Russia Advances in Ukraine at Fastest Monthly Pace Since Start of War, Analysts Say

A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)
A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)
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Russia Advances in Ukraine at Fastest Monthly Pace Since Start of War, Analysts Say

A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)
A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)

Russian forces are advancing in Ukraine at the fastest rate since the early days of the 2022 invasion, taking an area half the size of Greater London over the past month, analysts and war bloggers say.

The war is entering what some Russian and Western officials say could be its most dangerous phase after Moscow's forces made some of their biggest territorial gains and the United States allowed Kyiv to strike back with US missiles.

"Russia has set new weekly and monthly records for the size of the occupied territory in Ukraine," independent Russian news group Agentstvo said in a report.

The Russian army captured almost 235 sq km (91 sq miles) in Ukraine over the past week, a weekly record for 2024, it said.

Russian forces had taken 600 sq km (232 sq miles) in November, it added, citing data from DeepState, a group with close links to the Ukrainian army that studies combat footage and provides frontline maps.

Russia began advancing faster in eastern Ukraine in July just as Ukrainian forces carved out a sliver of its western region of Kursk. Since then, the Russian advance has accelerated, according to open source maps.

Russia's forces are moving into the town of Kurakhove, a stepping stone towards the logistical hub of Pokrovsk in Donetsk, and have been exploiting the vulnerabilities of Kyiv troops along the frontline, analysts said.

"Russian forces recently have been advancing at a significantly quicker rate than they did in the entirety of 2023," analysts at the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War said in a report.

The General Staff of Ukraine's armed forces said in its Monday update that 45 battles of varying intensity were raging along the Kurakhove part of the frontline that evening.

The Institute for the Study of War report and pro-Russian military bloggers say Russian troops are in Kurakhove. Deep State said on its Telegram messaging app on Monday that Russian forces are near Kurakhove.

"Russian forces' advances in southeastern Ukraine are largely the result of the discovery and tactical exploitation of vulnerabilities in Ukraine's lines," Institute analysts said in their report.

Russia says it will achieve all of its aims in Ukraine no matter what the West says or does.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has repeatedly said peace cannot be established until all Russian forces are expelled and all territory captured by Moscow, including Crimea, is returned.

But outnumbered by Russian troops, the Ukrainian military is struggling to recruit soldiers and provide equipment to new units.

Zelenskiy has said he believed Russian President Vladimir Putin's main objectives were to occupy the entire Donbas, spanning the regions of Donetsk and Luhansk, and oust Ukrainian troops from the Kursk region, parts of which they have controlled since August.



Top EU Officials Visit Ukraine in Show of Solidarity

01 December 2024, Ukraine, Kiev: Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanischyna (L) welcomes the new EU Council President Antonio Costa, the new EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas (2nd L), and the new EU Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos (R) upon their arrival in Kyiv, a few hours after taking office. Photo: Ansgar Haase/dpa
01 December 2024, Ukraine, Kiev: Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanischyna (L) welcomes the new EU Council President Antonio Costa, the new EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas (2nd L), and the new EU Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos (R) upon their arrival in Kyiv, a few hours after taking office. Photo: Ansgar Haase/dpa
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Top EU Officials Visit Ukraine in Show of Solidarity

01 December 2024, Ukraine, Kiev: Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanischyna (L) welcomes the new EU Council President Antonio Costa, the new EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas (2nd L), and the new EU Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos (R) upon their arrival in Kyiv, a few hours after taking office. Photo: Ansgar Haase/dpa
01 December 2024, Ukraine, Kiev: Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanischyna (L) welcomes the new EU Council President Antonio Costa, the new EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas (2nd L), and the new EU Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos (R) upon their arrival in Kyiv, a few hours after taking office. Photo: Ansgar Haase/dpa

European Council President Antonio Costa and Kaja Kallas, the EU's foreign policy chief, arrived in the Ukrainian capital Kyiv on Sunday, using the first day in their new roles to send a message of support for Ukraine in its war with Russia.
Their visit comes as Ukraine struggles to fend off a grinding Russian offensive and faces the uncertainty of US policy toward Kyiv when Donald Trump takes office next month, Reuters reported.
"From day one of the war, the EU has stood by the side of Ukraine," Costa posted on X alongside an image of himself, Kallas and EU enlargement chief Marta Kos arriving via train.

"From day one of our mandate, we are reaffirming our unwavering support to the Ukrainian people."
Both Kallas and Costa have been strong supporters of Ukraine since Russia's February 2022 invasion. However, neither can make specific pledges of further aid, requiring the support of the EU's national governments.
The EU says its institutions and member countries have made available some $133 billion in Ukraine aid since the start of the war, but future support remains uncertain especially if Trump reduces US support.
Trump has criticized the scale of aid for Kyiv and has said he will seek a swift end to the war, but without specifying exactly how.
On the battlefield, Moscow's troops are capturing village after village in a drive to eventually seize the industrial Donbas region, while Russian airstrikes are targeting Ukraine's hobbled energy grid as winter sets in.
"In my first visit since taking up office, my message is clear: the European Union wants Ukraine to win this war," Kallas wrote on X. "We will do whatever it takes for that."
As prime minister of Estonia, which borders Russia, Kallas emerged as one of the most vociferous critics of Russia. Moscow this year put her on a wanted list for destroying Soviet-era monuments.
Costa, a former prime minister of Portugal, is tasked with coordinating the work of the European Union's national leaders and chairing their summits as president of the European Council.
At a ceremony in Brussels on Friday, he said everyone was yearning for peace after more than 1,000 days of the Ukraine-Russia war, "especially the embattled and heroic Ukrainian people".
"Peace cannot mean capitulation. Peace must not reward the aggressor," he added.