Gold Gains on Softer Oil; US Inflation Data in Focus

A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/
A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/
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Gold Gains on Softer Oil; US Inflation Data in Focus

A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/
A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/

Gold prices rose on Friday, but were headed for a weekly loss, as oil slipped from multi-month highs and assuaged some inflationary concerns, as investors awaited key US economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $4,339.46 per ounce by 1105 GMT. It was down nearly 3% for the week so far.

Prices fell on Thursday after the US Producer Price Index data showed prices increased in line with expectations in August amid a rebound in the cost of energy products.

US gold futures dropped 0.6% to $4,381.30.

The precious metal is benefiting from "softer oil prices on hopes a Monday meeting between GCC ministers and Iran can yield some results regarding the passage of oil through the Strait," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. "In addition, buyers once again emerged ahead of a key support area around $4,300," said Hansen.

Oil prices were set to end the week above $100 a barrel.

Higher oil prices stoke inflation fears and bolster expectations of the Fed raising interest rates. While gold is typically seen as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates diminish the appeal of non-yielding bullion.

Traders are now pricing in a 67% chance of a rate hike at the central bank's policy meeting next week, up from 62% before the data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The US consumer price inflation report is due at 1230 GMT.

Elsewhere, gold demand in India was subdued this week as volatile prices discouraged buyers, while investment demand remained strong in top consumer China.

Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.4% to $63.80 per ounce, but was down 3% for the week.

Platinum climbed 0.9% to $1,792.07 and palladium gained 2.4% to $1,312.90. However, both metals were on track for a weekly loss.



Gold Heads for Steep Weekly Loss as Oil Prices Fuel Fed Rate Concerns

British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)
British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)
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Gold Heads for Steep Weekly Loss as Oil Prices Fuel Fed Rate Concerns

British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)
British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)

Gold eased on Friday, headed for its steepest weekly decline in over four months as elevated oil prices bolstered higher-for-longer interest rate expectations, while investors awaited next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.

Spot gold eased 0.1% to $4,021.04 per ounce by 0554 GMT, paring losses slightly after touching its lowest level since July 20 earlier in the session. The metal has fallen ‌3.6% so far ‌this week, putting it on track for ‌its ⁠worst week since June.

US ⁠gold futures for December delivery dropped 0.6% to $4,035.50.

Speculators are trying to defend the key $4,000 level for gold because a clean break below would signal that the market has stopped pricing rate relief and started pricing sticky inflation, elevated yields, and a stronger dollar, said Monte Safieddine, head of market research at Capital.com.

Oil ⁠prices rose on Friday after Houthi attacks in ‌Saudi Arabia stoked concerns of further ‌disruption to energy supplies from the Middle East.

Elevated energy prices bolster expectations ‌of higher-for-longer interest rates by the Fed, increasing the opportunity cost ‌of holding non-yielding bullion.

"Any further escalation on the geopolitical front risks pushing oil even higher. Higher oil is reviving inflation fears, lifting yields, and delaying Fed easing. That is a difficult cocktail for bullion," ‌Safieddine added.

Focus has turned to the Fed's October 27-28 policy meeting and next week's Personal ⁠Consumption Expenditures ⁠data, a closely watched gauge because it is the central bank's preferred inflation measure for its 2% inflation target.

Traders are largely expecting the central bank to leave interest rates unchanged next week, but expectations for an interest rate hike in December remain at 76%.

Meanwhile, analysts at HSBC cut their average 2026 platinum and palladium price forecasts in a research note on Thursday, citing shifting market fundamentals and investor liquidation.

Among other metals, spot silver slid 0.4% to $54.31 per ounce, platinum rose 0.3% to $1,574.33 and palladium gained 0.3% to $1,056.49.

However, all three metals were headed for weekly declines.


UK Govt Promises to Save Businesses £800 Million in Paperwork and Tariffs

 Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)
Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)
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UK Govt Promises to Save Businesses £800 Million in Paperwork and Tariffs

 Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)
Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)

British ‌Prime Minister Andy Burnham said on Friday his government would help businesses save almost £800 million ($1 billion) a year by cutting back on paperwork and extending the suspension of some trade tariffs.

Speaking ahead of his government's first annual budget statement ‌next week, Burnham ‌said the measures ‌would ⁠give businesses "breathing space to ⁠grow".

The changes would make compliance guidance simpler and easier for small firms, saving £290 million, and extend £155 million of import tariff suspensions on 250 products ⁠used by businesses, Britain's finance ‌ministry ‌said.

Another measure would reduce duplicative reporting ‌burdens for asset management firms, ‌saving £105 million, and remove £116 million in costs for businesses involved in residential property transactions, the government said in ‌a statement.

British finance minister John Healey is due ⁠to ⁠announce his first budget on Wednesday next week and he has promised to reduce the cost of business as well as help households with the high cost of living – though his ambitions will be limited by the fragile state of the public finances.


Oil Prices Rise as Supply Concerns Linger amid Middle East Attacks

Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
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Oil Prices Rise as Supply Concerns Linger amid Middle East Attacks

Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)

Oil prices rose on Friday after Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia stoked concerns of further disruption to energy supplies from the Middle East.

Brent crude futures climbed 58 cents, or 0.5%, to $113.75 a barrel as of 0439 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 66 cents, or 0.7%, to $100.13.

On a weekly basis, Brent, which settled at its highest since May 4 on Thursday, is set to close higher for a third ‌successive week, while WTI ‌is on track to finish lower, ‌following ⁠two weeks of gains.

"Markets are increasingly worried about renewed escalation in the Gulf, a scenario that could threaten oil ⁠flows that have so far remained remarkably ‌resilient," ING analysts said in a ‌note on Friday.

"Re-escalation seems the most likely path. Even ‌if tensions don't re-escalate, the mere possibility is likely ‌to keep a sizeable geopolitical risk premium embedded in prices."

"The key factors ⁠to monitor ⁠now are the extent of actual disruption and the time needed to restore operations, as these will ultimately determine how much of a supply risk premium the market is willing to pay," said Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com.

"If attacks persist and delay deliveries, elevated prices will have a firmer foundation."

In Libya, an oil pipeline valve from the Hamada and Tahara oilfields to Zawiya port has been shut, leading to a reduction in production at both fields, the head of the National Oil Corporation told Reuters on Thursday.