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Taiwan Says Will Invest Up to US$4.4 bn in Alaska Gas Project

A snipers team provides security as US President Donald Trump boards Air Force One at Elmendorf Air Force Base in Anchorage, Alaska, on October 13, 2026. (Photo by Kent NISHIMURA / AFP)
A snipers team provides security as US President Donald Trump boards Air Force One at Elmendorf Air Force Base in Anchorage, Alaska, on October 13, 2026. (Photo by Kent NISHIMURA / AFP)
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Taiwan Says Will Invest Up to US$4.4 bn in Alaska Gas Project

A snipers team provides security as US President Donald Trump boards Air Force One at Elmendorf Air Force Base in Anchorage, Alaska, on October 13, 2026. (Photo by Kent NISHIMURA / AFP)
A snipers team provides security as US President Donald Trump boards Air Force One at Elmendorf Air Force Base in Anchorage, Alaska, on October 13, 2026. (Photo by Kent NISHIMURA / AFP)

Taiwan said Wednesday it will inject up to US$4.4 billion in the Alaska LNG project, after US President Donald Trump announced the island's investment in the to-be-built natural gas pipeline.

Taiwan imports nearly all of its energy supply and has sought to shore up Washington's support as China presses its claims of sovereignty over the island democracy.

"According to current plans, the cooperation will include the annual procurement of six million metric tons of Alaska LNG following production," the Ministry of Economic Affairs said in a statement.

It will also involve "participation in project development, with an estimated investment of up to US$4.4 billion," AFP quoted the ministry as saying.

"If the project progresses smoothly according to the planned timeline, it is expected to begin further supplementing domestic natural gas supplies as early as 2032," it added.

The statement came hours after Trump told a rally in Wasilla, Alaska, that Taiwan had agreed to buy 30 percent of the output from the pipeline over the next 20 year and also invest US$4.4 billion into the project.

Taiwan sources its LNG from multiple countries but the mix has changed dramatically this year after the start of the Middle East war when Iran claimed control of the Strait of Hormuz.

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IMF: Saudi Attacks Could Have Negative Spillover 'Everywhere'

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva gestures during the Managing Director briefing on the Global Policy Agenda during the 2026 IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 14, 2026. (Photo by ANTHONY WALLACE / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva gestures during the Managing Director briefing on the Global Policy Agenda during the 2026 IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 14, 2026. (Photo by ANTHONY WALLACE / AFP)
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IMF: Saudi Attacks Could Have Negative Spillover 'Everywhere'

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva gestures during the Managing Director briefing on the Global Policy Agenda during the 2026 IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 14, 2026. (Photo by ANTHONY WALLACE / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva gestures during the Managing Director briefing on the Global Policy Agenda during the 2026 IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 14, 2026. (Photo by ANTHONY WALLACE / AFP)

International Monetary Fund head Kristalina Georgieva said Wednesday that recent attacks on Saudi Arabia could impact people "everywhere” as "the Saudi economy is important for the region and the world."

Given the Saudi economy’s importance, “these developments have potentially negative spillovers for everybody, everywhere," IMF managing director Georgieva said at a news conference during the Annual Meetings of the Fund and World Bank in Bangkok.

The warning comes at a time when energy flows and shipping activity in the region are under pressure, with supply disruptions potentially affecting energy and trade costs as well as economic activity, particularly in economies dependent on oil and gas imports.

The IMF’s forecasts, released on Tuesday, highlight the scale of the expected impact of the disruptions on the region’s economies. The IMF expects the economies of the Middle East and Central Asia to contract by 0.3 percent in 2026, followed by growth of 6.3 percent in 2027, a trajectory that reflects the pressures of the current crisis as well as the anticipated recovery as the disruptions ease and energy and trade flows are restored.

The expected repercussions vary across regional economies depending on their exposure to shipping disruptions and their ability to maintain exports. In its outlook for Saudi Arabia, the IMF raised its 2027 growth forecast to 7.9 percent, from 2.4 percent in July and 3.4 percent in April.

Meanwhile, it lowered its estimate for the economy’s contraction in 2026 to 3.3 percent, compared with 5 percent in its July update and 6.4 percent in April.

This trajectory reflects expectations that production and exports will regain momentum as shipping disruptions subside, although the speed and scale of the recovery will remain tied to developments in the security situation and the normalization of energy and trade flows.

The Saudi Ministry of Finance has projected stronger growth of 12.8 percent in 2027, according to the pre-budget statement.

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Saudi Arabia Drives September Surge in OPEC+ Output Despite Iran War Disruptions

An oil tanker at Ras Al-Khair port, north of Dammam, in 2019. REUTERS
An oil tanker at Ras Al-Khair port, north of Dammam, in 2019. REUTERS
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Saudi Arabia Drives September Surge in OPEC+ Output Despite Iran War Disruptions

An oil tanker at Ras Al-Khair port, north of Dammam, in 2019. REUTERS
An oil tanker at Ras Al-Khair port, north of Dammam, in 2019. REUTERS

OPEC+ crude output surged in September as Saudi Arabia ramped up production, despite continued disruption to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz caused by the Iran war, OPEC said in its monthly report on Tuesday.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries raised its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2027 to 2.55 million barrels per day (bpd) from 2.36 million bpd, citing the need to replenish inventories depleted by war-related supply disruptions.

But it cut its demand growth forecast for this year for a sixth straight month, to 180,000 bpd from about 380,000 bpd in its August estimates.

OPEC+, which groups OPEC members and allies including Russia, pumped an average of 39.068 million bpd in September, up 903,000 bpd from 38.165 million bpd in August, the report showed.

Output has risen by about 1.36 million bpd since July, when it stood at 37.710 million bpd, according to the secondary sources OPEC uses to track production.

OPEC members drove the increase, raising output by about 920,000 bpd to 25.097 million bpd from 24.177 million bpd a month earlier. Production by participating non-OPEC countries fell by about 18,000 bpd.

Saudi Arabia leads surge

Saudi Arabia posted the alliance's largest production increase. Output climbed to 8.372 million bpd in September from 6.238 million bpd in August, a gain of more than 2 million bpd, according to figures the kingdom submitted to OPEC.

The increase comes as Saudi Arabia seeks to restore oil flows and strengthen the resilience of its exports against war-related disruptions. Aramco increased oil loadings at Gulf export terminals in September after an attack on the East-West pipeline disrupted shipments through the Red Sea.

Inventory rebuilding to support demand

OPEC expects global oil demand to rise by 2.55 million bpd in 2027 to average 108.3 million bpd, compared with 108.19 million bpd in last month's forecast.

The forecast assumes demand growth in 2026 will slow as currently expected, with the need to replenish depleted inventories supporting growth next year, OPEC said.

For 2026, the group expects demand growth of just 180,000 bpd. It also cut its fourth-quarter demand estimate to 107.73 million bpd from 107.85 million bpd in last month's report.

Demand in countries belonging to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development is forecast to shrink by about 210,000 bpd this year, while demand in non-OECD economies is expected to grow by 390,000 bpd.

Oil supply from outside OPEC+ is forecast to grow by 640,000 bpd in 2026 and 620,000 bpd in 2027.

Russian output declines

Russian oil output fell by 38,000 bpd in September to 8.643 million bpd, the report showed, amid continued Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, including refineries.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said the country would trim oil production this year. Russia's Economy Ministry lowered its 2026 output forecast to a 17-year low amid the war with Ukraine.

Kazakhstan's production rose by 22,000 bpd in September to 1.851 million bpd, according to the OPEC report.

Business

From Hydrogen to AI, Energy Leaders Map the Sector’s Global Future

A panel discussion examines challenges and opportunities at the World Petroleum Congress in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A panel discussion examines challenges and opportunities at the World Petroleum Congress in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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From Hydrogen to AI, Energy Leaders Map the Sector’s Global Future

A panel discussion examines challenges and opportunities at the World Petroleum Congress in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A panel discussion examines challenges and opportunities at the World Petroleum Congress in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Green hydrogen, artificial intelligence and strategic partnerships took center stage at the World Petroleum Congress in Riyadh, as sessions mapped the energy sector’s future amid rapid technological and industrial change.

Progress on clean energy projects, led by the NEOM Green Hydrogen Project, now 96% complete, intersected with the challenge of cutting emissions from transport, which accounts for about 30% of global energy demand.

The discussions highlighted a widening agenda: developing energy sources and reshaping how energy is produced and used to improve efficiency and sustain supplies.

Saudi Aramco said it plans to increase gas sales by 80% by 2030 compared with 2020 and 2021 levels, and to build and start operating six to seven gas and liquefied gas facilities between 2025 and 2027.

Decarbonization

Transport and logistics account for about 30% of global energy demand, Saudi Vice Minister of Transport and Logistics Services Rumaih Al-Rumaih told a conference session.

Decarbonization is a long journey that requires a broader energy mix, he said, stressing the need for available, reliable, affordable and safe supplies.

The Saudi Green Initiative provides a framework for reaching net-zero emissions by 2060, with transport playing a major role, Al-Rumaih said.

Saudi Arabia is expanding public transport and cutting urban emissions to meet its commitments, he added. The Riyadh Metro network spans 187 kilometers and has 85 stations.

Green hydrogen

National Development Fund Governor Abdulaziz Al-Arifi said the fund had provided financing and strategic support for the NEOM Green Hydrogen Project alongside local banks and other entities and organizations.

That support helped advance one of the clean energy sector’s leading projects, strengthening investment opportunities and local content, he told the conference.

ACWA Power Chairman Mohammad Abunayyan said local resources, knowledge and expertise accounted for about 90% of those used in new projects. He reaffirmed the company’s commitment to expanding investment and overcoming challenges on the ground in major global markets such as China.

At the same session, Saudi Aramco Executive Vice President of Gas Abdulkarim Al-Ghamdi discussed operational readiness and supply chains.

Resource localization under the company’s iktva program had reached levels ranging from more than 75% to 90%, he said, offering strong protection against external disruptions.

Saudi personnel and technological integration are the two pillars of sustained gas-sector growth and future resilience, he said.

Artificial intelligence

A panel at the 25th World Petroleum Congress explored how energy powers artificial intelligence, how the two sectors interact and how AI can sharpen decisions, improve operations and raise energy efficiency.

Speakers said development of the energy and electricity sectors under Vision 2030 aims to meet demand and attract investment, including in AI data centers that need reliable, competitively priced electricity.

The approach involves anticipating sectors’ needs and connecting them with investors. Speakers stressed the need to integrate infrastructure, data, technology and human expertise, drawing on Saudi Arabia’s strengths to develop solutions and bring them to global markets.

Smart meters

AI can improve forecasts of electricity loads and demand and detect grid faults early, helping planners respond faster, speakers said.

Smart meter data can track consumption, forecast bills, show electricity use by appliance and flag unusual usage.

In oil and gas exploration and resource development, particularly drilling, AI can analyze data in real time and combine engineering models with geological information.

This can speed up decisions, improve accuracy, shorten the gap between planning and execution, enhance safety and support risk assessments and investment decisions.

To expand these applications, companies must deliver tangible business value and integrate the tools into operations, speakers said.

They must also ensure data quality and timely collection, train personnel to assess outputs and keep people involved in final decisions, while using digital tools to reduce risks.