Toyota, Maruti Launch Marketing Drive for Hybrids in Key Indian State

Toyota's logo is seen in their exhibition stall at Bharat Mobility Global Expo organised by India's commerce ministry at Pragati Maidan in New Delhi, India, February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
Toyota's logo is seen in their exhibition stall at Bharat Mobility Global Expo organised by India's commerce ministry at Pragati Maidan in New Delhi, India, February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
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Toyota, Maruti Launch Marketing Drive for Hybrids in Key Indian State

Toyota's logo is seen in their exhibition stall at Bharat Mobility Global Expo organised by India's commerce ministry at Pragati Maidan in New Delhi, India, February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
Toyota's logo is seen in their exhibition stall at Bharat Mobility Global Expo organised by India's commerce ministry at Pragati Maidan in New Delhi, India, February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

From Instagram ads to telesales, Japanese automakers Toyota and Maruti Suzuki are going all out to market their hybrid cars in the most populous Indian state of Uttar Pradesh, aiming to cash in on tax waivers that upset many of their rivals.

The waivers have split India's auto industry, with Tata Motors, Mahindra and Mahindra and Hyundai arguing their sales of pure electric cars will suffer. Their lobbying to reverse the July decision failed last month and they now fear other states might follow suit, Reuters reported

At the Sunny Toyota showroom in Uttar Pradesh's capital of Lucknow, salespeople have been tasked to call customers who visited in the last six months to tell them about the benefits of hybrid tax waivers that will help them save $15,800 on the luxury Toyota Vellfire model and $5,200 on its Camry sedan.

"Save big .... Order now and get your hybrid vehicle delivered right at your doorstep," said an Instagram ad by the dealer.

The campaign comes after a rare lobbying win by Toyota to get the state - which accounts for a tenth of India's car sales - to allow tax waivers on sale of hybrid cars, leading to roughly 10% in savings.

India imposes a federal tax of 5% on EVs while hybrids are taxed at 43%, just below the 48% for gasoline cars, but state taxes are extra and determined by local governments.

Toyota has globally focused more on hybrids - which combine gasoline engines and batteries - than EVs. That strategy could pay off as worries about charging infrastructure and high prices curb demand for EVs globally, while sales of hybrids pick up.

In Uttar Pradesh, six salespeople for Toyota and Maruti Suzuki - which also supports the waivers - said hybrid enquires were rising and they had been asked by the companies to increase sales.

"We have been asked to sell a minimum of 250 cars in a month. There is a lot of pressure. We are trying to shift all sales to hybrids," a Maruti salesperson said.

Toyota did not respond to a request for comment.

Rahul Bharti, executive director for corporate affairs at Maruti, said its showroom enquiries had "nearly doubled since the benefits have been effected" for hybrids.

Online and WhatsApp ads reviewed by Reuters show dealerships are using taglines including: "Enjoy the nil road tax offer" and "Say Good Bye to Diesel".

At the Sunny Toyota dealership which Reuters visited, salespeople were discussing approaching all customers who were keen to buy gasoline or diesel variants and might now be tempted to buy more expensive hybrid cars given the tax waiver.

Some dealers are advising customers to move quickly.

"No one knows how long the scheme would run," said Praveen Saxena, a sales manager at a Toyota showroom in Kanpur city in the state, adding his hybrid car sales rose 50% after the tax waivers.

K.S. Dhatwalia, a former Indian government official, chose to buy a new Toyota hybrid Hyryder, partly because of tax benefits.

"Hybrids are less polluting and there was an additional tax saving too," he said.



Firms and Researchers at Odds over Superhuman AI

Three-quarters of respondents to a survey by the US-based Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence agreed that 'scaling up' LLMs was unlikely to produce artificial general intelligence. Joe Klamar / AFP/File
Three-quarters of respondents to a survey by the US-based Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence agreed that 'scaling up' LLMs was unlikely to produce artificial general intelligence. Joe Klamar / AFP/File
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Firms and Researchers at Odds over Superhuman AI

Three-quarters of respondents to a survey by the US-based Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence agreed that 'scaling up' LLMs was unlikely to produce artificial general intelligence. Joe Klamar / AFP/File
Three-quarters of respondents to a survey by the US-based Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence agreed that 'scaling up' LLMs was unlikely to produce artificial general intelligence. Joe Klamar / AFP/File

Hype is growing from leaders of major AI companies that "strong" computer intelligence will imminently outstrip humans, but many researchers in the field see the claims as marketing spin.

The belief that human-or-better intelligence -- often called "artificial general intelligence" (AGI) -- will emerge from current machine-learning techniques fuels hypotheses for the future ranging from machine-delivered hyperabundance to human extinction, AFP said.

"Systems that start to point to AGI are coming into view," OpenAI chief Sam Altman wrote in a blog post last month. Anthropic's Dario Amodei has said the milestone "could come as early as 2026".

Such predictions help justify the hundreds of billions of dollars being poured into computing hardware and the energy supplies to run it.

Others, though are more skeptical.

Meta's chief AI scientist Yann LeCun told AFP last month that "we are not going to get to human-level AI by just scaling up LLMs" -- the large language models behind current systems like ChatGPT or Claude.

LeCun's view appears backed by a majority of academics in the field.

Over three-quarters of respondents to a recent survey by the US-based Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI) agreed that "scaling up current approaches" was unlikely to produce AGI.

'Genie out of the bottle'

Some academics believe that many of the companies' claims, which bosses have at times flanked with warnings about AGI's dangers for mankind, are a strategy to capture attention.

Businesses have "made these big investments, and they have to pay off," said Kristian Kersting, a leading researcher at the Technical University of Darmstadt in Germany and AAAI member.

"They just say, 'this is so dangerous that only I can operate it, in fact I myself am afraid but we've already let the genie out of the bottle, so I'm going to sacrifice myself on your behalf -- but then you're dependent on me'."

Skepticism among academic researchers is not total, with prominent figures like Nobel-winning physicist Geoffrey Hinton or 2018 Turing Prize winner Yoshua Bengio warning about dangers from powerful AI.

"It's a bit like Goethe's 'The Sorcerer's Apprentice', you have something you suddenly can't control any more," Kersting said -- referring to a poem in which a would-be sorcerer loses control of a broom he has enchanted to do his chores.

A similar, more recent thought experiment is the "paperclip maximiser".

This imagined AI would pursue its goal of making paperclips so single-mindedly that it would turn Earth and ultimately all matter in the universe into paperclips or paperclip-making machines -- having first got rid of human beings that it judged might hinder its progress by switching it off.

While not "evil" as such, the maximiser would fall fatally short on what thinkers in the field call "alignment" of AI with human objectives and values.

Kersting said he "can understand" such fears -- while suggesting that "human intelligence, its diversity and quality is so outstanding that it will take a long time, if ever" for computers to match it.

He is far more concerned with near-term harms from already-existing AI, such as discrimination in cases where it interacts with humans.

'Biggest thing ever'

The apparently stark gulf in outlook between academics and AI industry leaders may simply reflect people's attitudes as they pick a career path, suggested Sean O hEigeartaigh, director of the AI: Futures and Responsibility program at Britain's Cambridge University.

"If you are very optimistic about how powerful the present techniques are, you're probably more likely to go and work at one of the companies that's putting a lot of resource into trying to make it happen," he said.

Even if Altman and Amodei may be "quite optimistic" about rapid timescales and AGI emerges much later, "we should be thinking about this and taking it seriously, because it would be the biggest thing that would ever happen," O hEigeartaigh added.

"If it were anything else... a chance that aliens would arrive by 2030 or that there'd be another giant pandemic or something, we'd put some time into planning for it".

The challenge can lie in communicating these ideas to politicians and the public.

Talk of super-AI "does instantly create this sort of immune reaction... it sounds like science fiction," O hEigeartaigh said.