White House's Sullivan: Weakened Iran Could Pursue Nuclear Weapon

FILE PHOTO: Iranian flag flies in front of the UN office building, housing IAEA headquarters, in Vienna, Austria, May 24, 2021. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Iranian flag flies in front of the UN office building, housing IAEA headquarters, in Vienna, Austria, May 24, 2021. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner/File Photo
TT

White House's Sullivan: Weakened Iran Could Pursue Nuclear Weapon

FILE PHOTO: Iranian flag flies in front of the UN office building, housing IAEA headquarters, in Vienna, Austria, May 24, 2021. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Iranian flag flies in front of the UN office building, housing IAEA headquarters, in Vienna, Austria, May 24, 2021. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner/File Photo

The Biden administration is concerned that a weakened Iran could build a nuclear weapon, White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said on Sunday, adding that he was briefing President-elect Donald Trump's team on the risk.
Iran has suffered setbacks to its regional influence after Israel's assaults on its allies, Palestinian Hamas and Lebanon's Hezbollah, followed by the fall of Iran-aligned Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
Israeli strikes on Iranian facilities, including missile factories and air defenses, have reduced Tehran's conventional military capabilities, Sullivan told CNN.
"It's no wonder there are voices (in Iran) saying, 'Hey, maybe we need to go for a nuclear weapon right now ... Maybe we have to revisit our nuclear doctrine'," Sullivan said.
Iran says its nuclear program is peaceful, but it has expanded uranium enrichment since Trump, in his 2017-2021 presidential term, pulled out of a deal between Tehran and world powers that put restrictions on Iran's nuclear activity in exchange for sanctions relief.
Sullivan said that there was a risk that Iran might abandon its promise not to build nuclear weapons.
"It's a risk we are trying to be vigilant about now. It's a risk that I'm personally briefing the incoming team on," Sullivan said, adding that he had also consulted with US ally Israel.
Trump, who takes office on Jan. 20, could return to his hardline Iran policy by stepping up sanctions on Iran's oil industry. Sullivan said Trump would have an opportunity to pursue diplomacy with Tehran, given Iran's "weakened state."
"Maybe he can come around this time, with the situation Iran finds itself in, and actually deliver a nuclear deal that curbs Iran's nuclear ambitions for the long term," he said.



EUROPE GAS-Prices Rise on Lower Wind Speed, Russian Gas Uncertainty

Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
TT

EUROPE GAS-Prices Rise on Lower Wind Speed, Russian Gas Uncertainty

Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices rose slightly early on Monday, as they traded in a narrow range, caught between low wind speed and uncertainty over Russian gas flows to Europe when the Ukraine gas transit deal expires at the year-end.

The benchmark front-month contract at the Dutch TTF hub edged up by 0.84 euro to 44.65 euros per megawatt hour (MWh), or $14.3/mmBtu, by 1016 GMT, while the day ahead contract was up 1.08 euro at 44.38 euros/MWh.

In Britain, the day-ahead contract was 2.25 pence higher at 110.25 p per therm.

"The spot and the curve (prices) are still supported by the prospect of a non-renewal of the Russia-Ukraine gas transit deal," analysts at Engie's EnergyScan said in a daily note, according to Reuters.

The situation with European countries that buy Russian gas is very complicated and requires increased attention, the Kremlin said on Monday, after talks between President Vladimir Putin and Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico.

Fico said on Sunday that Putin had confirmed Russian willingness to continue to supply gas to Slovakia, even though the Slovak leader said this was "practically impossible" once a gas transit agreement between Russia and Ukraine expires.

Russia's Gazprom said it would send 42.1 million cubic metres of gas to Europe via Ukraine on Monday, a volume in line with recent days.

Meanwhile, wind generation will drop sharply today in France and Germany and the confidence for high wind output is reduced, supporting gas for power demand, EnergyScan analysts said.

In Britain, peak wind generation is forecast at 19.1 gigawatts (GW) on Monday, falling to 15.6 GW on Tuesday, Elexon data shows.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract was up 0.22 euro at 67.91 euros a metric ton.