Iran: Reformists Calls for ‘Opening a Window’ in Conservatives’ Wall

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi chairing a meeting of the cabinet and governors (Iranian Presidency)
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi chairing a meeting of the cabinet and governors (Iranian Presidency)
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Iran: Reformists Calls for ‘Opening a Window’ in Conservatives’ Wall

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi chairing a meeting of the cabinet and governors (Iranian Presidency)
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi chairing a meeting of the cabinet and governors (Iranian Presidency)

Over 100 civil, political, and media reformist activists in Iran called for making a breakthrough in the upcoming parliamentary elections and for making a drastic change to prevent the current political forces from maintaining control over the parliament.
A total of 103 activists called for supporting the alliance of moderate and reformist candidates, urging political forces to avoid "idealism without realism" and "realism without idealism" given the "difficult circumstances" surrounding the legislative elections.
Officials and government media have escalated campaigns urging Iranians to participate in the upcoming elections, the first electoral entitlement after the widespread protests that shook the country following the death of Mahsa Amini in September 2022.
The previous polls witnessed a record turnout throughout the country, especially in Tehran. The capital is the largest electoral district and has 30 parliamentary seats.
Over the past months, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has repeatedly called for an increase in voter turnout in the elections to confirm the regime's acceptance by public opinion after the recent protests witnessed unprecedented reactions.
Interior Minister Ahmed Vahidi chaired a meeting of 31 governors, where discussions focused on the ministry's preparations before the legislative elections next month.
According to Iranian agencies, Vahidi said that 70 percent of the parliamentary candidates are between 30 and 50 years of age, pointing out that the list includes 15,000 candidates whose requests were approved by the Guardian Council, the body that supervises the elections.
The poll to elect 290 new members of the parliament will begin in a little over ten days, according to the Iranian Ministry of Interior.
This year's elections will coincide with the Assembly of Experts for Leadership elections, held every eight years to elect 88 influential clerics who will name the Supreme Leader's successor if he cannot carry out his duties.
Some reformist parties still have not decided their position on boycotting the elections, especially after the recent warning of Khamenei to "privileged" candidates.
Meanwhile, reform activists issued a statement indicating that the upcoming elections are "far from free and fair”.
The statement by official and government news agencies said that voting, even in restricted elections, could mean speaking up against limitations on the right to vote and not surrendering to basic rights violations.
The majority of activists, including figures close to former President Mohammad Khatami, said they believe in change and reform within the framework of the system, rejecting calls to move beyond the current political structure.
Last year, Khatami said there remains a long way to meet the elections' conditions and requirements, stressing that the main thing is holding free and fair elections.
The activists' statement pointed out that adherence to the right to vote is not limited to two options: voting on the list of candidates or boycotting the elections.
The statement stressed that participating in the elections aims to prevent the "greater evil" and ensure the polls' objectivity.
The signatories asserted their aim to practically achieve Iran's collective good and interests, aside from any personal wealth or gain.
Meanwhile, the reformist Ettehaad Mellat party held its ninth general conference on Monday.

At the end of the conference, the party issued a statement asserting that the rising trend of public dissatisfaction and increased number of unresolved issues, coupled with the noticeable rulers' inefficiency and the apparent gap with the people, show that the current impasses cannot be overcome without radical reforms.
Ettehaad Mellat further indicated that the parliament has become an unpopular and ineffective body, noting that its powers have been taken away by many parallel institutions.
The party announced it would side with the reform front during the upcoming elections, referring to the coordination framework between the parties and reformist forces.
Ettehaad Mellat's statement noted that the widespread interventions of security forces and institutions in the country's partial and comprehensive issues have become dangerous and harmful, warning about extending this wrong method to civil institutions.



Aviation Experts: Russia's Air Defense Fire Likely Caused Azerbaijan Plane Crash

In this photo taken from a video released by the administration of Mangystau region, a part of Azerbaijan Airlines' Embraer 190 lies on the ground near the airport of Aktau, Kazakhstan, on Thursday, Dec. 26, 2024. (The Administration of Mangystau Region via AP)
In this photo taken from a video released by the administration of Mangystau region, a part of Azerbaijan Airlines' Embraer 190 lies on the ground near the airport of Aktau, Kazakhstan, on Thursday, Dec. 26, 2024. (The Administration of Mangystau Region via AP)
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Aviation Experts: Russia's Air Defense Fire Likely Caused Azerbaijan Plane Crash

In this photo taken from a video released by the administration of Mangystau region, a part of Azerbaijan Airlines' Embraer 190 lies on the ground near the airport of Aktau, Kazakhstan, on Thursday, Dec. 26, 2024. (The Administration of Mangystau Region via AP)
In this photo taken from a video released by the administration of Mangystau region, a part of Azerbaijan Airlines' Embraer 190 lies on the ground near the airport of Aktau, Kazakhstan, on Thursday, Dec. 26, 2024. (The Administration of Mangystau Region via AP)

Aviation experts said Thursday that Russian air defense fire was likely responsible for the Azerbaijani plane crash the day before that killed 38 people and left all 29 survivors injured.
Azerbaijan Airlines' Embraer 190 was en route from Azerbaijan's capital of Baku to the Russian city of Grozny in the North Caucasus on Wednesday when it was diverted for reasons still unclear and crashed while making an attempt to land in Aktau in Kazakhstan after flying east across the Caspian Sea.
The plane went down about 3 kilometers (around 2 miles) from Aktau. Cellphone footage circulating online appeared to show the aircraft making a steep descent before smashing into the ground and exploding in a fireball.
Other footage showed part of its fuselage ripped away from the wings and the rest of the aircraft lying upside down in the grass.
Azerbaijan mourned the crash victims with national flags at half-staff across the country on Thursday. Traffic stopped at noon, and signals sounded from ships and trains as it observed a nationwide moment of silence.
Speaking at a news conference Wednesday, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said that it was too soon to speculate on the reasons behind the crash, but said that the weather had forced the plane to change from its planned course.
“The information provided to me is that the plane changed its course between Baku and Grozny due to worsening weather conditions and headed to Aktau airport, where it crashed upon landing,” The Associated Press quoted him as saying.
Russia’s civil aviation authority, Rosaviatsia, said that preliminary information indicated that the pilots diverted to Aktau after a bird strike led to an emergency on board.
As the official crash investigation started, some experts alleged that holes seen in the plane’s tail section could indicate that it could have come under fire from Russian air defense systems fending off a Ukrainian drone attack.
Ukrainian drones had previously attacked Grozny, the provincial capital of the Russian republic of Chechnya, and other regions in the country’s North Caucasus. An official in Chechnya said another drone attack on the region was fended off on Wednesday, although federal authorities didn't report it.
Mark Zee of OPSGroup, which monitors the world’s airspace and airports for risks, said that the analysis of the images of fragments of the crashed plane indicate that it was almost certainly hit by a surface-to-air missile, or SAM.
“Much more to investigate, but at high level we'd put the probability of it being a SAM attack on the aircraft at being well into the 90-99% bracket,” he said.
Osprey Flight Solutions, an aviation security firm based in the United Kingdom, warned its clients that the “Azerbaijan Airlines flight was likely shot down by a Russian military air-defense system.” Osprey provides analysis for carriers still flying into Russia after Western airlines halted their flights during the war.
Osprey CEO Andrew Nicholson said that the company had issued more than 200 alerts regarding drone attacks and air defense systems in Russia during the war.
“This incident is a stark reminder of why we do what we do,” Nicholson wrote online. “It is painful to know that despite our efforts, lives were lost in a way that could have been avoided.”
Yan Matveyev, an independent Russian military expert, noted that images of the crashed plane's tail reveal the damage compatible with shrapnel from a small surface-to-air missiles, such as the Pantsyr-S1 air defense system.
“It looks like the tail section of the plane was damaged by some missile fragments,” he said.
Matveyev added that it remains unclear why the pilots decided to fly hundreds of miles east across the Caspian Sea instead of trying to land at a closer airport in Russia after the plane was hit.
“Perhaps some of the plane's systems kept working for some time and the crew believed that they could make it and land normally,” Matveyev said, adding that the crew could also have faced restrictions on landing at another venue in Russia.
Caliber, an Azerbaijani news website with good government connections, also claimed that the airliner was fired upon by a Russian Pantsyr-S air defense system as it was approaching Grozny. It questioned why Russian authorities failed to close the airport despite the apparent drone raid in the area. Khamzat Kadyrov, head of Chechnya's Security Council, said that air defenses downed drones attacking the region on Wednesday.
Caliber also wondered why Russian authorities didn't allow the plane to make an emergency landing in Grozny or other Russian airports nearby after it was hit.
Asked about the claims that the plane had been fired upon by air defense assets, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters that “it would be wrong to make hypotheses before investigators make their verdict.”
Kazakhstan’s parliamentary speaker, Maulen Ashimbayev, also warned against rushing to conclusions based on pictures of the plane’s fragments, describing the allegations of air defense fire as unfounded and unethical.
Other officials in Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan have similarly avoided comment on a possible cause of the crash, saying it will be up to investigators to determine it.
According to Kazakh officials, those aboard the plane included 42 Azerbaijani citizens, 16 Russian nationals, six Kazakhs and three Kyrgyzstan nationals. Russia’s Emergencies Ministry on Thursday flew nine Russian survivors to Moscow for treatment.