Dispute over Aoun’s Term Extension Opens Door to Search for an Acting Commander of Lebanese Army

Archive photo of Speaker Nabih Berri receiving Army Commander General Joseph Aoun (Lebanese Parliament website)
Archive photo of Speaker Nabih Berri receiving Army Commander General Joseph Aoun (Lebanese Parliament website)
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Dispute over Aoun’s Term Extension Opens Door to Search for an Acting Commander of Lebanese Army

Archive photo of Speaker Nabih Berri receiving Army Commander General Joseph Aoun (Lebanese Parliament website)
Archive photo of Speaker Nabih Berri receiving Army Commander General Joseph Aoun (Lebanese Parliament website)

The extension of the term of Lebanese Army Commander General Joseph Aoun, who is due to retire in January, has sparked divisions in the political scene and raised talks about appointing an acting army commander, whose term will end with the election of a new president for the country.
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri told Asharq Al-Awsat that he was backing the extension of Aoun’s term “without hesitation”, reiterating that this file falls within the government’s duties.
“The government’s duty is to resolve the issue, whether by appointing an army commander or postponing the dismissal of the current chief. But if [the government] fails, Parliament will carry out its duties to prevent a vacuum in this sensitive position,” Berri said.
“I will not delay [this file] for a single minute, and they [the government] must hurry to assume their obligations”, he added.
For his part, the head of the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), MP Gebran Bassil, said in a press conference that the extension of the army commander’s term was an “unnatural and abnormal situation and an insult to every qualified and deserving officer.”
Bassil continued: “The person in question [the army commander] betrayed the trust, and has become a symbol of lack of loyalty. He violates the National Defense Law, infringes on the minister’s powers, and brags about breaching the law.”
In a normal situation, the Council of Ministers is supposed to have selected a new commander of the army from among the officers of the military institution. But this mechanism is hindered by the failure to elect a new president, who is usually the one who chooses the new commander of the army, and his desire is translated by the government.
However, if the government is unable for any reason to appoint a new Army chief, the established mechanism is to delegate the powers of the Army Commander to the Chief of Staff; but this position is also vacant with the retirement of Major General Amin Al-Aram.
According to current data, the Army Commander’s term is supposed to be extended through a decision in the Council of Ministers. Nonetheless, the decision can be challenged before the Constitutional Council because it will not bear the signature of Defense Minister Maurice Slim, who is affiliated with Bassil.
Another scenario can see the parliament extending Aoun’s retirement age by one year, according to a loose formula, bearing in mind that the political forces are capable of disrupting the meetings of the Constitutional Council by the loss of a quorum, as happened on most previous occasions.
In this context, the Lebanese political scene awaits two important dates: the first is Thursday, with a scheduled session of Parliament, in which the extension of Aoun’s term will be placed in Clause No. 17. However, the Christian forces’ boycott of Parliament sessions may reduce the chances of any breakthrough.
The second date is Jan. 10, when the Army Commander is set to leave office, if his term is not extended.
A well-informed Lebanese source confirmed that things were actually heading towards Aoun returning home on that date, given all the confusion that surrounds the extension of his tenure. This scenario can push towards other options, including the appointment of an acting army commander from among the senior Maronite officers in the military establishment, as stated by the informed source.



Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
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Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)

Baghdad has been preoccupied this week with serious possibilities that Israel may expand its war on Gaza and Lebanon by striking several targets in Iraq in retaliation to attacks by Iran-backed armed factions.

Concern has been high that Israel may attack government buildings, oil fields and strategic locations, not just the positions of the armed factions that have previously launched attacks against Israel, said sources close to the pro-Iran ruling Coordination Framework.

Media sources have spoken of government speculation that Iraq could come under “300 Israeli attacks”.

The fears in Iraq have been compounded by an Israeli complaint to the United Nations Security Council against seven armed factions and holding Baghdad responsible for the attacks they have carried out against it.

This prompted the government, through the foreign ministry, to send an official letter to the Security Council, UN Secretary-General, Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation in response to the Israeli threats.

The ministry said on Saturday that Iraq is “the cornerstone of stability in the region and world and it is one of the countries that are most committed to the UN Charter.”

“The Zionist entity’s letter to the Security Council is part of a systematic policy aimed at creating claims and excuses in an attempt to expand the conflict in the region.”

It said Iraq has turned to the Security Council out of Iraq’s keenness on the international body carrying out its duty in maintaining international peace and security and the need to rein in the “Zionist aggression in Gaza and Lebanon.”

Moreover, it stressed that Iraq has been keen on exercising restraint when it comes to the use of its airspace to attack a neighboring country.

Israel has used Iraqi airspace to launch attacks against Iran in October.

Iraq underscored the importance of the international community stepping in to “stop this hostile behavior that is a flagrant violation of international law.”

It called for international efforts to stop the Israeli escalation in the region and ensure that international laws and treaties are respected to consolidate security and stability.

Meanwhile, a source close to the Coordination Framework said the main Shiite parties are taking the Israeli threats “very seriously”, urging Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani's government to take “all the necessary measures to avert a potential Israeli strike.”

All leaders of armed factions, as well as Shiite leaders, have taken up alternative locations and are moving under great secrecy, confirming that they have changed the majority of their military positions, said the source.

It also dismissed claims that Israeli jets have overflown Iraq, saying nothing has been confirmed, but not ruling out the possibility, especially since US forces have control over Iraqi skies and Iraq is helpless against stopping these violations.

Iraq had submitted a formal complaint to the UN and Security Council over Israel’s use and violation of its airspace to attack Iran.

Analyst and former diplomat Ghazi Faisal said the pro-Iran armed factions have been gathering their forces in the Sinjar province, which is strategic for Iran’s arms deliveries and logistic support to Syria where attacks can be carried out against American forces and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.

Sinjar is one of the most important strategic bases for the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, he added.

Furthermore, he noted that the armed factions insist on continuing the war against Israel, rejecting government calls for calm and neutrality.

The government’s statements are aimed at delivering a message that it “is not directly responsible for the strategy of these factions,” which follow Iran’s policies.

Iraq has repeatedly said that it refuses for its territory to be used to attack another country, but some observers believe that it may allow Iran to do so should Israel strike.