What Lies Ahead for South Korea’s Impeached President as Investigators Push for His Arrest?

 A picture of impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol is seen on the vehicle during a rally to oppose his impeachment outside of a detention center in Uiwang, South Korea, Friday, Jan. 17, 2025. (AP)
A picture of impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol is seen on the vehicle during a rally to oppose his impeachment outside of a detention center in Uiwang, South Korea, Friday, Jan. 17, 2025. (AP)
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What Lies Ahead for South Korea’s Impeached President as Investigators Push for His Arrest?

 A picture of impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol is seen on the vehicle during a rally to oppose his impeachment outside of a detention center in Uiwang, South Korea, Friday, Jan. 17, 2025. (AP)
A picture of impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol is seen on the vehicle during a rally to oppose his impeachment outside of a detention center in Uiwang, South Korea, Friday, Jan. 17, 2025. (AP)

Law enforcement authorities on Friday were seeking to formally arrest impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was spending his third day at a detention center after his lawyers failed in a last-minute attempt to secure his release.

Yoon, who was apprehended on Wednesday in a massive law enforcement operation at his residence, faces potential rebellion charges linked to his declaration of martial law on Dec. 3, which set off the country’s most serious political crisis since its democratization in the late 1980s.

Attempting to break through legislative gridlock, Yoon imposed military rule and sent troops to the National Assembly and election offices, but the standoff lasted only hours after lawmakers who managed to get through a blockade voted to lift the measure. The opposition-dominated assembly voted to impeach him on Dec. 14.

A court-ordered arrest could lead to an extended period in custody for the conservative president, who faces both criminal charges and a Constitutional Court ruling in the coming weeks that will determine whether he is dismissed or reinstated to office.

Here’s what Yoon faces at a moment that could determine his political fate:

What’s ahead? After undergoing more than 10 hours of questioning on Wednesday at the Corruption Investigation Office for High-Ranking Officials, during which he exercised his right to remain silent, Yoon boycotted questioning for a second straight day on Friday as his supporters maintained that the investigation was illegal.

The anti-corruption agency has until 9:05 p.m. Friday to request a court warrant for Yoon’s formal arrest, and if it fails to do so, Yoon is to be released.

Yoon’s lawyers had asked the Seoul Central District Court to order his release, questioning the validity of the detention warrant issued by the Seoul Western District Court, but the Central District Court denied their petition late Thursday. The failure gave anti-corruption officials nearly 11 extra hours to keep Yoon in detention as their 48-hour clock to request an arrest warrant was on hold while the Central District Court reviewed his petition.

The anti-corruption agency told reporters that it had nearly completed preparations for an arrest warrant request, which will likely be submitted to the Western District Court.

If the court receives the request, it will likely hold a hearing on Saturday, which Yoon may or may not attend, before deciding whether to grant his arrest, possibly sometime over the weekend or early Monday.

Yoon’s defense minister, police chief, and several top military commanders have already been arrested for their roles in the enforcement of martial law.

What happens if Yoon is arrested? If Yoon is formally arrested, investigators can extend his detention to 20 days, during which they will transfer the case to public prosecutors for indictment. This could mark the beginning of an extended period in custody for Yoon, lasting months or possibly longer.

If prosecutors indict Yoon on rebellion and abuse of power charges, which are the allegations being examined by investigators, they can possibly keep Yoon under arrest for up to six months until an initial court ruling. If the first court convicts him and issues a prison term, Yoon would serve that sentence as the case possibly moves up to the Seoul High Court and Supreme Court. Under South Korean law, orchestrating a rebellion is punishable by up to life imprisonment or the death penalty.

Yoon’s lawyers have argued that there is no need to detain him during the investigation, saying he doesn’t pose a threat to flee or destroy evidence.

Investigators point out that Yoon ignored several requests to appear for questioning, and the presidential security service blocked an attempt to detain him on Jan. 3.

Yoon has steadfastly denied accusations that his martial law decree was an attempt at rebellion, contradicting the testimonies of military commanders who have described an attempt to shut down the legislature. Critics say this makes him a potential threat to destroy or tamper with evidence.

What key points will be contested in court? To avoid conviction on rebellion charges, Yoon would need to support his claim that martial law was intended as a temporary and “peaceful” warning to the liberal opposition, which he accuses of obstructing his agenda and paralyzing state affairs with its legislative majority.

Yoon and his lawyers have claimed that he had no intention of stopping the functioning of the National Assembly, stating that the deployment of troops was intended to maintain order, not prevent lawmakers from entering and voting to lift martial law. They have claimed that the troops sent to the assembly were unarmed and denied allegations that Yoon ordered the arrest of key politicians, including National Assembly Speaker Woo Won Shik and opposition leader Lee Jae-myung.

Military commanders, however, have described a deliberate attempt to seize the legislature that was thwarted by hundreds of civilians and legislative staff who helped lawmakers enter the assembly, and by the troops’ reluctance or refusal to follow Yoon’s orders.

Prosecutors’ indictment of Kim Yong Hyun, Yoon’s now-arrested former defense minister, states that Yoon ordered the military and police to arrest key politicians or any lawmaker attempting to enter the assembly, desperate to prevent the 300-member legislature from gathering the 150 votes necessary to overturn his martial law order. It describes Yoon as becoming impatient as lawmakers continued getting inside, placing calls to military commanders to destroy the main chamber’s door, and even use guns or axes if necessary, and to drag the lawmakers out.

Those details align with the legislative testimony of Kwak Jong-keun, the now-arrested commander of the Army Special Warfare Command, who said Yoon directly instructed him to have troops pull out the lawmakers but that he didn’t carry out those orders.



Putin and Iranian President Sign Strategic Cooperation Treaty

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attend a documents signing ceremony in Moscow, Russia January 17, 2025. (Reuters)
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attend a documents signing ceremony in Moscow, Russia January 17, 2025. (Reuters)
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Putin and Iranian President Sign Strategic Cooperation Treaty

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attend a documents signing ceremony in Moscow, Russia January 17, 2025. (Reuters)
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attend a documents signing ceremony in Moscow, Russia January 17, 2025. (Reuters)

Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Iranian counterpart Masoud Pezeshkian on Friday signed a 20-year strategic partnership treaty involving closer defense cooperation that is likely to worry the West.

Pezeshkian, on his first Kremlin visit since winning the presidency last July, hailed the signing as an important new chapter in the two countries' relations, while Putin said Moscow and Tehran had many of the same views on international affairs.

"This (treaty) creates better conditions for bilateral cooperation in all areas," said Putin, emphasizing the upside for economic ties and trade, which he said was mostly carried out in the two countries' own currencies.

"We need less bureaucracy and more concrete action. Whatever difficulties are created by others we will be able to overcome them and move forward," Putin added, referring to Western sanctions on both countries.

Putin said Russia regularly informed Iran about what was going on in the Ukraine conflict and that they closely consulted on events in the Middle East and South Caucasus region.

Russia and Iran were the main military allies of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who fled to Moscow after being toppled last month. The West also accuses Iran of providing missiles and drones for Russian attacks on Ukraine. Moscow and Tehran say their increasingly close ties are not directed against other countries.

Putin said work on a potential gas pipeline to carry Russian gas to Iran was progressing despite difficulties, and that, despite delays in building new nuclear reactors for Iran, Moscow was open to potentially taking on more nuclear projects.

Pezeshkian, whose words were translated by Russian state TV, said the treaty would create good opportunities and showed Moscow and Iran did not need to heed the opinion of what he called "countries over the ocean".

"The agreements we reached today are another stimulus when it comes to the creation of a multi-polar world," he said.

CLOSE COOPERATION

Moscow has cultivated closer ties with Iran and other countries hostile towards the US, such as North Korea, since the start of the Ukraine war, and already has strategic pacts with Pyongyang and close ally Belarus, as well as a partnership agreement with China.

Immediate details of the 20-year Russia-Iran agreement were not available but it was not expected to include a mutual defense clause of the kind sealed with Minsk and Pyongyang. It is still likely to concern the West, however, which sees both countries as malign influences on the world stage.

Neither leader mentioned defense cooperation during their Kremlin press conference, but officials from both countries had said earlier that part of the pact focused on defense.

Russia has made extensive use of Iranian drones during the war in Ukraine and the United States accused Tehran in September of delivering close-range ballistic missiles to Russia for use against Ukraine.

Tehran denies supplying drones or missiles. The Kremlin has declined to confirm it has received Iranian missiles, but has acknowledged that its cooperation with Iran includes "the most sensitive areas".

Russia has supplied Iran with S-300 air defense missile systems in the past and there have been reports in Iranian media of potential interest in buying more advanced systems such as the S-400 and of acquiring advanced Russian fighter jets.

Pezeshkian's visit to Moscow comes at a time when Iran's influence across the Middle East is in retreat with the fall of Assad in Syria and the Israeli pounding of Iran-backed groups Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in the Gaza Strip.

The fate of two major Russian military facilities in Syria has been uncertain since the fall of Assad.