Oil Falls but on Track for 8% Weekly Gain on Supply Concerns; US Diesel Hits Record High

WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
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Oil Falls but on Track for 8% Weekly Gain on Supply Concerns; US Diesel Hits Record High

WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

Oil prices fell on Friday but remained on course for a weekly gain of more than 8% while US diesel prices hit a record high as attacks along Middle East shipping routes stoked concerns about prolonged supply disruptions.

Brent crude futures were down $3.45, or 3.21%, to $104.18 a barrel at 1132 GMT.

US West Texas Intermediate crude fell $2.96, or 2.89%, to $99.52 a barrel. Both benchmarks hit their highest levels since mid-May earlier in the session.

The benchmarks reversed early gains after the Financial Times reported that foreign ministers in the Middle East are trying to work out a temporary deal with Iran to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent and WTI rose more than 6% on Thursday after an escalation in shipping attacks in the region.

"Some headlines of possible new talks in the Middle East are weighing moderately on oil prices today," said UBS energy analyst Giovanni Staunovo. "I keep seeing near-term risks to the upside for oil prices, but we should expect ongoing high price volatility too."

In a further potentially significant development for Riyadh, satellite imagery showed smoke on Thursday in the vicinity of Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline, which has become a vital means for the kingdom to divert its crude exports away from Hormuz.

Saudi Arabia's crude supply fell by 2.3 million barrels per day on the month to 6 million bpd in August, the lowest level in more than three decades, the International Energy Agency said on Friday, citing attacks on Saudi energy facilities.

Adding to concerns over regional oil flows, Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis on Friday reached the island of Perim in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, four Yemeni government sources told Reuters, potentially tightening their grip on one of the world's vital shipping routes.

Iran said it had attacked 10 ships near the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, after the US hit five Iranian oil tankers. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it would escalate its response to any further attacks.

Vessel transits at the Strait of Hormuz fell to seven on Thursday from 11 the previous day, preliminary ship-tracking data showed on Friday.

The strait handled about 125 commodity vessels and one-fifth of global daily oil and liquefied natural gas supplies before the Iran war began in late February.

Meanwhile, two European Central Bank policymakers opened the door on Friday to further interest rate increases if a war-fuelled rise in energy prices continues and pushes up other prices in the euro zone.

SUPPLY DISRUPTIONS LIFT FUEL PRICES

Oil supply disruptions due to the Iran war, along with Ukrainian attacks on Russia's refineries, pushed the US national average diesel price past $6 a gallon for the first time on Thursday, according to price tracker GasBuddy.

"Refined products, particularly diesel, are feeling a one-two punch right now," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

"As long as both the Gulf shipping constraints and Russian refining outages remain in play, diesel and other refined products are likely to show a higher upside tendency than the broader crude market," he added.

Commerzbank raised its year-end Brent crude forecast to $85 a barrel from $75, while increasing its diesel forecast to $1,200 a ton from $950 and its jet fuel forecast to $1,230 a ton from $980.



Gold Heads for Steep Weekly Loss as Oil Prices Fuel Fed Rate Concerns

British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)
British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)
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Gold Heads for Steep Weekly Loss as Oil Prices Fuel Fed Rate Concerns

British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)
British gold bars and Sovereign gold coins are displayed at Baird & Co. in Hatton Garden, London (Reuters)

Gold eased on Friday, headed for its steepest weekly decline in over four months as elevated oil prices bolstered higher-for-longer interest rate expectations, while investors awaited next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.

Spot gold eased 0.1% to $4,021.04 per ounce by 0554 GMT, paring losses slightly after touching its lowest level since July 20 earlier in the session. The metal has fallen ‌3.6% so far ‌this week, putting it on track for ‌its ⁠worst week since June.

US ⁠gold futures for December delivery dropped 0.6% to $4,035.50.

Speculators are trying to defend the key $4,000 level for gold because a clean break below would signal that the market has stopped pricing rate relief and started pricing sticky inflation, elevated yields, and a stronger dollar, said Monte Safieddine, head of market research at Capital.com.

Oil ⁠prices rose on Friday after Houthi attacks in ‌Saudi Arabia stoked concerns of further ‌disruption to energy supplies from the Middle East.

Elevated energy prices bolster expectations ‌of higher-for-longer interest rates by the Fed, increasing the opportunity cost ‌of holding non-yielding bullion.

"Any further escalation on the geopolitical front risks pushing oil even higher. Higher oil is reviving inflation fears, lifting yields, and delaying Fed easing. That is a difficult cocktail for bullion," ‌Safieddine added.

Focus has turned to the Fed's October 27-28 policy meeting and next week's Personal ⁠Consumption Expenditures ⁠data, a closely watched gauge because it is the central bank's preferred inflation measure for its 2% inflation target.

Traders are largely expecting the central bank to leave interest rates unchanged next week, but expectations for an interest rate hike in December remain at 76%.

Meanwhile, analysts at HSBC cut their average 2026 platinum and palladium price forecasts in a research note on Thursday, citing shifting market fundamentals and investor liquidation.

Among other metals, spot silver slid 0.4% to $54.31 per ounce, platinum rose 0.3% to $1,574.33 and palladium gained 0.3% to $1,056.49.

However, all three metals were headed for weekly declines.


UK Govt Promises to Save Businesses £800 Million in Paperwork and Tariffs

 Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)
Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)
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UK Govt Promises to Save Businesses £800 Million in Paperwork and Tariffs

 Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)
Britain's Prime Minister Andy Burnham meets pharmacy staff before receiving an annual seasonal flu vaccination at Kapoor Pharmacy Services in Chorlton-cum-Hardy in Manchester on October 22, 2026. (AFP)

British ‌Prime Minister Andy Burnham said on Friday his government would help businesses save almost £800 million ($1 billion) a year by cutting back on paperwork and extending the suspension of some trade tariffs.

Speaking ahead of his government's first annual budget statement ‌next week, Burnham ‌said the measures ‌would ⁠give businesses "breathing space to ⁠grow".

The changes would make compliance guidance simpler and easier for small firms, saving £290 million, and extend £155 million of import tariff suspensions on 250 products ⁠used by businesses, Britain's finance ‌ministry ‌said.

Another measure would reduce duplicative reporting ‌burdens for asset management firms, ‌saving £105 million, and remove £116 million in costs for businesses involved in residential property transactions, the government said in ‌a statement.

British finance minister John Healey is due ⁠to ⁠announce his first budget on Wednesday next week and he has promised to reduce the cost of business as well as help households with the high cost of living – though his ambitions will be limited by the fragile state of the public finances.


Oil Prices Rise as Supply Concerns Linger amid Middle East Attacks

Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
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Oil Prices Rise as Supply Concerns Linger amid Middle East Attacks

Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)
Oil pumps operate after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France, March 18, 2026. (Reuters)

Oil prices rose on Friday after Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia stoked concerns of further disruption to energy supplies from the Middle East.

Brent crude futures climbed 58 cents, or 0.5%, to $113.75 a barrel as of 0439 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 66 cents, or 0.7%, to $100.13.

On a weekly basis, Brent, which settled at its highest since May 4 on Thursday, is set to close higher for a third ‌successive week, while WTI ‌is on track to finish lower, ‌following ⁠two weeks of gains.

"Markets are increasingly worried about renewed escalation in the Gulf, a scenario that could threaten oil ⁠flows that have so far remained remarkably ‌resilient," ING analysts said in a ‌note on Friday.

"Re-escalation seems the most likely path. Even ‌if tensions don't re-escalate, the mere possibility is likely ‌to keep a sizeable geopolitical risk premium embedded in prices."

"The key factors ⁠to monitor ⁠now are the extent of actual disruption and the time needed to restore operations, as these will ultimately determine how much of a supply risk premium the market is willing to pay," said Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com.

"If attacks persist and delay deliveries, elevated prices will have a firmer foundation."

In Libya, an oil pipeline valve from the Hamada and Tahara oilfields to Zawiya port has been shut, leading to a reduction in production at both fields, the head of the National Oil Corporation told Reuters on Thursday.