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026. (Reuters)
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The High Cost of Hormuz: $37 Billion Shock Exposes Iraq’s Economic Vulnerability

A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026.  (Reuters)
A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026. (Reuters)

The recent regional war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Iraq’s economy into one of its most serious crises in decades. The massive financial losses are more than just another consequence of regional conflict; they have exposed Iraq’s near-total dependence on a single maritime export route.

As Baghdad struggles to finance public-sector salaries through domestic borrowing and the use of foreign-exchange reserves, the crisis has renewed scrutiny of years of poor planning, corruption, and political obstruction of strategic projects, such as the Basra-Aqaba oil pipeline, initiatives that could have provided alternative export routes and a safety net for the country’s most important source of income.

Financial and energy analysts estimate Iraq’s losses at more than $37 billion, a severe blow to an economy that relies overwhelmingly on oil revenues.

The disruption has forced authorities to draw on domestic debt and accumulated reserves to cover monthly salary and pension obligations estimated at roughly $6.5 billion.

Slow recovery

Although the conflict appears to be winding down and the Oil Ministry has expressed optimism about resuming production, energy experts caution that Iraqi oil fields may require months to return to their prewar output levels.

Before the crisis, Iraq produced more than 4.2 million barrels per day, including approximately 3.5 million barrels exported to international markets.

Observers said the consequences extend beyond the immediate financial shock caused by the freezing of oil revenues. The conflict revealed a “dangerous strategic vulnerability”: Iraq’s overwhelming reliance on southern Gulf export terminals and the Strait of Hormuz as the sole outlet for its most valuable resource.

The crisis has also revived debate over decades of mismanagement and inadequate planning in one of the country’s most vital economic sectors.

Oil trucks arrive from Iraq, on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, in Qamishli, Syria, May 11, 2026. (Reuters)

A single export gateway

Over previous decades, Iraq possessed several overland export routes, including the Kirkuk–Ceyhan pipeline to Türkiye, the Iraq-Saudi pipeline, and the historic Kirkuk-Haifa and Kirkuk-Baniyas lines. Most have been out of service for years because of wars, political instability, and security challenges.

Successive governments sought to revive export diversification. Among the most significant proposals was the Basra-Aqaba pipeline, championed during the administration of former Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi. The project would transport crude oil from southern Iraq to Jordan’s Red Sea port of Aqaba.

Energy specialists regard it as a strategic asset that could have reduced Iraq’s dependence on Gulf shipping routes. Political disputes and regional pressures, however, prevented its implementation.

Limited alternatives

As the crisis intensified and oil revenues dwindled, Iraq attempted to expand exports through Türkiye, Syria, and Jordan. Energy experts said those efforts achieved only marginal results.

Contrary to reports that Iraq was exporting oil through 700 tanker trucks through Syria, former Oil Ministry spokesman Asim Jihad said exports through Syrian territory amount to no more than 200 tankers per day.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that Iraq is exporting fuel oil rather than crude oil through Syria to avoid bottlenecks at producing fields.

Such shipments, he added, are operationally complex and generate only limited revenue compared with normal export volumes.

On the northern route, Jihad noted that Iraq exports between 150,000 and 200,000 barrels per day through the Kurdistan Region’s pipeline to the port of Ceyhan in Türkiye.

Meanwhile, the older federal pipeline linking Kirkuk to Ceyhan remains out of service because of extensive damage that has yet to be repaired.

A drone view shows the Rumaila oil field in Basra, Iraq, June 8, 2026. (Reuters)

Jihad expressed little optimism that Iraq can establish major alternative export corridors outside the Gulf in the near future, citing time constraints, high costs, and political complications.

He also voiced uncertainty about negotiations with Ankara over future export agreements through Ceyhan, particularly as existing arrangements are set to expire at the end of July.

“The only option left for Iraq is to hope that no new conflict erupts in the Gulf that would once again close the Strait of Hormuz and deprive the country of its primary source of income,” he added.

Cost of the blockade

The Eco Iraq Observatory estimated that Iraq has lost roughly 350 million barrels of oil exports since the Strait of Hormuz was closed on February 28, representing missed sales worth approximately $37.7 billion at average market prices during the period.

According to the organization, Iraq had been exporting between 103 million and 107 million barrels of crude oil per month before the closure. Export losses reached 84.4 million barrels in March, 93.1 million in April, 92.8 million in May, and 79.6 million in June.

Eco Iraq argued that the “New Levant” initiative — a regional economic integration project involving Iraq, Jordan, and Egypt — has become a strategic necessity.

The plan envisions deeper economic cooperation, infrastructure links, and alternative export routes, including the shipment of Iraqi oil through Jordan to Egyptian ports, reducing dependence on geopolitically vulnerable maritime corridors.