OPEC Secretary General: Oil Demand to Remain Robust, No Change to Estimateshttps://english.aawsat.com/business/5280513-opec-secretary-general-oil-demand-remain-robust-no-change-estimates
OPEC Secretary General: Oil Demand to Remain Robust, No Change to Estimates
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
OPEC Secretary General: Oil Demand to Remain Robust, No Change to Estimates
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
OPEC expects robust oil demand growth and is not changing its estimates, Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Thursday at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, despite the Middle East conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
"Despite all the commentary out there that oil demand is declining, we have not registered signs of that yet," Reuters quoted Al Ghais as saying.
"We still see robust demand growth at 1.2 million barrels a day for this year," he said.
He also said that investments in the oil industry should not be affected by "one-off events" that happen anywhere in the world.
"We need to invest well ahead of time to be prepared for the demand that we see in the future," he said.
Saudi Energy Minister Says Kingdom Remains Reliable, Flexible Supplierhttps://english.aawsat.com/business/5280546-saudi-energy-minister-says-kingdom-remains-reliable-flexible-supplier
Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
Saudi Energy Minister Says Kingdom Remains Reliable, Flexible Supplier
Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman seized the spotlight at a high-level dialogue session held during the 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, breaking a strategic silence that had become a focus of questions and a gauge for global market expectations.
Speaking on Thursday, he delivered carefully calibrated messages to the energy sector, stressing that the world urgently needs stability in energy markets and declaring with confidence that the Kingdom is a flexible energy supplier, was, and will remain so under all circumstances.
In his remarks during a special session at the forum, where the Kingdom is taking part as “main guest of honor” as the two countries mark the centenary of diplomatic relations, Prince Abdulaziz acknowledged that current geopolitical events in the Middle East were distracting attention and obstructing focus on Saudi Arabia’s strategic priorities, foremost among them the goals of Vision 2030.
He described the situation as a source of considerable frustration.
Even so, he sent a strong message of reassurance to global markets, saying in a firm tone that it was their duty, and that of every Saudi citizen, to defy this difficult environment and continue to pursue their ambitions.
The Kingdom has the capability and confidence to address challenges and demonstrate its economic and operational resilience, he added.
He pointed to what he described as the success of Saudi Arabia’s infrastructure and logistics system in turning tragedies into opportunities, and in managing the Hajj season with unprecedented success despite the surrounding regional turmoil.
On the partnership with Moscow, the Saudi Energy Minister announced the signing of 30 new cooperation agreements between the private sectors in the two countries across fields including industry, education, tourism, and energy.
Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
Prince Abdulaziz said the Kingdom will sign agreements across various fields and that there are no limits or restrictions on joint cooperation.
He added that the strategic mindset in Riyadh and Moscow had moved beyond being merely “producers of oil or gas” to “manufacturing and supplying energy in its comprehensive sense,” including hydrocarbons and the export of electrons.
In an explanation of his earlier position, which had kept oil traders on edge, Prince Abdulaziz said he had deliberately remained silent during the period that witnessed one of the most severe global energy crises.
A minister is required to maintain his composure and not panic, because panic makes a person lose control of the narrative, he explained.
He moved on to express his intention to maintain silence, because silence amid many unknowns is a message and a humble acknowledgment that reality is changing quickly, and is a form of respect for oneself and for others.
He concluded his assessment of current market conditions with a pointed remark reflecting the scale of uncertainty clouding the global scene.
“The situation we’re going through now does make a point here, which is the world needs every molecule of energy, and every form of stabilization to this energy, because without energy security, you will lose sustainability,” the Saudi minister said.
“There are so many moving parts, there are so many unknowns, there are things that you think have become a reality, but then you wake up in the next morning and the reality is no longer a reality.”
Novak says the market faces a 12 million barrel shortfall
For his part, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak described the current crisis in the international oil market as unprecedented, with no parallel even in the 20th century.
Novak said Russia would deal with the Western sanctions imposed on it with flexibility and complete calm, given its position as a key supplier of energy resources to the international market.
He warned of a large, hidden shortfall in global supply, estimated at about 12 million barrels per day that are currently not reaching the market.
He said global markets had not yet felt the full impact of the energy crisis caused by the Middle East conflict because the situation was being managed through withdrawals from surplus reserve inventories.
Novak cautioned that if the conflict continues and Gulf states delay increasing production, the market will face an acute and immediate physical shortage of supplies within a few months.
In his analysis of the producers’ alliance, Novak stressed that the OPEC+ agreement remains a key driver of energy market direction.
He said its members control more than 50% of global production and more than 40% of total exports, adding that the agreements have proven highly efficient at curbing volatility and reducing market fluctuations.
Novak said current data gave countries an opportunity to accelerate compliance, describing the existing approach as a “standard and normal course” that allows countries that had previously exceeded their quotas for any reason to implement compensation plans for their earlier overproduction more quickly.
On Russia, Novak said technical analytical calculations to determine Russia’s maximum production ceiling are continuing in cooperation with the companies concerned, and would be discussed with partners by the end of 2026.
He expected Moscow to effectively reach its assigned production levels this year under the agreed quotas, despite current output being slightly lower than at the start of the year because several refineries were undergoing “emergency and unscheduled maintenance.”
Expectations of strong demand
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said the organization expects robust oil demand growth and would not change its estimates despite the conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
“Despite all the commentary out there that oil demand is declining, we have not registered signs of that yet,” Al Ghais said.
“We still see robust demand growth at 1.2 million barrels a day for this year,” he said.
He also said investment in the oil sector should not be affected by "one-off events" that may occur anywhere in the world.
Egyptian Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources Karim Badawi told the session that renewable energy is a top priority to reduce dependence on natural gas. He said Egypt is working hard to increase electricity generation from wind and hydropower to secure a sustainable energy mix.
Markets hold their breath before the Sunday marathon
The remarks made at the forum on Thursday carry major significance as a prelude and practical indicator of the direction of leading producers ahead of decisive oil-related meetings next Sunday.
That day will see three consecutive meetings, beginning with OPEC’s administrative conference, followed by the 66th meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, or JMMC, which is responsible for monitoring compliance levels, consensus, and the approval of current compensation plans.
Investors are closely watching the 41st ministerial meeting of the OPEC+ alliance. Informed sources said the alliance is likely to approve an additional gradual increase in its targets for next July.
Egypt Plans to List More State-owned Companies, Replace In-kind Subsidies with Cashhttps://english.aawsat.com/business/5280495-egypt-plans-list-more-state-owned-companies-replace-kind-subsidies-cash
Egypt Plans to List More State-owned Companies, Replace In-kind Subsidies with Cash
Headquarters of the Central Bank of Egypt in downtown Cairo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Egypt aims to list four to five state-owned companies on the Cairo stock exchange before the end of the year as part of its state asset sales strategy, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said on Thursday.
The government also plans to shift from in-kind subsidies to cash subsidies during the coming financial year, as part of efforts to improve the targeting of social support, Madbouly said at a press conference, Reuters reported.
It does not aim to reduce the monetary value of subsidies but rather ensure they reach those entitled to receive them, he added.
More than 60 million people receive subsidised essential commodities through state-run outlets, while at least 10 million others benefit from subsidised bread.
St. Petersburg Forum Brings Together Energy Leaders to Discuss Hormuz Security, Future of Global Marketshttps://english.aawsat.com/business/5280460-st-petersburg-forum-brings-together-energy-leaders-discuss-hormuz-security-future
St. Petersburg Forum Brings Together Energy Leaders to Discuss Hormuz Security, Future of Global Markets
Venue of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (the Forum)
Global energy markets will turn their attention on Friday to the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, where a high-level panel discussion titled “Global Energy Systems: How Is the World’s Energy Sector Responding to Challenges and Risks?” will take place.
The 29th edition of the forum, being held this year under the theme “Shared Values: The Foundation of Growth in a Multipolar World,” opened on Wednesday. Saudi Arabia is participating as the forum’s principal guest of honor as the two countries mark 100 years of diplomatic relations.
Saudi government entities, national institutions and leading companies are taking part in the forum, including the ministries of energy, industry, transport, environment and investment, with the aim of strengthening cooperation and showcasing the goals and achievements of Vision 2030 in economic diversification and attracting high-quality investment.
The St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, established in 1997, is Russia’s leading economic conference and attracts more than 10,000 participants annually.
The energy session carries exceptional significance given its timing, coming after five months of escalating disruptions to supply routes and rising oil prices. It also falls within the main theme of the forum’s 2026 edition, “The Global Economy: Between Confrontation and Cooperation.”
The session will bring together senior decision-makers from across the global energy industry, led by Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Secretary General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Haitham Al Ghais, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, and Chief Executive Officer of the Russian Direct Investment Fund Kirill Dmitriev. Also participating are Egyptian Petroleum Minister Karim Badawi, Serbian Energy Minister Dubravka Djedovic, and Secretary General of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum Philip Mshelbila.
According to the session agenda, discussions will focus on a series of strategic questions arising from the new reality facing global energy markets. Foremost among them is the impact of the current Middle East conflict on global oil and gas markets, and what current and future measures could reduce reliance on transporting energy resources through the Strait of Hormuz amid security tensions that have caused tangible shifts in traditional maritime shipping routes.
The session will also examine the strategy that major oil and gas producers should adopt under these circumstances and how the economic impact of OPEC+ measures should be assessed.
Participants will discuss the strategies that major oil and gas producers should pursue amid a complex environment shaped by six years of overlapping crises, beginning with the COVID-19 pandemic, continuing through Western sanctions imposed on Moscow, and extending to current military conflicts and their direct impact on international trade and the global economy. Discussions will also include an assessment of the economic impact of OPEC+ decisions and consideration of the alliance’s future plans.
The strategic dialogue comes ahead of a crucial oil-policy marathon on Sunday, when a series of meetings will begin with the OPEC’s conference, followed by the 66th meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, which oversees compliance levels, coordination and current compensation plans for countries that previously exceeded their production quotas. The 41st ministerial meeting of OPEC and OPEC+ will also be held.
Sources familiar with the oil sector said OPEC+ is likely to approve an additional gradual increase in its production targets for July, in a move aimed at demonstrating the group’s ability to return to a “normal production path.”
The alliance has already increased production quotas by about 600,000 barrels per day between April and June.
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