New Round of Negotiations on Syria to Kick Off in Astana

Russian Foreign Ministry Sergey Lavrov and UN envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen (AFP)
Russian Foreign Ministry Sergey Lavrov and UN envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen (AFP)
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New Round of Negotiations on Syria to Kick Off in Astana

Russian Foreign Ministry Sergey Lavrov and UN envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen (AFP)
Russian Foreign Ministry Sergey Lavrov and UN envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen (AFP)

The parties involved in the Astana peace process talks on Syria will hold a new round of negotiations next week in the Kazakh capital, according to Syrian and Russian sources on Friday.
The initiative came from the UN envoy to Syria, Geir Pedersen, who conducted preliminary rounds of talks with the parties before announcing the date. However, Russia seemed less enthusiastic about this round.
On Thursday, Syrian newspaper al-Watan quoted diplomatic sources saying preparations have been completed to launch the 21st round of the talks, scheduled for Jan. 23 and 24.
The sources added that the Syrian government delegation will be headed by Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates Bassam Sabbagh.
According to the newspaper, the latest Syrian developments were discussed during the talks that brought Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian and Pedersen together on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos.
Pedersen touched on Syria's political, security, and economic situation, discussing his initiatives and proposals for the crisis.
Last June, the previous round of talks in Astana focused on confidence-building measures, which included prisoner issues, improving conditions to facilitate the voluntary return of refugees, and the situation in areas not under the Syrian regime's control.
But the main focus was on the normalization efforts launched by Moscow between Turkiye and the Syrian government.
During the talks, the two parties failed to achieve breakthroughs, especially after the government delegation called for Turkish withdrawal from Syrian territory.
The three guarantor states, Russia, Türkiye, and Iran, stressed in a joint final statement the necessity of supporting the safe, dignified, and voluntary return of refugees to Syria.
They called on the international community to provide necessary assistance to facilitate the safe, dignified, and voluntary return of refugees to their places of residence in Syria and to ensure their right to return and be supported.
- Ending the process
Kazakhstan's withdrawal from the Astana talks after hosting 20 rounds since its launch in early 2017 was the most important and striking element of the former round.
At the time, the announcement raised speculation about ending the process, but the three guarantors announced their commitment to continue the talks without specifying a future date or location for future rounds.
Moscow activated its contacts with Astana following the last round, after which the Kazakh side retracted the announcement.
Russia did not officially announce the arrangements for the new round of negotiations.
A Russian diplomat told Asharq Al-Awsat that Moscow could only welcome any effort aimed at continuing to bring viewpoints closer, reduce tension, and revitalize communications between the parties.
The diplomat acknowledged that Moscow would have preferred not to rush to set a date for the new round of negotiations, especially amid the escalating tensions in Gaza and developments in the Red Sea.
He indicated that Moscow hoped the new round would be preceded by a good level of preparation, aiming to achieve progress."
However, the diplomat stressed that Russia could not oppose the effort made by the international envoy to Syria, which resulted in setting a date and location for this round.
Novosti news agency quoted the Syrian opposition delegation, headed by Ahmed Touma, as saying that the delegation plans to attend the new round of Astana talks after they received an invitation.
Touma confirmed to the Russian Agency his participation in the 21st round of negotiations, adding that their efforts will focus on resuming the work of the Syrian Constitutional Committee, resolving the issue of releasing detainees, and allowing the entrance of sufficient quantities of humanitarian aid.
The official said they'd also address stabilizing the ceasefire, resuming the political settlement process through the Constitutional Committee, and advancing humanitarian files to create a safe environment for a political settlement in Syria.



Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
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Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)

Already suffering from a prolonged conflict as a result of the Houthi coup against the legitimate authority, Yemen is facing mounting risks brought on by climate change, the World Bank warned on Thursday.
Many populations are facing threats from climate change, such as extreme heat, drought, and floods, the WB said in its newly released Yemen Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR).
Stephane Guimbert, World Bank Country Director for Egypt, Yemen and Djibouti said that Yemen is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises — conflict, climate change, and poverty.
He called for immediate and decisive action on climate resilience, a matter of survival for millions of Yemenis.
“By investing in water security, climate-smart agriculture, and renewable energy, Yemen can safeguard human capital, build resilience and lay the foundations for a path to sustainable recovery,” he said.
The WB report said half of Yemenis are already exposed to at least one climate hazard — extreme heat, drought, or flooding — with compounding effects on food insecurity and poverty.
These risks, it showed, are expected to intensify without immediate action and Yemen’s annual GDP could decline by an average of 3.9% by 2040 under pessimistic climate scenarios, largely due to decreased agricultural productivity and infrastructure damage.
Navigating Challenges
Despite these challenges, the CCDR identifies strategic opportunities to strengthen resilience, improve food and water security, and unlock sustainable growth, the WB report noted.
For example, it said, targeted investments in water storage and groundwater management, coupled with adaptive agriculture techniques could lead to productivity gains of up to 13.5% in crop production under optimistic climate scenarios for the period of 2041 to 2050.
The report also spoke about risks to the fisheries sector, considered as a critical source of livelihood for many Yemenis.
Its projections indicate a potential decline of up to 23% in fish stocks due to rising sea temperatures and altered marine ecosystems.

The WB report also said that climate change exacerbates existing health challenges in Yemen, leading to increased healthcare costs and strain on already fragile health systems.
“It is projected that climate-related health issues could cost the country over $5 billion in excess health costs by 2050,” it noted.
“Addressing these challenges requires integrating climate resilience into public health planning, with a focus on vulnerable groups such as women and children.”
Concerning infrastructure, the report said urban areas and critical infrastructure are especially vulnerable, and without adaptation measures, economic shocks will disproportionately affect already fragile communities.
As for the private sector, it has a critical role to play in addressing Yemen’s pressing development challenges, said Khawaja Aftab Ahmed, IFC’s Regional Director for the Middle East.
“Harnessing its potential through innovative financing mechanisms and guarantee instruments and creating a conducive investment climate can help mobilize the climate-focused funding the country urgently needs to build a greener and more resilient future,” he said.
The WB report also said that Yemen also has immense potential for renewable energy, which could serve as a key component of its climate response and recovery.
It showed that harnessing renewable energy resources not only offers a pathway to reduce reliance on fossil fuels but also enables the creation of a more resilient power infrastructure.
“This will be essential in supporting vital services such as healthcare, water supply, and food distribution, particularly in conflict-affected areas,” it said.
Global Coordination
The World Bank highlighted the significant commitments and coordination from the international community to support Yemen in coping with climate shocks and building broader resilience.
It said securing sustainable peace will be required to unlock the financing and take the action needed to build long-term resilience to climate change.
The CCDR then underscored the importance of flexible, risk-informed decision-making to adapt climate actions to Yemen's uncertain political landscape.
Under a “Peace and Prosperity” scenario, it said, a higher level of adaptation can be implemented, yielding greater economic and social benefits.
Yemeni Minister of Water and Environment, Tawfiq Al-Sharjabi, stressed the importance of integrating climate action into development strategies and adapting to climate fluctuations.
The minister was speaking at a special session to discuss the WB report on the sidelines of the 29th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29) held in Baku, Azerbaijan.
He said the report represents a significant contribution for Yemen in addressing climate change and will facilitate access to various climate financing options amid the structural and technical fragility faced by institutions due to the war.
The report, Al-Sharjabi added, aligns closely with Yemen's urgent priorities, particularly in the areas of water and food security, enhancing livelihoods, and promoting area-based climate adaptation approaches.