Oil at One-Week Low as US and Iran Pause Attack

A drone view shows the Portuguese flagged oil and chemical tanker ship CB Pacific docked at the Moran Shipping Agencies Citgo Petroleum Quincy/Braintree Terminal, which according to the company handles home heating oil, gasoline and diesel, after the CB Pacific arrived from Quebec, Canada to Braintree, Massachusetts, US, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view shows the Portuguese flagged oil and chemical tanker ship CB Pacific docked at the Moran Shipping Agencies Citgo Petroleum Quincy/Braintree Terminal, which according to the company handles home heating oil, gasoline and diesel, after the CB Pacific arrived from Quebec, Canada to Braintree, Massachusetts, US, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
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Oil at One-Week Low as US and Iran Pause Attack

A drone view shows the Portuguese flagged oil and chemical tanker ship CB Pacific docked at the Moran Shipping Agencies Citgo Petroleum Quincy/Braintree Terminal, which according to the company handles home heating oil, gasoline and diesel, after the CB Pacific arrived from Quebec, Canada to Braintree, Massachusetts, US, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view shows the Portuguese flagged oil and chemical tanker ship CB Pacific docked at the Moran Shipping Agencies Citgo Petroleum Quincy/Braintree Terminal, which according to the company handles home heating oil, gasoline and diesel, after the CB Pacific arrived from Quebec, Canada to Braintree, Massachusetts, US, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)

Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, hovering around one-week lows amid hopes for a resolution in the US-Iran war, while subdued flow through the Strait of Hormuz and further supply disruption risks underpinned the market.

Brent crude futures were down 50 cents, or 0.57%, at $87.86 by 0610GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $82.24 a barrel, down 37 cents, or 0.45%. Both contracts slid around 8% in the prior session and hit their lowest since July 20 after the US abruptly suspended ‌a campaign of air ‌strikes against Iran over the weekend.

US President Donald Trump ‌said ⁠on Monday Washington ⁠was having "good talks" with Iran and that there was the chance of a resolution.

However, he said US strikes would resume if negotiations failed while Iran issued similar comments about retaliation.

"For now, the relief that an off-ramp has been found has taken the heat out of prices. However, the situation remains highly fluid," IG analyst Tony Sycamore said in a client note.

Also weighing on oil prices was ‌news the Caspian Pipeline Consortium's Black Sea terminal on the Russian coast had resumed oil loadings, after a one-week stoppage following ⁠Ukrainian drone attacks.

Still, analysts ⁠warned the risks to supply disruptions spreading to the Red Sea remain elevated after Saudi Arabia said it shot down drones aimed at petroleum targets, including in Riyadh. It said Iran-backed armed groups had launched the weapons from Iraq, and it reserved the right to respond.

Barclays analysts said in a note on Monday "flows through the strait remain subdued". They said, in the week ended July 24, crude oil and refined product net exports through the strait averaged 2.9 million barrels a day compared with 5.9 million in the previous week.

Elsewhere, US crude oil stockpiles likely fell last week alongside gasoline, while distillate stocks likely rose, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.



Maersk Raises Emergency Fuel Surcharge Due to Middle East Conflict

FILE PHOTO: A truck transports a Maersk container at APM Terminals at the Port of Los Angeles, California, US, March 4, 2026.   REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A truck transports a Maersk container at APM Terminals at the Port of Los Angeles, California, US, March 4, 2026. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
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Maersk Raises Emergency Fuel Surcharge Due to Middle East Conflict

FILE PHOTO: A truck transports a Maersk container at APM Terminals at the Port of Los Angeles, California, US, March 4, 2026.   REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A truck transports a Maersk container at APM Terminals at the Port of Los Angeles, California, US, March 4, 2026. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo

Danish shipping group Maersk said on Thursday it was increasing its emergency fuel surcharge (EFS) on all export collections and import deliveries due to ⁠the ongoing conflict ⁠in the Middle East.

Oil prices rose on Thursday on worries about supply from ⁠the Middle East region amid an increase in attacks on shipping in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, while the US cut output as a hurricane menaced offshore production.

Maersk ⁠said ⁠in a statement it was increasing its EFS to 20% as of October 12, and that it would continue to review the surcharge regularly.


IMF Reaches Staff Deal with Pakistan, Potentially Unlocking $1.2 Bn

FILE - The logo of the International Monetary Fund is visible on its building, April 5, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)
FILE - The logo of the International Monetary Fund is visible on its building, April 5, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)
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IMF Reaches Staff Deal with Pakistan, Potentially Unlocking $1.2 Bn

FILE - The logo of the International Monetary Fund is visible on its building, April 5, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)
FILE - The logo of the International Monetary Fund is visible on its building, April 5, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)

The International Monetary Fund has reached a staff-level agreement with Pakistan on reviews of some of its lending programs, potentially unlocking about $1.21 billion in financing pending board approval, the fund said on Wednesday.

If the board approves the deal, Pakistan could access about $1 billion under the ⁠Extended Fund Facility ⁠and $210 million under the climate-focused Resilience and Sustainability Facility, bringing total disbursements under the two programs to around $5.7 billion.

Pakistan remains reliant on external financing to bolster foreign ⁠exchange reserves and meet debt repayments.

"Supported by the EFF, the authorities have successfully navigated the impact of the Middle East conflict, and strong policies have helped preserve macroeconomic stability," Reuters quoted the fund as saying.

Risks remain elevated, however, due to geopolitical tensions, volatile energy prices, tighter global financial conditions ⁠and ⁠trade disruptions, the IMF said.

Pakistan is the most vulnerable major Asia-Pacific economy to a prolonged Middle East conflict, given its dependence on Gulf energy imports, remittances and financing support from the region, Ahmad Mobeen, principal economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said earlier this year.


Gold Pauses Decline after Two-month Low as Traders Weigh US Fed Move

A 1000-gram gold bar at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)
A 1000-gram gold bar at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)
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Gold Pauses Decline after Two-month Low as Traders Weigh US Fed Move

A 1000-gram gold bar at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)
A 1000-gram gold bar at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)

Gold prices steadied on Thursday after sliding to a two-month low in the previous session, as investors assessed the likelihood of another US Federal Reserve interest rate hike before year-end.

Spot gold was little changed at $4,116.67 per ounce by 0625 GMT. On Wednesday, bullion prices touched their lowest level since August 5 as a ‌firmer dollar and ‌higher US Treasury yields weighed on the ‌market.

US ⁠gold futures were ⁠flat at $4,140.70.

"The short-term investment case for gold remains challenged... We would need to see a break above $4,275 to become more constructive on the near-term upside," said Chris Weston, head of research, Pepperstone.

"If markets begin treating rising long-end yields as a reflection of sovereign credit and fiscal risk rather than stronger economic fundamentals, gold ⁠could start to diverge positively from bond yields ‌and the debasement trade could return ‌with greater force."

Fed policymakers were divided last month over the rationale for ‌raising interest rates, with "some participants" seeing a hike as needed ‌to keep the impact of energy and other price shocks at bay, but a more hawkish core viewing it as necessary to guard against emerging demand-driven inflation, minutes showed.

Traders see only a 19% chance ‌of a rate hike later this month, but are pricing in an 86% likelihood of ⁠an increase ⁠in December, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Higher rates diminish the appeal of non-yielding gold.

The global economy is under threat from persistently high energy prices, record public debt and risks from the AI investment boom, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warned, urging governments to implement protective fiscal and monetary policy measures.

Among other metals, spot silver fell 1.9% at $59.01, platinum added 1.6% to $1,657.18 and palladium climbed 1.1% to $1,136.80.

"We see silver on a downward trajectory given the deteriorating chart patterns and expect a test of the 2026 lows in the mid to high $50s," Marex analyst Edward Meir said in a note.