CENTCOM Commander: US Will Lose the Middle East if It Concedes to Iran, China

Commander of the Central Command Army Gen. Michael Kurilla (AP)
Commander of the Central Command Army Gen. Michael Kurilla (AP)
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CENTCOM Commander: US Will Lose the Middle East if It Concedes to Iran, China

Commander of the Central Command Army Gen. Michael Kurilla (AP)
Commander of the Central Command Army Gen. Michael Kurilla (AP)

US Army General Michael E. Kurilla, the commander of CENTCOM, said Thursday that the convergence of crisis and competition make the CENTCOM area of responsibility the most likely region to produce threats against the US homeland, trigger a regional conflict and derail the national defense strategy.
His remarks came in a warning signaling a possible "strategic shift" in US policies towards the Middle East, years after Washington has been accused of abandoning the Middle East or at least not prioritizing it.
Iran Exploiting Region
Testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee about the fiscal year 2025 defense authorization request and the future years defense program, Kurilla said that just a year ago, the region was on the verge of improbable, unprecedented, and transformative progress.
Today, he said, the central region faces its most volatile security situation in the past half century.
The Commander said this is not the same central region as last year. “The events of 7 October not only permanently changed Israel and Gaza, it created the conditions for malign actors to sow instability throughout the region and beyond.”
According to Kurilla, “Iran exploited what they saw as a once in a generation opportunity to reshape the Middle East to their advantage. Iran has worked for decades to strategically encircle the region with its proxies, and in the past six months, we have seen every proxy in the Iranian threat network operationalized in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, the West Bank, and Yemen.”
He also said Iran knows that its decade-long vision cannot be realized if countries in the region continue to expand integration with each other and deepen their partnership with the United States.
The Commander then revealed that Iran's expansive network of proxies is equipped with advanced sophisticated weaponry and threatens some of the most vital terrain in the world, with global and US implications.
He added that Houthi attacks on international shipping and Iranian aligned militia attacks on our forces in Iraq and Syria are a direct result of an Iranian threat that has been incrementally spreading.
Crucial Area for America
Kurilla told the Senate that the CENTCOM region also remains critical to the world's energy supply and remains essential for the flow of global commerce.
“CENTCOM provides strategic depth to our defense of the homeland, and Americans' security and prosperity are at risk if we cede this space to Iran, terrorism, and China,” he said.
He then mentioned the increasing risk of ISIS attacks emanating from Afghanistan. “ISIS Khorasan retains the capability and will to attack US and Western interests abroad in as little as six months and with little to no warning,” the Commander noted.
The ISIS Khorasan region encompasses parts of modern day Iran, Central Asia, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.
Kurilla affirmed that the US should focus on optimizing talents and highlighting character and competence to its partners, “as their strategic advantage remains our strong military-to-military partnerships, while our adversaries and competitors rely on parasitic transactional relationships.”
Highlighting Iran’s role in the Ukrainian war, Kurilla said Tehran has developed a full-scale production pipeline for supplying weapons to Russia, fueling their war on Ukraine.
Pressures from China and Russia
Speaking of the rivalry with China, Kurilla said strategic competition has also continued to evolve across the region.
“China and Russia are quick to capitalize on destabilizing influences. They have shown meager interest or capability to reduce regional tensions, but rather they have increased their efforts to pressurize regional partners across all elements of national power,” he said.
Also at the committee hearing on Thursday, Michael Langley, Commander of the US Africa Command, said that Africa faces a range of crises including terrorism, poverty, food insecurity, climate change and mass migration.
“These factors sow the seas of violent extremism and Russian exploitation across entire regions of the continent,” he said, adding that in Africa, modest investments and resources go a long way towards achieving our national security interests.
“Africa faces many challenges, but also offers even more opportunities,” Langley said, adding that with Washington’s “African partners at the forefront, reinforced by our efforts and the efforts of our allies, we will continue to gain ground towards achieving lasting stability, security and prosperity on this crucial continent.”

 

 



Iran to Launch 'Advanced Centrifuges' in Response to IAEA Censure

Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP
Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP
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Iran to Launch 'Advanced Centrifuges' in Response to IAEA Censure

Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP
Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP

Iran said Friday it would launch a series of "new and advanced" centrifuges in response to a resolution adopted by the UN nuclear watchdog that censures Tehran for what the agency called lack of cooperation.

The censure motion brought by Britain, France, Germany, and the United States at the 35-nation board of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) follows a similar one in June.

It came as tensions run high over Iran's atomic program, with critics fearing that Tehran is attempting to develop a nuclear weapon -- a claim the Islamic Republic has repeatedly denied.

The resolution -- which China, Russia and Burkina Faso voted against -- carried with 19 votes in favor, 12 abstentions and Venezuela not participating, two diplomats told AFP.

"The head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran issued an order to take effective measures, including launching a significant series of new and advanced centrifuges of various types," a joint statement by the organization and Iran's foreign ministry said.

Centrifuges are the machines that enrich uranium transformed into gas by rotating it at very high speed, increasing the proportion of fissile isotope material (U-235).

"At the same time, technical and safeguards cooperation with the IAEA will continue, as in the past" and within the framework of agreements made by Iran, the joint Iranian statement added.

Behrouz Kamalvandi, Iran's atomic energy organization spokesman, on Friday said the new measures are mostly related to uranium enrichment.

"We will substantially increase the enrichment capacity with the utilisation of different types of advanced machines," he told state TV.

Iran's retaliatory measures "are reversible if this (Western) hostile action is withdrawn or negotiations are opened," Tehran-based political analyst Hadi Mohammadi told AFP.

- 'Legal obligations' -

The confidential resolution seen by AFP says it is "essential and urgent" for Iran to "act to fulfil its legal obligations" under the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) ratified in 1970.

The text also calls on Tehran to provide "technically credible explanations" for the presence of uranium particles found at two undeclared locations in Iran.

In addition, Western powers are asking for a "comprehensive report" to be issued by the IAEA on Iran's nuclear efforts "at the latest" by spring 2025.

The resolution comes after the IAEA's head Rafael Grossi returned from a trip to Tehran last week, where he appeared to have made headway.

During the visit, Iran agreed to an IAEA demand to cap its sensitive stock of near weapons-grade uranium enriched up to 60 percent purity.

- 'Cycle of provocation' -

"Iran did not start the cycle of provocation -- the Western side could, without passing a resolution... create the atmosphere for negotiations if it really was after talks," the analyst Mohammadi said.

In 2015, Iran and world powers reached an agreement that saw the easing of international sanctions on Tehran in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program.

But the United States unilaterally withdrew from the accord in 2018 under then-president Donald Trump and reimposed biting economic sanctions, which prompted Iran to begin rolling back on its own commitments.

On Thursday, Iran's deputy foreign minister for legal and international affairs Kazem Gharibabadi warned of Iran's potential next step.

"Iran had announced in an official letter to European countries that it would withdraw from the NPT if the snapback mechanism was activated, and the Security Council sanctions were reinstated," Gharibabadi said in a late-night interview with state TV.

The 2015 deal contains a "snapback" mechanism that can be triggered in case of "significant non-performance" of commitments by Iran.

This would allow many sanctions to be reimposed.

Tehran has since 2021 decreased its cooperation with the agency by deactivating surveillance devices monitoring the nuclear program and barring UN inspectors.

At the same time, it has ramped up its nuclear activities, including by increasing its stockpiles of enriched uranium and the level of enrichment to 60 percent.

That level is close, according to the IAEA, to the 90 percent-plus threshold required for a nuclear warhead and substantially higher than the 3.67 percent limit it agreed to in 2015.