Libya: Dbeibeh's Govt. Expands Libya's Maritime Borders

A previous meeting of the Dbeibeh government in Tripoli (Libyan government)
A previous meeting of the Dbeibeh government in Tripoli (Libyan government)
TT

Libya: Dbeibeh's Govt. Expands Libya's Maritime Borders

A previous meeting of the Dbeibeh government in Tripoli (Libyan government)
A previous meeting of the Dbeibeh government in Tripoli (Libyan government)

Libya's "national unity" government, headed by Abdel Hamid Dbeibeh, established a new maritime zone, which analysts considered a page of a new chapter in the intense race over energy sources in the East Med basin.

The demarcation of maritime borders constitutes a point of fundamental regional disagreement with Türkiye on the one hand and Greece, Cyprus, and Egypt on the other.

Signs of the disagreement appeared since the signing of a maritime border agreement between the Tripoli government and Türkiye in 2019.

Observers believe this path will continue, especially after the unity government announced it would establish a maritime zone adjacent to its borders in the Mediterranean.

The new Libyan decision expands the authority of maritime borders from 12 to 24 nautical miles.

The Foreign Ministry of the Dbebeih government justified this by saying the region falls within Libya's sovereign rights over the area adjacent to its territorial waters and does not violate international law or infringe on the maritime borders of other countries.

The head of the Land and Maritime Boundaries Committee at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Mohamed al-Harari, asserted that the new law confirms Tunisia's eastern marine border.

He explained that the map attached to the draft law supports his country's position against Egypt's decision (595) to define its western maritime borders in the Mediterranean Sea.

Harari denied to Asharq Al-Awsat that there was any influence of this region on neighboring countries and opposing countries in any way.

The declared maritime zone along the coast, known as the contiguous zone, will be at most 24 nautical miles from the baselines from which the width of the territorial sea is measured.

Harari stated that Article 33 of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea of 1982 gives the concerned state the right to declare this contiguous zone, stressing that there is no problem since these borders do not affect other countries.

However, international law professor Mohammad al-Zubaidi expected the Libyan draft resolution to fuel an influence struggle in the East Med basin.

Zubaidi told Asharq Al-Awsat that Türkiye insists on implementing the agreement and activating it in Libyan domestic legislation so that they have the legal justification to complete border arrangements in the Mediterranean basin.

According to some analysts, the Libyan project is an advanced step in activating the memorandum of understanding signed with Türkiye, which Egypt and Greece rejected.

Zubaidi describes the Dbeibeh government's talk about the maritime region as a natural extension of the 2019 deal with Türkiye, which changed the balance of power in Tripoli after the Turkish military supported Sarraj's forces.

He questioned the legitimacy of this step, saying that the draft decision to establish a new maritime zone violates the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea and the 1969 Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties.

Libya did not join the convention, but Harari said that the demarcation of borders in the area adjacent to Libya's territorial waters comes under prevailing norms of international law.

The demarcation of the Libyan borders in the East Med expands the controversy over the conflict over energy sources in the region.

According to the US Geological Survey, the East Med basin is estimated to contain 3,455 billion cubic meters of natural gas worth $700 billion and 1.7 billion barrels of oil.

Political analyst and professor at the University of Derna Youssef al-Farsi told Asharq Al-Awsat that Libya could enter the global energy market, develop its production, and extend new economic corridors.

Farsi highlighted that the maritime region of Sirte up to the border with Egypt is located within the Libyan border and full of enormous oil and gas discoveries.

He ruled out any harm to Egypt and neighboring countries, as "the border demarcation project falls under the scope of acts of sovereign right, not sovereignty.

World Bank estimates Libya's crude oil production reached 1.2 million barrels per day.

Oil Minister in the Dbeibeh government, Mohamed Aoun, expected production to rise to two million barrels per day within a period ranging from three to five years.



Biden, Macron to Declare 60-Day Ceasefire between Hezbollah, Israel on Tuesday

 Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)
Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)
TT

Biden, Macron to Declare 60-Day Ceasefire between Hezbollah, Israel on Tuesday

 Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)
Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)

US President Joe Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron will declare on Tuesday morning a 60-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, Asharq Al-Awsat learned from widely informed sources on Monday.

Washington has spoken of “cautious optimism” that the US proposal for a ceasefire could be a success. The proposal calls for Hezbollah’s withdrawal from the area between the Blue Line and Litani River in a manner that can be verified. In return Israeli forces will withdraw from the regions they occupied since they carried out their limited invasion of Lebanon.

The discussions the US government had on the Lebanon-Israel ceasefire were positive and are headed in the right direction towards a deal, the White House said on Monday.

"We're close," said White House national security spokesperson John Kirby. "The discussions ... were constructive, and we believe that the trajectory of this is going in a very positive direction. But, yeah, nothing is done until everything is done." 

The relative positivity prevailed in spite of the ongoing wide-scale military operations between Israel and Hezbollah in the South and Israel’s air raids deep in Lebanese territory. Hezbollah has also fired rockets deep in Israel, reaching Tel Aviv.

Analysts have said the intense attacks suggest that both Israel and Hezbollah are trying to maximize their leverage as diplomats conduct what they hope is a final round of ceasefire talks, reported the New York Times on Monday.

The New York Times reported on Friday that the terms included a 60-day truce during which Israeli forces and Hezbollah fighters pull back from border areas and the Lebanese Army and a United Nations peacekeeping force increase their presence in a buffer zone.

But officials have also warned that the two sides may not be able to finalize a deal, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has faced pressure from right-wing allies not to end the military campaign.

Israel’s hard-line national security minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, said in a social media post on Monday that the proposed deal would be a “historic missed opportunity to eradicate Hezbollah.”

Observers meanwhile told Asharq Al-Awsat that all pending issues related to the US proposal have been resolved from the Lebanese side, while Israel has some lingering reservations.

Israeli officials said Netanyahu’s security Cabinet is set to convene on Tuesday to discuss the ceasefire proposal.

Two officials confirmed the Cabinet meeting is set for Tuesday, but they said it is still not clear whether the decision-making body will vote to approve the deal.

The officials spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because they were discussing internal deliberations.