Egypt Urges ‘Serious Action’ for a Ceasefire in Gaza

Egyptian Red Crescent shipment on its way to the Gaza Strip (Egyptian Red Crescent)
Egyptian Red Crescent shipment on its way to the Gaza Strip (Egyptian Red Crescent)
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Egypt Urges ‘Serious Action’ for a Ceasefire in Gaza

Egyptian Red Crescent shipment on its way to the Gaza Strip (Egyptian Red Crescent)
Egyptian Red Crescent shipment on its way to the Gaza Strip (Egyptian Red Crescent)

Egypt urged on Tuesday for "serious action" to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza, renewing calls that the only way to establish comprehensive peace and coexistence in the region is to support the two-state solution.

Cairo called for a recognition of the right of the Palestinian people to establish their independent, viable state based on the 1967 borders, with East Jerusalem as its capital.

On Tuesday, humanitarian aid continued to cross from Egypt into the Gaza Strip through the Rafah crossing.

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi stressed the importance of "facilitating the unfettered flow of humanitarian aid."

Sisi received the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), William Burns, in the presence of the Director of the General Intelligence Service, Major General Abbas Kamel.

Egypt's presidential spokesman Ahmed Fahmy said the two men addressed a multitude of regional and international issues of mutual concern, mainly the Israeli military escalation in the Gaza Strip.

The CIA Director reaffirmed his commitment to continue close coordination with the Egyptian side to resolve the current crisis.

The meeting underscored the robust strategic partnership between Egypt and the US and its pivotal role in maintaining security and stability in the Middle East.

Fahmy stated that there was also an emphasis on the mutual commitment to strengthening and advancing the solid cooperation between the two countries across several fields, particularly at the security and intelligence levels.

- Egyptian movements

Egypt continued its efforts to stop the escalation in the Gaza Strip.

Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry received visiting senior Fatah official Jibril Rajoub on Tuesday and discussed the efforts to stop the war.

Shoukry stressed the need for an immediate unconditional ceasefire, calling on Israel to comply with the provisions of international and humanitarian law in its capacity as the occupying power.

He said Tel Aviv should refrain from blatant attacks against the Palestinian people, urging the necessity of delivering humanitarian and relief aid ultimately and sustainably to the Strip without obstacles.

Egypt is committed to continue providing the necessary support to the Palestinian Authority and the Palestinian people, rejecting the double standards adopted by some international parties.

The top diplomat rejected any agreement that does not end the humanitarian crisis in Gaza and stop the Israeli aggression under the pretext of so-called "self-defense or combating terrorism."

Rajoub appreciated Egypt's support and role in supporting the Palestinian cause over the past decades.

- An unprecedented escalation

Shoukry also received UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk in Cairo.

According to Ministry spokesman Ahmed Abu Zeid, the UN official was keen to hear Shoukry's assessment of the developments in the unprecedented Israeli military escalation in the Strip.

The Minister urged international parties to shoulder their legal, humanitarian, and political responsibility in ending the catastrophe in Gaza and supporting an urgent ceasefire.

He explained that there is a responsibility necessitated by the humanitarian shock that everyone is feeling as a result of the ongoing Israeli bombardment of civilian facilities and the collective punishment policies, including siege and displacement.

Since the Israeli aggression started in the Gaza Strip a month ago, more than 10,000 civilians have been killed, including more than 4,800 children, Shoukry said.

He pointed out that the matter is blatant evidence of the "double standards" that some international parties are dealing with regarding armed conflicts in various regions.

For his part, the UN official praised the Egyptian efforts to contain the repercussions of the crisis and put an end to it. He affirmed keenness to continue coordination with Cairo on means of tackling the humanitarian plight suffered by civilians in Gaza.

- Disastrous situation

Meanwhile, the Arab League Sec-Gen, Ahmed Aboul Gheit, confirmed during a meeting with Turk on Tuesday that "the situation in Gaza is catastrophic" and puts the principles of human rights and universal values at risk in light of the violation of all Palestinian rights.

According to official spokesman Jamal Rushdi, the Sec-Gen explained that there is a feeling of "loss of confidence" in international humanitarian law and human rights in light of the massacres committed by the occupation forces, which people see daily on screens.

- Humanitarian aid

The Egyptian Red Crescent announced on its official Facebook page on Tuesday that it delivered to the Palestinian Red Crescent 93 humanitarian and medical aid trucks containing food, medical supplies, water, and relief aid.

Sec-Gen of the Egyptian Red Crescent in North Sinai, Raed Abdel Nasser, said that as of Tuesday, 69 trucks were allowed to enter Gaza from the Rafah crossing since humanitarian aid was allowed to enter the enclave.



Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
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Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)

Research published in The Lancet medical journal on Friday estimates that the death toll in Gaza during the first nine months of the Israel-Hamas war was around 40 percent higher than recorded by the Palestinian territory's health ministry.

The number of dead in Gaza has become a matter of bitter debate since Israel launched its military campaign against Hamas in response to the Palestinian militant group's unprecedented October 7, 2023 attack.

Up to June 30 last year, the health ministry in Hamas-run Gaza reported a death toll of 37,877 in the war.

However, the new peer-reviewed study used data from the ministry, an online survey and social media obituaries to estimate that there were between 55,298 and 78,525 deaths from traumatic injuries in Gaza by that time, AFP reported.

The study's best death toll estimate was 64,260, which would mean the health ministry had under-reported the number of deaths to that point by 41 percent.

That toll represented 2.9 percent of Gaza's pre-war population, "or approximately one in 35 inhabitants," the study said.

The UK-led group of researchers estimated that 59 percent of the deaths were women, children and the elderly.

The toll was only for deaths from traumatic injuries, so did not include deaths from a lack of health care or food, or the thousands of missing believed to be buried under rubble.

AFP is unable to independently verify the death toll.

On Thursday, Gaza's health ministry said that 46,006 people had died over the full 15 months of war.

In Israel, the 2023 attack by Hamas resulted in the deaths of 1,208 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

Israel has repeatedly questioned the credibility of the Gaza health ministry's figures, but the United Nations have said they are reliable.

- 'A good estimate' -

The researchers used a statistical method called "capture-recapture" that has previously been used to estimate the death toll in conflicts around the world.

The analysis used data from three different lists, the first provided by the Gaza health ministry of the bodies identified in hospitals or morgues.

The second list was from an online survey launched by the health ministry in which Palestinians reported the deaths of relatives.

The third was sourced from obituaries posted on social media platforms such as X, Instagram, Facebook and Whatsapp, when the identity of the deceased could be verified.

"We only kept in the analysis those who were confirmed dead by their relatives or confirmed dead by the morgues and the hospital," lead study author Zeina Jamaluddine, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told AFP.

The researchers scoured the lists, searching for duplicates.

"Then we looked at the overlaps between the three lists, and based on the overlaps, you can come up with a total estimation of the population that was killed," Jamaluddine said.

Patrick Ball, a statistician at the US-based Human Rights Data Analysis Group not involved in the research, has used capture-recapture methods to estimate death tolls for conflicts in Guatemala, Kosovo, Peru and Colombia.

Ball told AFP the well-tested technique has been used for centuries and that the researchers had reached "a good estimate" for Gaza.

Kevin McConway, a professor of applied statistics at Britain's Open University, told AFP there was "inevitably a lot of uncertainty" when making estimates from incomplete data.

But he said it was "admirable" that the researchers had used three other statistical analysis approaches to check their estimates.

"Overall, I find these estimates reasonably compelling, he added.

- 'Criticism' expected from both sides -

The researchers cautioned that the hospital lists do not always provide the cause of death, so it was possible that people with non-traumatic health problems -- such as a heart attack -- could have been included, potentially leading to an overestimate.

However, there were other ways that the war's toll could still be underestimated.

The study did not include missing people. The UN humanitarian agency OCHA has said that around 10,000 missing Gazans are thought to be buried under rubble.

There are also indirect ways that war can claim lives, such as a lack of healthcare, food, water, sanitation or the spread of disease. All have stricken Gaza since October 2023.

In a contentious, non-peer-reviewed letter published in The Lancet in July, another group of researchers used the rate of indirect deaths seen in other conflicts to suggest that 186,000 deaths could eventually be attributed to the Gaza war.

The new study suggested that this projection "might be inappropriate due to obvious differences in the pre-war burden of disease" in Gaza compared to conflicts in countries such as Burundi and East Timor.

Jamaluddine said she expected that "criticism is going to come from different sides" about the new research.

She spoke out against the "obsession" of arguing about death tolls, emphasizing that "we already know that there is a lot of high mortality.”